• Politics and Strategy

    Deterring North Korea the wrong way

    11 August 2017.  Donald Trump’s threats towards North Korea are likely to be counterproductive, warn Mark Fitzpatrick and Michael Elleman.

  • Events

    Prohibiting Nuclear Weapons: What Now for the Ban Treaty?

    04 August 2017. 

    Friday 4 August, 10–11am EDT
    IISS–Americas, Washington DC
    Speakers:
    Edward Ifft, Adjunct Professor, Center For Security Studies, Georgetown University
    Natalie Goldring, Senior Fellow, Center for Security Studies, Georgetown University; UN Consultant for the Acronym Institute for Disarmament Diplomacy
    Chair:
    Mark Fitzpatrick, Executive Director, IISS–Americas

  • Strategic Comments

    The Ban Treaty arrives

    26 July 2017. 

    The text of the recently negotiated Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons released on 7 July, approved by a vote of 122-1, is likely to be approved by the UN General Assembly and ratified. While none of the nuclear-weapons states or their allies favours the treaty, it marks the rejection of their customary consensus-based approach. Accordingly, the status quo will continue, but now faces a more invigorated and unified opposition.

  • Survival

    Noteworthy

    17 July 2017.  In the August–September issue, Daniel Deudney and G. John Ikenberry argue that the Iraq War was the product of foreign-policy realism, not liberalism; Nigel Inkster asks how military cyber power might be measured; Douglas Barrie examines Russia’s deployment of a ground-launched cruise missile in violation of the INF Treaty; Brad Roberts explores approaches to strategic stability under the Obama and Trump administrations; William C. Potter traces the diplomatic route to...

  • Strategic Dossiers

    Chapter Seven: The Trajectory and Implications of North Korea’s Nuclear and Missile Development

    02 June 2017. 

    Nuclear Tests; Missile Developments; International Response; The Effect of Sanctions; Regional Missile Defence; Domestic Political Factors; Conclusion

  • Strategic Dossiers

    Chapter Eight: Managing the Asia-Pacific’s Nuclear Dynamics

    02 June 2017. 

    Strains in the Nuclear Order; China: A Secure Second-Strike Capability in a More Contested Asia-Pacific; Uncertainty about the US Regional Nuclear Posture; Enter the Trump Administration; Conclusion

  • Survival

    An Area-Access Strategy for NATO

    16 May 2017.  Without a credible plan for reinforcement, the Alliance’s much-celebrated eastern tripwires could rapidly become sitting ducks.

  • Survival

    Deterrence from the Ground Up: Understanding NATO’s Enhanced Forward Presence

    16 May 2017.  NATO’s deterrence strategy must take into account the fundamentally political nature of the Russian threat.

  • Survival

    Now for the Hard Part: NATO’s Strategic Adaptation to Russia

    16 May 2017.  The Alliance’s success in adapting its deterrence posture has brought into focus a range of more complex challenges.

  • Expert Commentary

    Direct Talk: Preventing nuclear proliferation

    28 March 2017.  Mark Fitzpatrick, Executive Director of IISS-Americas, discusses nuclear dangers in East Asia.

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