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The Beijing Olympics
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The Olympic Games in Beijing in August are shining a spotlight on China’s growth as an economic and political power. Anxious to demonstrate that its rise is benign, China’s leaders have been modifying a range of foreign and domestic policies in the build-up to the event. These changes are likely to persist beyond the games, but so too will international concerns about the direction of the country’s development.
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The CFE Treaty
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Russia’s December 2007 suspension of its participation in the Conventional Forces in Europe (CFE) Treaty has thrown the future of this important arms-control agreement into question. If no compromise can be reached, the entire post-Cold War security system will have to be revised.
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Iraq after the surge |
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The Baghdad Security Plan or ‘surge’ has been in force for 12 months. Militarily it has undoubtedly succeeded, delivering on its short-term promise to reduce violence. However, there is a danger that the sustainability of its success could be undermined by Iraq’s political dynamics.
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Spain's complex terrorist threats |
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In the area of counter-terrorism, Spain’s situation is unique in Europe as the only nation at once facing ‘new’ and ‘old’ threats. It confronts not only a transnational Islamist terrorist threat from al-Qaeda and like-minded groups, but also a more restrained but lethal threat from ETA, the Basque separatist group. Both threats pose difficult political challenges to the government.
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After Annapolis
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The Annapolis Summit on 27 November 2007 represented a break from the previous policy of the George W. Bush administration on the Palestinian–Israeli impasse. It produced a joint statement of understanding between Israel and the Palestinian Authority, but subsequent progress has so far been mixed. If progress towards a final-status deal by January 2009 falters, the US would lose the support of many key regional partners and the next administration could find it much more difficult to resume the process.
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