North Korea

  • Strategic Comments

    The Ban Treaty arrives

    26 July 2017. 

    The text of the recently negotiated Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons released on 7 July, approved by a vote of 122-1, is likely to be approved by the UN General Assembly and ratified. While none of the nuclear-weapons states or their allies favours the treaty, it marks the rejection of their customary consensus-based approach. Accordingly, the status quo will continue, but now faces a more invigorated and unified opposition.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Could a ‘double freeze’ be viable path to peace on Korean Peninsula?

    05 July 2017.  The recent and successful ICBM test by North Korea demonstrates the urgency of a strategy to prevent further provocations.

  • IISS Voices

    Smart sanctions on Chinese firms to stop illicit North Korea ties

    30 June 2017.  Washington's application of sanctions against Chinese entities with alleged ties to illicit North Korean activities was long overdue, argue Mark Fitzpatrick and Minori Fryer. It should have been clear to Trump well before now that China was not going to solve the North Korea problem.

  • Military Balance Blog

    NASIC 2017 report suggests service entries, missile modifications and new nomenclature

    28 June 2017.  The United States intelligence community’s occasional public assessment of the ballistic- and cruise-missile threat systems continues to provide a valuable glimpse into how the US views their development and proliferation, including a long-range Russian ground-launched cruise missile, with the 2017 report also hinting at a revised and mainly still classified naming system for some countries, now including North Korea.

  • Strategic Comments

    US–China dialogue and the tenuous bilateral relationship

    28 June 2017. 

    Despite recent diplomatic efforts by Washington and Beijing to keep the bilateral relationship on an even keel, China has continued to behave assertively in the Asia-Pacific and Chinese President Xi Jinping has effectively promulgated his own vision for a regional and global order. In the absence of a robust or coherent US policy for the region, China appears to have gained the upper hand in terms of the balance of power in the Asia-Pacific.

  • Expert Commentary

    Mutual security should be theme of Moon–Trump summit

    26 June 2017.  In making a friendly connection with Donald Trump, President Moon Jae-in can remind his host that South Korea is America's most important partner in dealing with the North Korean threat, argues Mark Fitzpatrick.

  • Strategic Comments

    South Korea’s presidential transition and strategic challenges

    14 June 2017. 

    Moon Jae-in, South Korea's new president, faces stiff domestic challenges and is less inclined towards confrontation with North Korea than either his predecessor or the Trump administration. Nevertheless, South Korea’s alliance with the United States is likely to endure with some modifications and perhaps, given North Korea’s provocations, some upgrades.

  • Strategic Dossiers

    Chapter Seven: The Trajectory and Implications of North Korea’s Nuclear and Missile Development

    02 June 2017. 

    Nuclear Tests; Missile Developments; International Response; The Effect of Sanctions; Regional Missile Defence; Domestic Political Factors; Conclusion

  • Shangri-La Voices

    What to do about North Korea?

    02 June 2017.  Mark Fitzpatrick, Director, IISS-Americas, suggests that shared concerns about North Korea are likely to encourage national delegations to seek greater levels of cooperation here at the IISS Shangri-La Dialogue.

  • Shangri-La Voices

    It’s time for ASEAN states to be more proactive on North Korea

    01 June 2017.  The policy options available for dealing with North Korea may be unchanged, but they must be universally implemented to have a chance of working. Matthew Cottee argues that ASEAN states need to do more, particularly on implementing UN sanctions against the regime.