• Adelphi Books

    Chapter Two: Deterrence and flexibility

    13 September 2017. 

    Three alternatives to the current plan for nuclear-force modernisation would fulfil the principal function of the force: to deter a range of plausible threats from nuclear-armed rivals against the US and its allies.

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter One: The plan for a trillion-dollar triad

    13 September 2017. 

    This chapter examines the US' current plans to fully renew its fleet of nuclear bombers, ballistic-missile submarines, and land-based ICBMs and their nuclear warheads, and to upgrade its nuclear infrastructure.

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter 5: Procurement trade-offs and support for conventional operations

    13 September 2017. 

    One of the weakest aspects of the current US plan to upgrade its entire nuclear force is the high expense and modest contribution to conventional military operations.

  • Strategic Comments

    The North Korea crisis

    07 September 2017. 

    North Korea is clearly making rapid progress towards possessing an intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) capable of hitting the United States mainland with a nuclear warhead. An incoherent US approach involving reckless military threats and economic pressure is not working. The Trump administration should consider diplomatic engagement with Pyongyang before its nuclear ICBM capability becomes a fait accompli.

  • Strategic Survey

    Chapter 4: Asia-Pacific

    06 September 2017. 

    For many countries in the Asia-Pacific disturbed by the changing balance of power, the uncertainty generated by the advent of the Trump administration is an incentive to pursue intra-regional collaboration.

  • Expert Commentary

    How to deal with North Korea

    06 September 2017.  Can the US and its allies contain North Korea? Mark Fitzpatrick says most military strike options are not credible – and warns the return of nuclear weapons to South Korea would bring a host of problems.

  • IISS Voices

    Nuclear test reinforces North Korean capabilities

    04 September 2017.  Sanctions and wild threats will not end North Korea’s nuclear programme; Washington should consider how to contain a nuclear-armed Pyongyang. Matthew Cottee predicts a prolonged and uncomfortable standoff.

  • Expert Commentary

    North Korea’s Hwasong-12 Launch

    01 September 2017.  Latest tests are another sign that Pyongyang is deadly serious about developing and fielding nuclear-tipped missiles capable of striking the US mainland.

  • Politics and Strategy

    The Iran nuclear deal is working – access debates are no cause for alarm

    29 August 2017.  The US wants nuclear inspectors to visit Iranian military sites. But ‘policing Iran at gunpoint’ is a dangerous path, writes Mark Fitzpatrick. 

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