• Politics and Strategy

    Bruce Gilley and David Kinsella: Paris COP21 and the road to climate-change coercion

    02 December 2015.  Negotiations at the 21st Conference of the Parties (COP21) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, held in Paris from 30 November–11 December, have begun. The talks have all the trappings of a self-help seminar for addicts. Sometimes such seminars work, but no amount of positive thinking can change the basic facts. On the one hand, the world is emitting far too much greenhouse gas, and this shows...

  • Strategic Comments

    Climate change: divisions persist ahead of Paris summit

    04 November 2015. 

    Negotiations at the forthcoming Paris climate-change summit are likely to be difficult and intense, regardless of the level of momentum and political will for achieving a binding agreement. Critical questions continue to highlight the divisions over how countries should share the burden of addressing climate change.

  • Strategic Survey

    Chapter 3, part I: A New Era in the Oil Market

    15 September 2015. 

    Strategic Policy Issues

  • Strategic Survey

    Chapter 3, part III: Deadlines for Mitigating Climate Change

    15 September 2015.  Strategic Policy Issues

  • Survival

    The Pope’s Divisions

    22 July 2015.  Laudato Si’, Pope Francis’s June 2015 encyclical letter on the environment, is likely to have a major impact on public discourse, and perhaps on policy.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Jeffrey Mazo: The Pope’s Divisions

    19 June 2015.  It has been less than a decade since climate change began to emerge at the top of the international agenda. In March 2007, in his first major address after taking office, UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon said there was an urgent need to reframe the debate from an environmental to a development and security issue, and that it would be one of his top priorities as secretary-general. Six weeks later, on...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Jeffrey Mazo: Shooting for the Moon

    05 June 2015.  On Tuesday 2 June, at the Royal Society in London, a group of eminent UK academics led by former UK Government Chief Scientific Adviser Sir David King issued a call for a ‘Global Apollo Programme to Combat Climate Change’. We’ve heard this sort of thing before – in 2008, for example, former US Vice President Al Gore called for an Apollo programme to achieve 100% of US electricity production from...

  • Shangri-La Dialogue

    Emerging Challenges to Small State Security in the Asia-Pacific

    30 May 2015. 

    Chair: Virginia Comolli, Research Fellow for Security and Development, IISS 
    Dr Cirilo José Cristóvão, Minister of Defence, Timor-Leste 
    Dr Fabian Pok, Minister for Defence, Papua New Guinea 
    Air Vice-Marshal Mike Yardley, Chief of Air Force, New Zealand
    Senior Colonel Zhao Xiaozhuo, Deputy Director-General, China-US Defense Relations Research Center, Academy of Military Science, People’s Liberation Army, China

  • Strategic Dossiers

    Chapter Three: South Pacific Island States and Regional Security

    26 May 2015. 

    Key regional states; Papua New Guinea; Solomon Islands; Fiji; New Caledonia; Tonga; The roles of external powers; Australia; New Zealand; China; United States; France; India; Japan; Russia; Implications of external-power involvement for the region; Regional and sub-regional institutions; Transnational security challenges; Climate change; Fisheries resources 

  • Survival

    Geoengineering: Don’t Just Do Something, Stand There

    11 May 2015.  The US National Academy of Sciences confirms that geoengineering – through carbon-dioxide removal or solar-radiation management – covers a multitude of sins, with a few potential virtues.

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