• Politics and Strategy

    North Korea punctures a pause

    29 November 2017.  North Korea’s latest ballistic-missile test shows that diplomacy wasn't given a chance, writes Mark Fitzpatrick.

  • Politics and Strategy

    The increasing likelihood of war with North Korea

    08 November 2017.  War involving North Korea is a 50/50 proposition over the next year, says Mark Fitzpatrick.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Pitiful North Korean diplomacy

    25 October 2017.  Military conflict over North Korea’s nuclear and missile programmes is a serious possibility, writes Mark Fitzpatrick.

  • Adelphi Books

    Renewing America’s Nuclear Arsenal: Options for the 21st Century

    23 October 2017. 

    This Adelphi book argues that the US need not replicate its Cold War triad to achieve credible and reliable deterrence.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Fixing an Iran nuclear deal that ain’t broke

    23 October 2017.  The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action is not perfect, and its implementation can be improved. But the US Congress must avoid taking actions that would kill the deal.

  • Politics and Strategy

    No good reason for Trump not to certify Iran nuclear compliance

    26 September 2017.  Iran is clearly meeting the criteria for re-certification of its compliance with the nuclear deal, writes Mark Fitzpatrick.

  • Strategic Survey

    Chapter 3, Part IV: Resurgence of Information Warfare

    18 September 2017. 

    Russia’s intense interest in probing Western civilian-communications infrastructure in recent years suggests that it is preparing to deny adversaries access to the information space in times of crisis.

  • Adelphi Books

    Appendix

    13 September 2017.  Figure 6: US strategic nuclear weapons, 1960–90 Figure 7: US strategic nuclear forces, 1991–2016

  • Adelphi Books

    Conclusion

    13 September 2017. 

    All the modernisation options would meet the requirements of deterrence against nuclear-armed states, but current US plans fare less well in terms of strategic stability and arms control; nuclear security and non-proliferation; and trade-offs with conventional operations.

  • Adelphi Books

    Introduction

    13 September 2017. 

    The US plans to spend an estimated US$1 trillion over 30 years to modernise the full triad of air-, land- and sea-based nuclear weapons. This book proposes three alternatives to the current plan for nuclear-force modernisation and compares them with the existing plan.

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