• Strategic Comments

    Libya: Muslim Brotherhood’s tenuous hold

    05 June 2014. 

    Facing a militia oil blockade and a dissident-led offensive intended to purge the country of 'terrorists', Libya's Muslim Brotherhood-led Congress has pledged to hold elections. But Brotherhood members fear that they will lose at the ballot box and see their opponents launch a purge against them similar to that of Egypt. Without elections, Libya seems set for prolonged conflict.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Benjamin Fishman: Can Rome help save Libya?

    05 March 2014.  How do you help a country that requires technical assistance in a wide range of areas but doesn’t have a functional government that can absorb aid programs? That will be the challenge for participants in the International Conference on Libya scheduled to take place on 6 March in Rome. Assuming the crisis in Ukraine does not intervene, foreign ministers from the key states who supported Libya’s liberation along with international organisations...

  • The Military Balance

    Chapter 7: Middle East and North Africa

    05 February 2014. 

    Syria: Implications for regional armed forces; Regime regroups; Rebel forces
    Egypt: the military resumes power
    Iran: Missile developments
    GCC: Cooperative defence and Iran
    Regional defence economics; Major arms-trade developments in 2012 and 2013; Military commercial activities
    Algeria: Recent initiatives; Regional and border defence; Counter-terrorism and international cooperation; Defence economics

  • Events

    Libya: The Failed Fairy Tale

    04 February 2014. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Dr Florence Gaub
    Senior Analyst, EU Institute for Security Studies
    Arundel House, London
    Tuesday 04 February

  • Survival

    A Libyan Recipe for Disaster

    01 February 2014. 

    Libya’s current woes were not pre-ordained, but its politics are caught in a vicious circle. Those who created the crisis are the only ones who can resolve it.

  • IISS Voices

    Steven Simon: 'America and al-Qaeda 3.0'

    30 January 2014.  Steve Simon: ‘America and al-Qaeda 3.0’ ‘My view of the Arab Spring was that it was, in a perverse sense, God’s gift to al-Qaeda, because it created exactly the sorts of circumstances, the sorts of conditions, in which al-Qaeda thrives,’ said Steven Simon in an extended interview for Al-Jazeera’s Empire programme on 29 January. ‘Those conditions arose in North Africa really concomitant with the Arab Spring revolutions, and they were hastened. They were...

  • Events

    Discussion Meeting: Toppling Qaddafi: Libya and the Limits of Liberal Intervention

    10 January 2014. 

    IISS-US Discussion meeting
    Dr Christopher Chivvis, Senior Political Scientist, RAND Corporation
    Discussant: Julianne Smith, Former Deputy National Security Advisor to the Vice President
    Moderator: Ben Fishman, Consulting Senior Fellow for the Middle East and North Africa, IISS
    Friday 10 January 2014
    IISS-US, Washington DC

  • Manama Voices

    Elly Jupp: The economic costs of the Arab Spring

    04 December 2013.  By Elly Jupp, Research Associate, IISS–Middle East Much has been written about the economic causes of the Arab Spring revolts – but rather less has been written about the economic costs. In a recent report, HSBC sought to put a figure on the losses of seven of the worst-affected states – Egypt, Tunisia, Libya, Syria, Jordan, Lebanon and Bahrain – and estimated US$800 billion in lost output. HSBC forecast that GDP...

  • Survival

    Germany and the Intervention in Libya

    29 November 2013. 

    Germany’s abstention on UNSCR 1973 does not signify a weakened commitment to multilateralism or NATO, nor was it a historical fluke. It is simply that, on matters involving military force, Germans need time to have a debate at home.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Benjamin Fishman: Kerry’s other weekend diplomacy

    26 November 2013.  Iran was not the only issue on Secretary of State John Kerry’s busy weekend schedule. Following his around-the-clock negotiations on Iran’s nuclear programme, Kerry met on Sunday in London with Libyan Prime Minister Ali Zeidan. Libya has not been at the forefront of Kerry’s crowded Middle East agenda, so the fact that Kerry met Zeidan just hours after the breakthrough with Iran may signal a renewed commitment to supporting Libya...

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