• Armed Conflict Survey

    Chapter 1, Part V: Rebel-to-party Transitions

    09 May 2017. 

    A post-rebel party’s organisational experience can provide it with the raw material that will shape its initial participation in politics. The key to a successful transformation from rebel to party seems to lie in the interaction between an organisation and its environment.

  • IISS Voices

    Disruption and violence in Kenya’s primaries bring uncertainty to the wider region

    05 May 2017.  Potentially violent elections in August are raising concerns among the international community, given Kenya’s key regional roles as an economic powerhouse and in counter-terrorism efforts.

  • ACD Insight

    Disruption and violence in Kenya’s primaries bring uncertainty to the wider region

    05 May 2017.  Potentially violent elections in August are raising concerns among the international community, given Kenya’s key regional roles as an economic powerhouse and in counter-terrorism efforts.

  • Expert Commentary

    Emmanuel Macron will find that winning is the easy bit

    27 April 2017.  The front-runner in France's presidential race will find forming a government without a party machine a difficult task.

  • ACD Insight

    Turkey approves constitutional amendment

    18 April 2017.  The vote to approve amendments to the Turkish constitution means that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's executive authority will be formalised and consolidated. What happens next? Expect increased human security concerns within Turkey's borders, a recalibration of Turkey's relationship with the EU, and a strengthened narrative to knuckle down on Kurdish insurgency.

  • IISS Voices

    Turkey approves constitutional amendment

    17 April 2017.  The vote to approve amendments to the Turkish constitution means that President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s executive authority will be formalised and consolidated. What happens next? Expect increased human security concerns within Turkey’s borders, a recalibration of Turkey’s relationship with the European Union, and a strengthened narrative to knuckle down on Kurdish insurgency.

  • Events

    Saving Afghanistan’s Transition

    11 April 2017. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Professor William Maley, Professor of Diplomacy, Asia Pacific College of Diplomacy, The Australian National University
    Christina Lamb, Chief Foreign Correspondent, The Sunday Times
    Arundel House, London
    Tuesday 11 April 2017, 1–2pm BST

  • Survival

    The Emperor vs the Adults: Donald Trump and Wilhelm II

    20 March 2017.  The analogy between the US president and German emperor works because of similar institutional and international realities, and because personality matters.

  • Survival

    Book Reviews

    20 March 2017.  War, Conflict and the Military H.R. McMaster
    Middle East Ray Takeyh
    Politics and International Relations Gilles Andréani
    United States David C. Unger

  • Strategic Comments

    Somalia’s ever-arduous transition

    06 March 2017. 

    The 8 February 2017 presidential election in Somalia afforded Mohamed Abdullahi Mohamed (also known as Farmajo) an exceptionally strong mandate to fight corruption and governmental dysfunction, and to forge elusive state viability. But it is essential for him to ensure that Somali national forces are capable of maintaining Somalia’s security against the still-formidable jihadist group al-Shabaab before the UN-mandated African Union Mission in Somalia (AMISOM) departs.

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