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IISS research into Russia and Eurasia focuses on the politics, political economy and international relations of Russia and the other states of post-Soviet Eurasia.
The IISS Russia and Eurasia Programme focuses on the politics, political economy, and international relations of Russia and the other states of post-Soviet Eurasia.
With talk in world capitals of a new cold war, this Adelphi examines the roots of the Ukraine crisis, analyses Western and Russian policies in post-Soviet Eurasia since 1991, and provides an assessment of both Russia and the West's actions post-2014.
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10 March 2015.
The second Minsk accords have succeeded in fostering a ceasefire, and yet the Russian government continues to support the armed separatist movement in eastern Ukraine, small acts of violence continue to take place and the peace is fragile. The challenge for Western policymakers is to come up with some greater incentive for Russia to embrace a lasting peace settlement. The threat of large-scale Western military assistance for the Ukrainian government...
06 March 2015.
By Samuel Charap, Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia, and Bernard Sucher
The American government tends to see sanctions against Russia as a low-cost policy that will eventually force Vladimir Putin to change course in Ukraine.
But this conventional wisdom obscures significant costs. Just as using drones to target suspected terrorists in Pakistan may have created more converts to Islamic militancy than it has eliminated, sanctions advocates haven’t reckoned with the unintended...
03 March 2015.
Dr Samuel Charap, Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia at the International Institute for Strategic Studies
Arundel House, London
Tuesday 3 March 2015, 6:30-8pm
12 February 2015.
Angela Merkel and François Hollande are returning from Minsk with an agreement for a ceasefire in Eastern Ukraine. The news raises hopes of an end to this acute stage of the conflict, but of course such hopes have been raised and then dashed numerous times already. In any event, broader questions about Ukraine’s fate – and the future of European security – remain unsolved. With those questions in mind, two...
05 February 2015.
The Ukraine crisis poses vexing policy challenges for Washington. President Obama has sought to strike a balance between the imperative of responding to Russian actions and the equally important need to avoid an all-out confrontation with Moscow. ‘It’s not a new Cold War,’ he said. ‘It is a very specific issue related to Russia’s unwillingness to recognize that Ukraine can chart its own path.’ The problem is that the administration’s...
21 January 2015.
By Samuel Charap, Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia, and Tymofiy Mylovanov
The United States and the EU have demonstrated significant commitment to Ukraine’s success since the Maidan revolution. However, no Western leader has ever suggested that Ukraine has a blank check—that the Western commitment is without limits. Instead, as evidenced by the measured extent of financial and military assistance to Ukraine, this commitment is both limited and conditional. In particular, if...
15 January 2015.
By Samuel Charap, Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia
From the moment in late December when Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko announced – as it turns out, prematurely – that there would be a heads-of-state meeting in the so-called Normandy format on January 15 in Astana, observers have been keenly awaiting signs of a breakthrough in the Ukraine crisis talks. Instead, the summit has been called off, tensions have spiked on the...
05 January 2015.
After rapid advances, Isis may have staying power
The Guardian, 26 December
If 2014 can be described as the year of the Islamic State, it is a fair bet that the jihadi group Barack Obama has pledged to ‘degrade and ultimately destroy’ will continue to dominate headlines from the Middle East in 2015.
Past investments and current oil interests mean the US has been prioritising Iraq over Syria. The dysfunctional Iraqi army, humiliated...
08 December 2014.
By Samuel Charap, Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia, IISS, and Jeremy Shapiro, Fellow in Foreign Policy Studies, Brookings Institution
The violence and tragedy in Ukraine dominate the headlines as Europe and its allies struggle for a response to Russia’s brazen behavior. Despite the shock of it all, Russia’s actions are less a paradigm shift than a dramatic sharpening of a 25-year-old strategic dilemma: how to build an inclusive European security...
27 November 2014.
The 'let's make a deal' moment has arrived for Kiev and Moscow. But by pushing a hard-line agenda against Putin, the United States and Europe are only making things worse for Ukraine.
The product of over two years of Track II dialogue between Asia-Pacific experts, this report discusses how the US and Russia both depend on developments in the Asia-Pacific region for their future prosperity and security.
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