Volume 50, Number 3 of Survival, the Institute's bi-monthly journal, has been published.
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A Gaullist By Any Other Name
Justin Vaisse
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What Price Energy Transformation?
R. Andreas Kraemer
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Nuclear Threat Reduction: Cooperating in Troubled Times
Jack Caravelli
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Noteworthy View this article online
The Strategic Implications of Climate Change
Alan Dupont
Climate change of the magnitude and time frames projected by the world’s leading climate scientists poses fundamental questions of human security, survival and the stability of nation states. While state weakness and destabilising internal conflicts are a more likely outcome than inter-state war, climate change will be a stress multiplier for all nations and societies, especially those already at risk from ethnic and religious conflicts, economic weakness and environmental degradation. Prudence and sensible risk management suggest that policymakers need to take this issue far more seriously. And strategic planners ought to include worst-case climate-change scenarios in their contingency planning, as climate change is set to rank with terrorism, pandemic diseases and major war as one of the principle challenges to security in the twenty-first century. View this article online
Alan Dupont, Michael Hintze Professor of International Security and Director of the Centre for International Security Studies at the University of Sydney discusses his article on The Strategic Implications of Climate Change (fourteen minutes).
The Return of State Capitalism
Ian Bremmer
After the Soviet collapse, the dynamism and market power of the United States, Japan, and Western Europe established the dominance of a liberal economic mode fuelled by private wealth, private investment and private enterprise. Yet, over the past several years, public wealth, public investment, and public enterprise have made a remarkable comeback. An era of state capitalism has dawned, the natural by-product of a global economy which will increasingly depend for most of its growth on China, the Persian Gulf states, and other emerging market countries, many of which are predisposed toward statist models of economic development. This trend is generating plenty of anxiety, particularly among American and European policymakers, who fear that the growth of national oil companies, state-owned enterprises and sovereign wealth funds threatens their countries’ economic well-being and national security. View this article online
China’s Falklands Lessons
Lyle Goldstein
The People’s Liberation Army’s lack of recent combat experience leads Chinese defence analysts to a major, systematic effort to look outward in the pursuit of insights about the emerging strategic environment. In Chinese military literature, the 1982 Falklands War has achieved noteworthy prominence. The PLA’s objective and sophisticated understanding of the war in the South Atlantic may help explain both specific Chinese military approaches toward the analogous Taiwan situation and wider trends in Chinese military development. View this article online
Europe’s Role in Nation Building
James Dobbins
Despite continuing difficulties, European institutions for the management of civil–military operations have developed to the stage where more than brief, tentative experiments can be embarked upon with some confidence. The greatest challenges faced by the EU are not in the efficacious employment of armed force, but rather in formulating and applying the broader political-military strategy which must underlie it. Outside of Europe, the most efficient way for European governments to contribute to international peace operations will be to assign national contingents directly to UN peacekeeping missions. It is, thus, time for European governments, militaries and populations to get over the trauma of Srebrenica and related UN failures in the Balkans in the early 1990s, take on board the subsequent improvement in the UN’s performance, and begin once again to do their share in manning, as they are already doing in paying for, these efforts. View this article online
On Friday 30 May 2008, James Dobbins spoke on ‘Europe’s Role in Nation-Building’, the subject of his article in the June/July issue of Survival. A stream of the Introduction and the speech and Q&A are available.
The Strategic Dimensions of Civil Resistance
Peter Ackerman and Berel Rodal
The sequenced, sustained application of nonviolent operations has engendered historical results: tyrants have capitulated, governments collapsed, occupying armies retreated and political systems that denied human rights been delegitimated and dismantled. Those threatened by such campaigns are prone to define a ‘regime change’ desired and driven by outside parties as the object and prize In fact, the object is transformation in the way people themselves can determine how they are governed. Individuals and institutions who care about democracy and freedom, peace and security need to work together to develop a set of modern norms for how citizens and civil societies may freely work together across national boundaries and permit universal access to knowledge and resources necessary to protect rights, especially when denied or threatened by oppressive rule. View this article online
Anthropology in Conflict: An Exchange
Rye Barcott, James Peacock, Roberto J. González, Nadje Al-Ali and Laura A. McNamara View this article online
Review Essay: I Spy
Simon Chesterman View this article online
Review Essay: Reorienting Japan
Rajan Menon View this article online
Book Reviews View this article online
Brief Notices View this article online
From the Archives: Survival 1968–1977 View this article online
Letters to the Editor View this article online
Closing Argument: Thinking the Unthinkable
Jeffrey Mazo
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