Merkel 4.0: not so different after all

German Chancellor Angela Merkel will lead a new coalition government that has diluted her power and produced low expectations, amid considerable domestic uncertainty and foreign policy challenges.

Zimbabwe after Mugabe

Robert Mugabe’s legacy of authoritarian misrule will be difficult to expunge. President Emmerson Mnangagwa appears determined to utilise the army to ensure party victory in forthcoming elections.

The Trump administration’s Nuclear Posture Review

The new US nuclear posture review calls for the modernisation of US nuclear-weapons systems and expanded nuclear options. The latter could most controversially lower the nuclear threshold.

The Russian–Turkish rapprochement

Russia–Turkey relations have recently swung from comprehensive discord to wide-ranging cooperation. But their rapprochement remains far from a strategic partnership.

Washington’s incoherent climate policy

US President Donald Trump's reversal of long-standing American climate policy would intensify perceptions that the United States has abdicated global leadership.

Trump’s Jerusalem move

The Trump administration's decision to move the US embassy to Jerusalem is unlikely to lead to promising Israeli-Palestinian negotiations on the final status of the Palestinian territories.

China’s evolving role in African security

China’s engagement in Africa is increasingly defined by its role in bolstering peace and security. But these outcomes will depend substantially on Beijing's wider strategic outlook.

The wider implications of Zapad 2017

Russia's Zapad 2017 exercise conveyed Moscow's determination to re-establish its sphere of influence in the face of NATO’s perceived expansionism. NATO must not allow the fact that Zapad was less aggressive than some had feared to shake its firm commitment to eastern European allies.