• Expert Commentary

    New York Times: Don’t Create a New Al Qaeda

    06 January 2014.  By Steven Simon, Executive Director IISS-US and Corresponding Director IISS-Middle East and Daniel Benjamin Egypt’s military leaders have launched an all-out war against the Muslim Brotherhood. American and European leaders have observed this crackdown with a sense of detachment, both because they have few tools to influence the military’s decision-making and because this conflict appears to be an internal matter. But the belief that this intensifying conflict will play out solely within Egypt’s...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Steven Simon: Egypt’s crackdown could create new al-Qaedas

    06 January 2014.  Short memory is the software for repeated fateful errors. Egypt’s heightened repression of the Muslim Brotherhood is a good copy of the folly that led to the rise of the jihadist terrorism that culminated in 9/11. The New York Times today published my essay on this theme, which I wrote together with Daniel Benjamin, my colleague from the Clinton and Obama administrations (and my co-author for The Age of Sacred Terror and The Next Attack, as well...

  • Strategic Comments

    Libya: paralysed by militias

    22 November 2013. 

    Recent security incidents – including an oil blockade, the kidnapping of Prime Minister Ali Zeidan, and a lethal clash between a militia and civilians in Tripoli – have exposed the stranglehold that Libya's militias have over their country. Political paralysis is complicating efforts to tackle the problem.

  • IISS Voices

    Islam Al Tayeb: Fallout for Turkey over events in Egypt

    22 November 2013.  The election of a Muslim Brotherhood (MB) president in Egypt in 2012 seemed to be a validation of the so-called 'Turkish model' of moderate Islamic government, IISS Research Analyst Islam Al Tayeb writes in Today's Zaman. Therefore, 'Mohammed Morsi's controversial time in office and his eventual removal in a coup-cum-revolution four months ago’ could be damaging for Turkey. Our research analyst explains the parallels between Turkey’s ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP)...

  • IISS Voices

    Insecurity and conflict in the Sinai peninsula

    21 November 2013.  Violence and militant activity in the Sinai has increased to such a degree that the peninsula has been added to the more than 50 other conflicts covered by the IISS’s re-launched Armed Conflict Database (ACD). Our researchers have noted the considerable increase in violence since Egyptian President Muhammad Morsi was removed from power in July. Sporadic attacks targeting Israel; the Egyptian military apparatus; oil and gas pipelines; international peacekeepers; tourists; and...

  • IISS Voices

    Egypt in transition

    24 October 2013.  ‘The whole Middle East today is boiling,’ according to Ambassador Shaker, Chairman of the Egyptian Council for Foreign Affairs. ‘And at the end of this boiling, probably something new will emerge … we don’t know what it is. It depends not only on us, but on the interference of world powers … we will have at the end perhaps a different Middle East than the one we expected to have.’ Sharing...

  • Strategic Comments

    Egypt: shifting politics under army control

    23 October 2013. 

    Nearly four months after President Muhammad Morsi was deposed, Egyptian politics remain profoundly unsettled. A civilian president and government, appointed by the military, are attempting to preserve the illusion of civilian authority in a country dominated again by the military.

  • Events

    The Gulf States Between a Shaken Middle Eastern Order and US Policy

    17 October 2013. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Emile Hokayem, Senior Fellow for Regonal Security, IISS-Middle East
    Frederic Wehrey, Senior Associate in the Middle East Program,
    Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
    IISS-US, Washington DC
    Thursday October 17, 2013

  • Events

    Egypt in Transition

    17 October 2013. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Ambassador Dr Mohamed Shaker
    Chairman, Egyptian Council for Foreign Affairs;
    former Ambassador of Egypt to the United Kingdom and Austria
    Mona Zulficar
    Lawyer and Chair, Executive Committee of Zulficar and Partners;
    Vice President, Constitutional Drafting Committee
    Mohamed Salmawy
    President, Egyptian Writers' Union and Secretary General, Arab Writers' Union;
    Member and Official Spokesman, Constitutional Drafting Committee
    Arundel House, London
    Thursday 17 October 2013

  • Survival

    Egypt’s Sorrow and America’s Limits

    01 October 2013. 

    The interim government in Cairo is spurring a rebellion despite its countervailing intention. Neither the US, nor anyone else, is really in a position to affect the process.

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