• Strategic Comments

    The Trump administration and the Russia probes

    17 August 2017. 

    Special Counsel Robert Mueller heads the most aggressive of five investigations of possible collusion between US President Donald Trump's campaign and Russia to influence the 2016 US presidential election. Trump has continued to pursue a conspicuously friendly relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Trump will probably continue to attack the special counsel's legitimacy and avoid unequivocally acknowledging Russian interference for as long as possible.

  • IISS Voices

    The secret to North Korea’s ICBM success

    14 August 2017.  How has North Korea managed to make such astounding progress with its long-range missile programme over the last two years? Here, Michael Elleman shares the first solid evidence that North Korea has acquired a high-performance liquid-propellant engine from illicit networks in Russia and Ukraine.

  • Strategic Comments

    The Ban Treaty arrives

    26 July 2017. 

    The text of the recently negotiated Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons released on 7 July, approved by a vote of 122-1, is likely to be approved by the UN General Assembly and ratified. While none of the nuclear-weapons states or their allies favours the treaty, it marks the rejection of their customary consensus-based approach. Accordingly, the status quo will continue, but now faces a more invigorated and unified opposition.

  • Survival

    Allegation, Counter-Allegation and the INF Treaty

    17 July 2017.  Russia’s alleged deployment of a treaty-breaching ground-launched cruise missile poses serious political–military questions for European states.

  • Survival

    Strategic Stability Under Obama and Trump

    17 July 2017.  The Trump administration must assess how strategic stability, an organising concept for the Obama administration’s strategic policy, might fit with its own guiding principles.

  • Politics and Strategy

    When Donald met Vladimir

    07 July 2017.  On the sidelines of the G20 summit in Hamburg, Trump went into his meeting with Putin without a clearly established plan or agenda. If one assumes a zero-sum game between the United States and Russia, then Putin looks like the winner.

  • Military Balance Blog

    Russian military lift risks atrophy

    06 July 2017.  Since late 2015, Russia has sustained expeditionary operations in Syria by relying on ageing air- and maritime-lift platforms. Unless it can better previous failed efforts to replace both, Moscow risks losing the capacity to carry out a similar operation within the next decade.

  • Military Balance Blog

    NASIC 2017 report suggests service entries, missile modifications and new nomenclature

    28 June 2017.  The United States intelligence community’s occasional public assessment of the ballistic- and cruise-missile threat systems continues to provide a valuable glimpse into how the US views their development and proliferation, including a long-range Russian ground-launched cruise missile, with the 2017 report also hinting at a revised and mainly still classified naming system for some countries, now including North Korea.

  • Events

    ‘Blood Oil:’ discussion with Professor Leif Wenar

    22 June 2017. 

    Discussion meeting
    Professor Leif Wenar, Chair of Philosophy and Law, King’s College London
    Chaired by Nick Redman, Director of Editorial; Editor, Adelphi and Strategic Survey, IISS
    Arundel House, London
    Thursday 22 June, 12–1pm BST

  • Strategic Comments

    Balkan rumblings

    20 June 2017.  Although rumours of war in the Balkans are overblown, the region has acquired greater strategic resonance recently, due mainly to Russia's intensifying interest and secondarily to jihadist activity. But the countries' central challenges are the erosion of democracy and poor governance, which may be tolerated to secure the order and stability needed for admission into the European Union.

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