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Iran

Trump’s erratic Middle East policy

The Trump administration's Middle East policy has become impulsive and inconsistent, as with its intervention in Qatar's dispute with other Gulf Cooperation Council members and Egypt. The United States is also leaning towards intensified confrontation with Iran – especially over Syria. In any case, the administration's policy is unlikely to lend needed stability to the region.

New publication

Armed Conflict Survey 2017

The Armed Conflict Survey provides in-depth analysis of the political, military and humanitarian dimensions of all major armed conflicts.

  • IISS Voices

    On Iran, US and Europe may go their separate ways

    18 July 2017.  Washington is becoming increasingly confrontational when it comes to Iran and the future of the nuclear deal, while European policymakers have been at pains to emphasise its importance. As Paulina Izewicz explains, Europe appears increasingly ready to chart its own course.

  • Events

    Anticipating and Mitigating Future Iranian Military Capabilities

    18 July 2017. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Michael Eisenstadt, Kahn Fellow and Director, Military & Security Studies Program, The Washington Institute
    Michael Elleman, Senior Fellow for Missile Defence, IISS
    John 'Fozzie' Miller, Vice Admiral (Retired), US Navy
    Chaired by Mark Fitzpatrick, Executive Director, IISS–Americas
    IISS–Americas, Washington DC
    Tuesday 18 July, 10–11am EDT

  • Survival

    Noteworthy

    17 July 2017.  In the August–September issue, Daniel Deudney and G. John Ikenberry argue that the Iraq War was the product of foreign-policy realism, not liberalism; Nigel Inkster asks how military cyber power might be measured; Douglas Barrie examines Russia’s deployment of a ground-launched cruise missile in violation of the INF Treaty; Brad Roberts explores approaches to strategic stability under the Obama and Trump administrations; William C. Potter traces the diplomatic route to...

  • Military Balance Blog

    Dispute in the Gulf: potential defence implications

    17 July 2017.  It’s a key hub for US and other Western regional air operations and a growing prospect for defence sales, but, as James Hackett explains, it also has a central role to play in improving regional military capabilities. Chief among these is the development of collective missile-defence architectures that could more effectively guard against a potential threat from Iran’s ballistic missile arsenal.

  • Strategic Comments

    Trump’s erratic Middle East policy

    12 July 2017. 

    The Trump administration's Middle East policy has become impulsive and inconsistent, as with its intervention in Qatar's dispute with Saudi Arabia, other Gulf Cooperation Council members and Egypt. The United States is also leaning towards intensified confrontation with Iran – especially over Syria. In any case, the administration's policy is unlikely to lend needed stability to the region.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Rollback? Trump’s Iran claims not just flawed but dangerous

    05 July 2017.  Steven Simon argues that Trump’s view on Iran is not only analytically flawed, but also dangerous.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Critics are wrong: Iran remains in compliance with nuclear accord

    15 June 2017.  Mark Fitzpatrick calls for fair assessments of Iran’s nuclear activity, and argues that critics must consider context and perspective in their analyses.

  • IISS Voices

    Rouhani's Iran: between hardliners and Trump

    02 June 2017.  Hassan Rouhani was the clear winner of the Iranian presidential election - but he faces challenges at home and abroad.

  • Strategic Comments

    The battle for Mosul

    15 May 2017. 

    Iraqi government and allied forces are poised to decisively retake Mosul from the Islamic State, also known as ISIS or ISIL, within the next few months. But the presence of ISIS in Syria will still pose the risk of the group's resurgence in Iraq until the Iraq–Syria border is secure and ISIS has been denied control of Raqqa, its Syrian base and self-declared capital.

  • IISS Voices

    IISS Cyber Report: 13 to 19 April

    20 April 2017.  Our weekly digest of the world's cyber security news.

The Rise of ISIS

To mark the tenth anniversary of the IISS Manama Dialogue the IISS is publishing an Adelphi book that analyses the key challenges now faced by the Middle East.