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Volume 14 – Issue 5 – June 2008

 

Rehabilitating the jihadists

A programme aimed at reintegrating jihadists into society forms an important and innovative part of Saudi Arabia's efforts to deal with radicals. So far, it appears to be a success – albeit a qualified one. Only 20% of those undergoing rehabilitation re-offend, but the programme has little impact on hard-core jihadists and the degree to which returnees from Guantanamo Bay can be successfully reintegrated into society remains to be determined.

 

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Syria's secret reactor

Evidence presented by the United States government on 24 April 2008 proved beyond reasonable doubt that the facility in northeast Syria destroyed in an Israeli air-strike on 6 September 2007 had been a clandestine nuclear reactor designed to produce plutonium. The Americans say the Syrian technology almost certainly came from North Korea. So the onus will now be on Pyongyang not only to follow through with dismantling its own plutonium-production facilities, but also to show its commitment not to engage in proliferation to other countries.

 

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Rice on the Middle East

US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice spoke to IISS Senior Fellow for Gulf Security Mamoun Fandy in London, before President's George W. Bush's trip most recent trip to the Middle East. Although Bush's visit did little to raise hopes of an imminent solution to the long-standing Israeli–Palestinian conflict, Secretary Rice insisted a two-state solution was viable provided that the two main parties abandoned impossible dreams and committed themselves to offering difficult concessions.

 

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Sparring over Abkhazia

The standoff between Russia and Georgia over the unresolved conflict in Abkhazia has grown increasingly tense in recent months, with Russia deploying additional troops and accusations flying between the two capitals. Although it is accepted by the international community as part of Georgia, Abkhazia has been outside Tbilisi's control for 15 years and has developed quasi-state institutions. It now wants to use Kosovo's unilateral declaration of independence as a precedent for gaining international recognition.

 

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Lebanon's stop-gap peace

Lebanon erupted into a sudden, but brief, crisis in May 2008, when a potentially explosive situation was resolved – at least temporarily – by a deal on a new government and future elections. While the outcome seemed positive, it has left concerns about American policy towards the country and potential radicalisation of Lebanon's Sunni community. Questions also remain over the future role of Hizbullah and the group's disarmament.


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