• Strategic Comments

    High noon for Libya’s Potemkin government

    02 August 2017.  Strongman Khalifa Haftar is challenging Libya's internationally recognised but weak Government of National Accord for effective control of the country. While France has brokered a ceasefire and a new peace initiative, Haftar has substantial outside support from Egypt and the UAE, and the eventual political dispensation will probably turn on further military developments.

  • Expert Commentary

    Qatar and the interconnection of regional crises

    29 July 2017.  The Qatar crisis is not simply a regional tiff, it is a fundamental disagreement about the direction the wider region should take. The West needs to see that actions in one country immediately affect others, says Sir John Jenkins.

  • IISS Voices

    Deciphering the jihadist threat on Libya’s shifting sands

    05 July 2017.  With a possible collaboration between the Libyan branch of the Islamic State and al-Qaeda-affiliated groups on the ground, the jihadist threat in Libya becomes even more amorphous.

  • ACD Insight

    Deciphering the jihadist threat on Libya’s shifting sands

    04 July 2017.  With a possible collaboration between the Libyan branch of the Islamic State and al-Qaeda-affiliated groups on the ground, the jihadist threat in Libya becomes even more amorphous.

  • Strategic Comments

    The Manchester terrorist bombing

    31 May 2017. 

    The 22 May jihadist bombing in Manchester followed a grimly familiar pattern: an individual with Middle Eastern roots but born in his Western host country – radicalised in a 'field of jihad' and by local events – chose a 'soft' target and took mass casualties. The best way forward, albeit unspectacular, is to extract operational lessons, resist militarising homeland security, and incrementally improve and refine the law enforcement and intelligence approach to counter-terrorism.

  • Armed Conflict Survey

    Chapter 3: Middle East

    09 May 2017. 

    Egypt
    Iraq
    Israel–Palestine
    Lebanon–Hizbullah–Syria
    Libya
    Mali (The Sahel)
    Syria
    Turkey (PKK)
    Yemen

  • IISS Voices

    An explosive mix in southern Libya

    08 May 2017.  The next phase of the conflict in Libya is likely to be in the south of the country, given the proliferation of armed groups along the border and the ongoing offensive by the Libyan National Army.

  • ACD Insight

    An explosive mix in southern Libya

    08 May 2017.  The next phase of the conflict in Libya is likely to be in the south of the country, given the proliferation of armed groups along the border and the ongoing offensive by the Libyan National Army.

  • Survival

    Was Libya’s Collapse Predictable?

    20 March 2017.  The debate over whether the Libyan intervention was justified should take as its starting point the imponderables facing decision-makers in March 2011.

  • The Military Balance

    Chapter 7: Middle East and North Africa

    14 February 2017.  Middle East and North Africa: Russia changes the battlefield; The campaign against ISIS; The Iraqi Army; The war in Yemen; Yemen and GCC military cooperation; Regional capabilities increase; Defence Economics; Macroeconomics; Defence spending and procurement; Defence industry; Emirates Defence Industries Company

    Saudi Arabia: Defence policy; The armed forces; Defence and security cooperation and coalitions; Operations in Yemen; Defence economics and industry

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