• Strategic Comments

    Trump’s Jerusalem move

    31 January 2018. 

    The Trump administration's decision to move the US embassy to Jerusalem and recognise that city as Israel's capital appears to be strongly influenced by US domestic political considerations. Though welcomed by the Israeli right, the move has attracted widespread regional and international condemnation and outraged the Palestinian leadership. It is unlikely to lead to promising Israeli-Palestinian negotiations on the final status of the Palestinian territories, and could significantly degrade security in the region.

  • IISS Voices

    Could Ukraine’s ‘reintegration bill’ break Donbas deadlock?

    24 January 2018.  Russia says the bill amounts to preparation for war. But it might clear a path for meaningful negotiations.

  • IISS Voices

    High-level corruption fuels Honduras election crisis

    14 December 2017.  The public despair driving recent protests stems, in part, from the enormous power of organised crime groups.

  • Events

    Russia after the presidential election: challenges & opportunities for Europe

    13 December 2017. 

    Wednesday 13 December, 12.30–1.30pm GMT
    Arundel House, London
    Dr Samuel Greene, Associate Fellow, IISS
    Dr Nicholas Redman, Director of Editorial, IISS

  • Strategic Comments

    Angola’s uncertain transition

    08 December 2017. 

    An improbably smooth transition in Angola appears to be taking shape under President João Lourenço, inaugurated on 26 September. But he faces major challenges in diversifying Angola's plummeting economy so as to make it less dependent on oil, and in rehabilitating its international reputation, which has been damaged by longstanding corruption. Much depends on whether he can exploit his non-partisan instincts and common touch to become a charismatic leader with a long-term vision.

  • IISS Voices

    No German post-election crisis – but a set back for Europe

    01 December 2017.  This year's vote was always going to be difficult for Angela Merkel and Germany. The disruption it has has brought is felt across the continent.

  • Survival

    Catalonia and the Problem of Identity Politics

    20 November 2017.  Leaders can harvest great rewards by appealing to narrow identities, but only at the expense of long-term stability.

  • Strategic Comments

    Spain’s Catalan separatist crisis

    16 November 2017. 

    Catalonia's 1 October referendum on independence precipitated a major political crisis in Spain and prompted Madrid to assume direct rule of Catalonia pending regional elections scheduled for 21 December. There appears to be a realistic possibility that Catalan voters will opt for a less disruptive push for enhanced autonomy within Spain. But if they re-assert independence, the cycle witnessed over the past several months could repeat and produce deeper crisis.

  • Strategic Comments

    The repercussions of the Iraqi Kurdistan independence referendum

    09 November 2017. 

    Iraqi Kurdistan President Masoud Barzani appears to have overreached in holding a referendum on independence, although almost 93% voted for it. Major powers support Iraq's territorial integrity. The Iraqi government has asserted military control over the region with Iran's help. Facing political and economic isolation, the Kurdistan Regional Government's authority and cohesion has been weakened. Barzani's futility has likely hardened the Kurdistan Worker's Party (PKK)'s position in Turkey and increased its regional freedom of action.

  • Events

    Does conflict threaten Myanmar's political transition?

    07 November 2017. 

    Tuesday 7 November, 10.30–11.30am EDT
    IISS–Americas, Washington DC
    Priscilla A. Clapp, Senior Advisor, United States Institute of Peace
    Maxwell J. Hamilton, Visiting Fellow, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
    Yun Sun, Senior Associate, Stimson Center
    Leigh Morris Sloane, Managing Director, IISS–Americas

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