• Events

    It’s a deal: the business of peacebuilding

    01 November 2016. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Dr Elke Grawert, Senior Researcher, Bonn International Center for Conversion
    Arundel House, London
    Tuesday 1 November 2016, 12.30–1.30PM GMT

  • IISS Voices

    Looking forward to the 2016 EU Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Conference

    28 October 2016.  2016 has been an important year in the non-proliferation and disarmament field. January saw the high of implementation day for the Iran deal, September the low of North Korea’s fifth nuclear test, and on 27 October UN member states voted to begin negotiations on a treaty to ban nuclear weapons entirely. These events and issues will be debated at this upcoming EU conference, introduced here by Matthew Cottee.

  • Strategic Comments

    The Philippines: Duterte’s wilful start

    19 October 2016. 

    A hundred days into his single six-year term, President Rodrigo Duterte has already asserted his powerful political position by undertaking a brutal campaign on drugs, weakening the Philippines' longstanding alliance with the United States and warming to China. These pronounced shifts in policy, however, have drawn considerable criticism from influential figures and groups inside as well as outside the Philippines. Duterte may find it difficult to maintain such controversial policies throughout his presidency.

  • Strategic Comments

    The United States’ Syria quandary

    12 October 2016. 

    Following the collapse of the latest ceasefire, the Obama administration faces increasing pressure from interventionists for more robust military action against the Assad regime. But the United States' military options are problematic. The administration's Syria policy will probably not change substantially before he leaves office in January, though Hillary Clinton – his likely successor – has indicated that she would lean farther forward, in particular by imposing no-fly zones.

  • Strategic Comments

    A Nuclear Ban Treaty: prospects and issues

    28 September 2016. 

    The United Nations General Assembly is expected soon to authorise the negotiation of a treaty that would make nuclear weapons illegal. Despite little media attention, prospects for an actual agreement look better this time. Countries possessing nuclear weapons have resisted the idea and would continue to do so. But with nuclear arms control on other fronts stalled, the negotiation of a Ban Treaty may be the only game in town for some time.

  • Strategic Comments

    Libya’s faltering new government

    21 September 2016. 

    The new UN-backed Government of National Accord (GNA) has based itself in Tripoli. But the GNA has failed to muster an effective nationwide military capability and is rivalled for national authority by the Tobruk-based House of Representatives (HOR), which controls the Libyan National Army, Libya's most cohesive armed organisation, as well as Libya's oil ports. Although GNA-linked forces have decimated the Islamic State in and around Sirte, the new government's unsteady hold on Tripoli is vulnerable to HOR challenge.

  • IISS Voices

    Matthew Cottee: North Korea’s fifth nuclear test: time to take its nuclear status seriously?

    09 September 2016.  Even though North Korea’s latest nuclear test was widely forecast to happen, there is no clear indication of what the international response will, or could, comprise. As Matthew Cottee explains, the US has promised ‘serious consequences’ and South Korean President Park Geun-hye has referred to Kim Jong-un’s ‘maniacal recklessness’ as a step towards self-destruction, but there are few indications of how these condemnations will translate into substantive policy.

  • ACD Insight

    Enhanced security provision unlikely to bring peace to South Sudan

    30 August 2016.  Without the formulation of a longer-term plan to address the multiple layers of the conflict, it is unlikely to end in the foreseeable future.

  • IISS Voices

    Anastasia Voronkova: Enhanced security provision unlikely to bring peace to South Sudan

    30 August 2016.  Without the formulation of a longer-term plan to address the multiple layers of the conflict, it is unlikely to end in the foreseeable future.

  • Expert Commentary

    Strategist: Giving China a ladder to climb down

    01 August 2016.  By William Choong, Shangri-La Dialogue Senior Fellow for Asia-Pacific Security The 12 July judgment by the Hague-based Arbitral Tribunal on the South China Sea constituted a near-total defeat for China. While it was widely expected that the Philippines would win, it wasn't expected that China would lose by such a wide margin. Understandably, China has taken a hawkish and resolute stance against the Tribunal. Eager to show China’s resolve in defending its...

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