Kerry Lavrov Mistura blog

After years of civil war in Syria, battlefield dynamics are shifting decisively in favour of the regime of Bashar al-Assad, in large part thanks to Russia’s military intervention. The combined forces of the Syrian government, Russia, Iran and their allies are making advances across the country, fighting primarily the mainstream rebellion.

Faced with the immensity of the refugee and humanitarian crisis, international powers are pushing for a resumption of peace talks over the Syrian conflict. In the meantime, they have negotiated a cessation of hostilities that brings welcome respite and aid to civilians but contains flaws and freezes the conflict rather than opens the way for a negotiated transition. 

Emile Hokayem assessed the consequences of both escalation and diplomacy for the future of Syria, its neighbourhood and the fight against ISIS.


Emile Hokayem is the Senior Fellow for Middle East Security at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, based out of its Middle East office in Manama, Bahrain. He is the author of Syria’s Uprising and the Fracturing of the Levant and the co-editor of Middle Eastern Security, the US Pivot and the Rise of ISIS. He regularly provides analysis on Middle East affairs to governments, corporations and the media.

This meeting was chaired by Dr Nelly Lahoud. It took place at the IISS–Middle East offices in the Kingdom of Bahrain, 14th Floor GBCorp Tower, Bahrain Financial Harbour, Manama.

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Event details

Discussion Meeting
Emile Hokayem, Senior Fellow for Middle East Security, IISS–Middle East
IISS–Middle East, Manama
Wednesday 23 March, 5–6pm AST

Survival: Global Politics and Strategy

August–September 2016

This issue of Survival features Kristin Ven Bruusgaard on Russia's approach to strategic deterrence, James E. Doyle critiquing US plans to modernise the country's nuclear arsenal, and much more.