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The secret to North Korea’s ICBM success

How has North Korea managed to make such astounding progress with its long-range missile programme over the last two years? Read our exclusive analysis by Michael Elleman, Senior Fellow for Missile Defence.

New publication

Armed Conflict Survey 2017

The Armed Conflict Survey provides in-depth analysis of the political, military and humanitarian dimensions of all major armed conflicts.

  • Events

    Conflicts and transformation in the Levant

    04 October 2017. 

    Wednesday 4 October, 12.30–2pm BST
    Arundel House, London
    Speaker:
    Emile Hokayem, Senior Fellow for Middle East Security, IISS
    Chair:
    Dr Nicholas Redman, Director of Editorial; Editor, Strategic Survey and Adelphi Books, IISS

  • Survival

    Ideology and Strategy in the Middle East: The Case of Iran

    18 September 2017.  The greatest challenge for the West in dealing with Iran stems not so much from its behaviour in the Middle East, or even its nuclear programme, as from uncertainty about its ultimate strategic goals.

  • Events

    New York Discussion: Tensions with Iran

    14 September 2017. 

    Thursday 14 September, 6–7.30pm EDT
    The Princeton Club of New York, New York
    Speakers:
    Suzanne DiMaggio, Director, The U.S.-Iran Initiative, New America
    Jay Solomon, author, The Iran Wars: Spy Games, Bank Battles, and the Secret Deals That Reshaped the Middle East (2016)
    Chair:
    Mark Fitzpatrick, Executive Director, IISS–Americas

  • Strategic Survey

    Strategic Geography 2017

    06 September 2017. 
    The Strategic Geography section of Strategic Survey 2017 includes maps on North Korea’s illicit economic network, constitutional change and conflict in Turkey, and the burgeoning food-security crisis.

  • Politics and Strategy

    The Iran nuclear deal is working – access debates are no cause for alarm

    29 August 2017.  The US wants nuclear inspectors to visit Iranian military sites. But ‘policing Iran at gunpoint’ is a dangerous path, writes Mark Fitzpatrick. 

  • Strategic Comments

    Iran under Rouhani: increasing constraint

    10 August 2017.  Iranian President Hassan Rouhani, though easily re-elected last May, faces a more confrontational United States, a more aggressive Saudi Arabia, and lower expectations of economic benefits from the nuclear deal than he did in his first term. These factors are emboldening hardliners in Iran's non-elected institutions, who are likely to constrain Rouhani's reformist agenda in both the domestic and international arenas.

  • IISS Voices

    Don’t repeat the Iraq War false WMD claims with Iran

    01 August 2017.  Washington's confrontational approach could wreck the Iran nuclear deal and trigger war in the Middle East, Mark Fitzpatrick says. He calls for cooperation to replace unfounded assumptions, false claims and ideologically-driven judgements.  

  • Expert Commentary

    Qatar and the interconnection of regional crises

    29 July 2017.  The Qatar crisis is not simply a regional tiff, it is a fundamental disagreement about the direction the wider region should take. The West needs to see that actions in one country immediately affect others, says Sir John Jenkins.

  • IISS Voices

    Three strikes against claims that Iran is violating the nuclear accord

    27 July 2017.  Criticism of Iran’s conduct in relation to the 2015 nuclear deal does not withstand scrutiny. US withdrawal from the agreement would not convince other parties to re-impose sanctions, but could trigger a global crisis. 

  • IISS Voices

    On Iran, US and Europe may go their separate ways

    18 July 2017.  Washington is becoming increasingly confrontational when it comes to Iran and the future of the nuclear deal, while European policymakers have been at pains to emphasise its importance. As Paulina Izewicz explains, Europe appears increasingly ready to chart its own course.

Trump’s erratic Middle East policy

The Trump administration's Middle East policy has become impulsive and inconsistent, as with its intervention in Qatar's dispute with other Gulf countries and Egypt.