• Survival

    Was Libya’s Collapse Predictable?

    20 March 2017.  The debate over whether the Libyan intervention was justified should take as its starting point the imponderables facing decision-makers in March 2011.

  • The Military Balance

    Chapter 7: Middle East and North Africa

    14 February 2017.  Middle East and North Africa: Russia changes the battlefield; The campaign against ISIS; The Iraqi Army; The war in Yemen; Yemen and GCC military cooperation; Regional capabilities increase; Defence Economics; Macroeconomics; Defence spending and procurement; Defence industry; Emirates Defence Industries Company

    Saudi Arabia: Defence policy; The armed forces; Defence and security cooperation and coalitions; Operations in Yemen; Defence economics and industry

  • Events

    The Dead Sea

    25 October 2016. 

    Private film screening and panel discussion
    Konstantinos Antonopoulos, Policy and Advocacy Advisor, Medecins Sans Frontieres
    Stuart Gatt, Writer and Director of The Dead Sea
    Markus Geisser, Senior Humanitarian Affairs & Policy Advisor, International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC)
    Arundel House, London
    Tuesday 25 October 2016, 6–7.30PM BST

  • Strategic Comments

    Libya’s faltering new government

    21 September 2016. 

    The new UN-backed Government of National Accord (GNA) has based itself in Tripoli. But the GNA has failed to muster an effective nationwide military capability and is rivalled for national authority by the Tobruk-based House of Representatives (HOR), which controls the Libyan National Army, Libya's most cohesive armed organisation, as well as Libya's oil ports. Although GNA-linked forces have decimated the Islamic State in and around Sirte, the new government's unsteady hold on Tripoli is vulnerable to HOR challenge.

  • Survival

    Countering the Islamic State in Libya

    11 July 2016. 

    If nothing is done to stop the Islamic State’s expansion in Libya, it could become a problem on a scale similar to that which it poses in Syria – but much closer to Europe.

  • Armed Conflict Survey

    Chapter 3: Middle East

    05 May 2016. 

    Egypt (Sinai)
    Iraq
    Israel–Palestine
    Lebanon–Hizbullah–Syria
    Libya
    Mali (The Sahel)
    Syria
    Turkey (PKK)
    Yemen

  • Strategic Comments

    Confronting failed government and the Islamic State in Libya

    25 February 2016. 

    The Islamic State has taken advantage of the chaos of 20 months of war in Libya to build a series of bases in the country, expanding its territory and now threatening the country’s oil ports. The United States and its allies now face hard decisions about how to confront the militant group.

  • The Military Balance

    Chapter 7: Middle East and North Africa

    09 February 2016.  Regional states deploy amid worsening security; Worries about Iran; Reforming Iraq’s army; The war against ISIS; ISIS in combat; The US-led coalition against ISIS; War in Syria: towards year five; Regime acknowledges personnel shortage; Other actors
    Libya
    Yemen: GCC military operations; UAE forces; GCC defence cooperation
    Regional Defence Economics; Macroeconomics; Defence spending; Procurement; Combat aviation, air and missile defence; Land systems and airlift; Surface vessels and coastal-patrol assets

  • Events

    North Africa in Transition

    20 January 2016. 

    IISS–Americas Book Launch
    Ben Fishman, Editor, North Africa in Transition
    Haim Malka, Contributing Author, North Africa in Transition; Middle East Program Deputy Director and Senior Fellow, CSIS
    John Desrocher, Deputy Assistant Secretary of State for Egypt and Maghreb Affairs
    Chair: Mark Fitzpatrick, Executive Director, IISS–Americas
    IISS–Americas, Washington DC
    Wednesday 20 January 2016, 2pm-3pm EST

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter 2: Libya: From Euphoria to Breakdown

    17 November 2015.  At the very centre of the Libyan capital of Tripoli, adjacent to both the ancient Ottoman-era medina and the elegant Italian built colonial district, lies Martyrs’ Square. It was on this wide, paved plaza, then called Green Square, that Colonel Muammar Gadhafi’s supporters gathered in defiant demonstrations, amid NATO air-strikes, during the 2011 bombing campaign. Six months later, tens of thousands of Libyans streamed in joyously to the same square...

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