• Military Balance Blog

    NASIC 2017 report suggests service entries, missile modifications and new nomenclature

    28 June 2017.  The United States intelligence community’s occasional public assessment of the ballistic- and cruise-missile threat systems continues to provide a valuable glimpse into how the US views their development and proliferation, including a long-range Russian ground-launched cruise missile, with the 2017 report also hinting at a revised and mainly still classified naming system for some countries, now including North Korea.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Critics are wrong: Iran remains in compliance with nuclear accord

    15 June 2017.  Mark Fitzpatrick calls for fair assessments of Iran’s nuclear activity, and argues that critics must consider context and perspective in their analyses.

  • Strategic Dossiers

    Chapter Seven: The Trajectory and Implications of North Korea’s Nuclear and Missile Development

    02 June 2017. 

    Nuclear Tests; Missile Developments; International Response; The Effect of Sanctions; Regional Missile Defence; Domestic Political Factors; Conclusion

  • Strategic Dossiers

    Chapter Eight: Managing the Asia-Pacific’s Nuclear Dynamics

    02 June 2017. 

    Strains in the Nuclear Order; China: A Secure Second-Strike Capability in a More Contested Asia-Pacific; Uncertainty about the US Regional Nuclear Posture; Enter the Trump Administration; Conclusion

  • Shangri-La Voices

    It’s time for ASEAN states to be more proactive on North Korea

    01 June 2017.  The policy options available for dealing with North Korea may be unchanged, but they must be universally implemented to have a chance of working. Matthew Cottee argues that ASEAN states need to do more, particularly on implementing UN sanctions against the regime.

  • Shangri-La Voices

    North Korean missiles should not trigger further proliferation

    31 May 2017.  There are no good policy options for dealing with North Korea, but there are plenty of truly bad ones, argues Mark Fitzpatrick. Close coordination among key stakeholders offers the most promising means of halting Pyongyang’s nuclear and missile pursuit, despite the temptation to engage in tit-for-tat responses.

  • Events

    North Korea: boom or bust?

    30 May 2017. 

    IISS Shangri-La Dialogue 2017 Discussion Series
    Victor Cha, Senior Adviser & Korea Chair, CSIS
    Michael Elleman, Senior Fellow for Missile Defence, IISS
    Jihwan Hwang, Professor of International Relations, University of Seoul
    Sue Mi Terry, Managing Director for Korea, BowerGroupAsia
    Chaired by Mark Fitzpatrick, Executive Director, IISS-Americas
    IISS–Americas, Washington DC
    Tuesday 30 May 2017, 10.00-11.30am EDT

  • IISS Voices

    North Korea moves closer to missile that could strike US

    19 May 2017.  After a successful test earlier this month, the Hwasong-12 has emerged as North Korea’s longest range missile system. Recent progress takes Pyongyang closer to full Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) capability – until that goal is reached, diplomatic overtures from South Korea, China and the US will likely come to nothing.

  • Survival

    Deterrence from the Ground Up: Understanding NATO’s Enhanced Forward Presence

    16 May 2017.  NATO’s deterrence strategy must take into account the fundamentally political nature of the Russian threat.

  • Politics and Strategy

    When it comes to starting a nuclear war, size doesn't matter

    21 April 2017.  If threatened, nations with a smaller arsenal may be the most apt to use nuclear weapons.

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