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Another Balkan crisis |
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As ethnic-Albanian insurgency and Serbian repression worsen in Kosovo, the third Balkan war of the 1990s has caught NATO by surprise. The Alliance has, however, responded quickly, threatening military deployments on Kosovo's borders and possible airstrikes against targets in Serbia. Strategic Comments examines the background to the conflict and the difficult choices facing NATO as it hesitates between humanitarian imperatives, respect for Yugoslav sovereignty and the reluctance of Western politicians to contemplate another open-ended military commitment.
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Missiles and the Eastern Mediterranean |
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The Russian government's decision to press ahead with the sale of anti-aircraft missiles to the Republic of Cyprus has led Turkey to threaten either to intercept them before they are delivered, or to attack them after they are deployed. The Eastern Mediterranean is facing its most serious risk of conflict for several years, with grave implications for regional stability, the prestige and unity of NATO and the European Union, and Russia's relations with the West. Strategic Comments examines the arguments on both sides.
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India and Pakistan's nuclear tests |
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Western intelligence services are unable to agree on the exact nature of the nuclear tests carried out by India and Pakistan in May 1998. Nonetheless, it is clear that both countries now have the capability to deploy limited arsenals of nuclear weapons. Strategic Comments analyses the evidence concerning the tests and the weapons potential of the two sides.
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Growing conflict in Colombia |
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The civil war in Colombia has become Latin America's worst conflict since the Central American wars of the 1980s. It is leading to heavy casualties, numerous atrocities and a growing dilemma for US policy-makers over whether to grant Bogotá aid for counter-insurgency operations. Both the Communist rebels and anti-Communist paramilitaries are closely linked to the drugs trade, raising the risk that the country will effectively disintegrate into warring narco-fiefdoms.
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Israeli security demands and the Palestinians |
Strategic Comments reprints in full the latest US-Israeli-Palestinian peace plan, leaked in early June, and looks at its feasibility in the context of Israeli security demands on the Palestinians. This article examines which of these demands are based on real security fears, and which are motivated by nationalist aims, and draws worrying conclusions about their acceptability to the Palestinians and the prospects for lasting peace and stability.
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