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The geo-economics of the Delhi Declaration

The India-US Delhi Declaration of Friendship, agreed between Prime Minister Modi and President Obama in New Delhi this weekend, marks a positive progression in strategic relations between the two countries and heralds a new commitment to geo-economic cooperation, writes Sanjaya Baru.

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    Annabel Corser: Eliminating chemical weapons

    27 January 2015.  By Annabel Corser, Editorial Assistant The OPCW-UN Joint Mission in Syria drew to a close on 30 September 2014 and, as of October, 98.7% of Syrian chemical material has been destroyed. For Peter Sawczak (who heads the Government Relations and Political Affairs Branch of the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons) these successes are the latest indicators of the OPCW’s effectiveness and the value of the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC)...

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    William Choong: Dr Ng Eng Hen - strengthening cooperation to enhance security

    26 January 2015.  By William Choong, Shangri-La Dialogue Senior Fellow for Asia-Pacific Security The threat of Islamic extremism in Asia arising from the emergence of the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS) should be a focus of discussion at this year’s Shangri-La Dialogue (SLD), said Singapore’s Defence Minister Dr Ng Eng Hen in his keynote address at the 3rd Fullerton Forum. Speaking to 66 delegates from 22 countries for the third edition of...

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    Sanjaya Baru: The geo-economics of the Delhi Declaration

    26 January 2015.  By Sanjaya Baru, Director for Geo-economics and Strategy A decade and a half ago, in January 2000, Condoleezza Rice wrote a perceptive essay in an influential journal on what constitutes American national interest at the dawn of a new millennium. There, for the first time, an prominent American strategic analyst urged her national leadership to take India seriously.  What then began as the ‘first steps’ in a new US–India relationship led to...

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    Shiloh Fetzek: Climate change, violence and young people

    22 January 2015.  By Shiloh Fetzek, Consulting Research Associate for Climate Change and Security A new report from IISS, co-authored with International Alert and commissioned by UNICEF-UK, examines how the combined challenges of growing youth populations and climate impacts could multiply security risks in regions already vulnerable to poor governance and social and political instability. Both climate change and youthful population age structures can affect factors that shape the security environment and influence the risk of violence. Climate and...

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    Alexander Neill: Xi Jinping's anti-corruption campaign intensifies

    21 January 2015.  By Alexander Neill, Shangri-La Dialogue Senior Fellow for Asia-Pacific Security  Early in December 2014, the Chinese state media reported the arrest of Zhou Yongkang, a recently retired Chinese Communist Party (CCP) politburo standing committee member and the former apex domestic security chief. Zhou is currently subject to a judicial probe which will likely result in his prosecution in the People’s courts and a lengthy prison sentence. Zhou’s downfall was the subject of...

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    John Drennan: The tenuous ceasefire in Ukraine

    15 January 2015.  Although negotiations in Minsk resulted in a tentative ceasefire in eastern Ukraine, a comprehensive settlement of the key issues has not yet been reached between Kyiv and the separatists, and fighting has re-escalated in 2015.

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    John Drennan: Lukashenko - More than a Kremlin satrap

    12 January 2015.  By John Drennan, Research Assistant and Programme Officer, Russia and Eurasia Programme Following Russia’s annexation of Crimea in March 2014 and the subsequent crisis in Ukraine, Belarus’s President Aleksandr Lukashenko has sought to carefully balance his country’s deep dependence on Russia against potential new threats to Belarus’s sovereignty. During his tenure, Lukashenko has demonstrated that he is no Kremlin satrap, but rather a self-interested client willing to deviate from his patron...

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    Nigel Inkster: The Aftermath of Charlie Hebdo

    08 January 2015.  By Nigel Inkster, Director for Transnational Threats and Political Risk The circumstances surrounding the attack by three gunmen on the French satirical magazine Charlie Hebdo are still unfolding and authoritative commentary is hard to produce. One of the suspects has turned himself in and the two remaining suspects, French nationals of Algerian origin with jihadist antecedents, are the subject of a nationwide manhunt. As is so often the case, it was...

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    Nigel Inkster: Torture and the CIA

    10 December 2014.  By Nigel Inkster, Director for Transnational Threats and Political Risk The unclassified version of the United States Senate report on the CIA’s detention and interrogation of suspected al-Qaeda detainees released on 9 December 2014 makes sobering reading. The facts of the Senate report are not disputed. Between 2001 and 2006, the CIA detained 119 suspected al-Qaeda operatives in a number of secret locations. Of these, 26 subsequently proved to have had...

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    Nicholas Redman: Putin and the plunging oil price

    06 December 2014.  By Nicholas Redman, Senior Fellow for Geopolitical Risk and Economic Security Vladimir Putin depicted Russia as a state defiant under siege in his 4 December speech to both houses of Russia’s parliament. Sanctions imposed over the course of this year have hurt the Russian economy, which was already misfiring, but the bigger story of late has been the fall in the price of oil, from over $110 per barrel in...

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