03 March 2017.
His Excellency Masafumi Ishii, Ambassador of Japan to Belgium; Representative of the Government of Japan to NATO
Arundel House, London
Friday 3 March 2017, 3.30–4.30pm GMT
The Military Balance
14 February 2017.
Asia: Regional military roles; The South China Sea and Washington’s regional role; Southeast Asian states’ defence cooperation; Indian Air Force: fleet-recapitalisation challenges remain; Southeast Asia: capability enhancements; Northeast Asia; THAAD deployment in South Korea; Defence Economics; Macroeconomics; Asian defence spending; Procurement; Defence industry
China: National-security legislation; Organisational reform; Theatre commands: responsible for war fighting; Armed services: responsible for building the force; Work in progress; PLA training in 2016; PLA Army organisation; People’s Liberation Army Air Force; People’s Liberation Army Navy; Defence Economics; Overhauling defence R&D; Realising the potential of civil–military integration; Diversifying defence-budget sources; China and the Third Offset Strategy
Myanmar’s armed forces: privileges maintained
Vietnam: New strategy document; Twelfth National Congress; Defence policy and capability; Foreign defence relations; Defence economics
Politics and Strategy
17 November 2016.
For years after the end of the Cold War, the United States was the hegemon in the Asia-Pacific, but the election of Donald Trump last week has led the region into uncharted territory.
02 November 2016.
North Korean nuclear bomb and ballistic missile tests may require the United States and its regional allies to take a harder look at military options against North Korea. Pre-emptive or preventive attack is fraught with downsides. But uncertainties surrounding deterrence and worries about potential North Korean brinkmanship could keep that option salient.
19 October 2016.
A hundred days into his single six-year term, President Rodrigo Duterte has already asserted his powerful political position by undertaking a brutal campaign on drugs, weakening the Philippines' longstanding alliance with the United States and warming to China. These pronounced shifts in policy, however, have drawn considerable criticism from influential figures and groups inside as well as outside the Philippines. Duterte may find it difficult to maintain such controversial policies throughout his presidency.
05 October 2016.
North Korea conducted its fifth and most powerful nuclear test on 9 September, and is moving towards mounting a nuclear bomb on ballistic missiles of increasing range. The Obama administration's policy of strategic patience may now be insufficient. Pyongyang is unlikely to restrain its nuclear bomb and ballistic missile development in the absence of greater US and Chinese assertiveness and more creative strategies.
25 August 2016.
By William Choong, Shangri-La Dialogue Senior Fellow for Asia-Pacific Security
Faced with a crushing defeat in the South China Sea arising from the historic Permanent Court of Arbitration judgment last month, China has upped the ante in the East China Sea. On Sunday, Tokyo protested to Beijing after Chinese coastguard ships sailed into the 12-nautical-mile territorial sea surrounding the disputed Senkaku/Diaoyu islands.
Earlier this month, on August 5, Chinese fishing vessels entered the...
20 July 2016.
Seok-soo Lee, Director-General, Research Institute for National Security Affairs, Korea National Defense University
Kongdan (Katy) Oh, Senior Asia Specialist, Institute for Defense Analyses
IISS–Americas, Washington DC
Wednesday 20 July 2016, 10–11.00AM EDT
18 July 2016.
The recent judgment of an arbitral tribunal will have implications well beyond the South China Sea. While definitive solutions to competing territorial claims are likely to remain elusive, Sarah Raine suggests that the ruling nonetheless represents an opportunity for renewed discussion.
Politics and Strategy
07 June 2016.
While working on my recently published book on Asia’s Latent Nuclear Powers, I never imagined that a US presidential candidate would argue with its central thesis about the inadvisability of America’s partners in the region pursuing nuclear weapons. For Japan, South Korea or Taiwan to go down that path would trigger huge economic losses, yawning security vulnerabilities and a steep fall from grace in the eyes of the world. Fortunately...