• Survival

    Allegation, Counter-Allegation and the INF Treaty

    17 July 2017.  Russia’s alleged deployment of a treaty-breaching ground-launched cruise missile poses serious political–military questions for European states.

  • Survival

    Strategic Stability Under Obama and Trump

    17 July 2017.  The Trump administration must assess how strategic stability, an organising concept for the Obama administration’s strategic policy, might fit with its own guiding principles.

  • Survival

    Measuring Military Cyber Power

    17 July 2017.  Understanding how and why cyber capabilities are developed and deployed is becoming a critical element in determining the power dynamics between states.

  • Military Balance Blog

    Can Franco-German cooperation deliver a new European defence?

    14 July 2017.  While Europe could certainly do with more capabilities and cooperation, a more fundamental change of strategic mindset in Paris and Berlin is required if Europe is to build a more autonomous defence capability. Fabrice Pothier looks beyond recent statements and announcements to examine what their true policy positions are.

  • Events

    The future US forward presence in Europe

    14 July 2017. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Dr John Deni, Research Professor of National Security Studies, Strategic Studies Institute, US Army War College
    Chaired by James Hackett, Editor, The Military Balance, Senior Fellow for Defence and Military Analysis, IISS
    Arundel House, London
    Friday 14 July, 11am–12pm BST

  • Politics and Strategy

    Rollback? Trump’s Iran claims not just flawed but dangerous

    05 July 2017.  Steven Simon argues that Trump’s view on Iran is not only analytically flawed, but also dangerous.

  • Strategic Comments

    NATO’s continuing adaptation

    05 July 2017. 

    Despite US President Donald Trump's noted hectoring on European NATO defence spending, several European NATO countries have been modestly increasing their spending for some time owing to national threat perceptions. The real challenges are to 'spend better', in ways that genuinely enhance military capabilities and in particular increase reassurance and deterrence vis-a-vis Russia, and to improve internal cohesion.

  • Strategic Comments

    Balkan rumblings

    20 June 2017.  Although rumours of war in the Balkans are overblown, the region has acquired greater strategic resonance recently, due mainly to Russia's intensifying interest and secondarily to jihadist activity. But the countries' central challenges are the erosion of democracy and poor governance, which may be tolerated to secure the order and stability needed for admission into the European Union.

  • Strategic Comments

    South Korea’s presidential transition and strategic challenges

    14 June 2017. 

    Moon Jae-in, South Korea's new president, faces stiff domestic challenges and is less inclined towards confrontation with North Korea than either his predecessor or the Trump administration. Nevertheless, South Korea’s alliance with the United States is likely to endure with some modifications and perhaps, given North Korea’s provocations, some upgrades.

  • Military Balance Blog

    Montenegro: NATO enlarges once more

    07 June 2017.  On 5 June 2017, Montenegro formally joined the NATO Alliance, as its instrument of accession to the North Atlantic Treaty was formally deposited with the US State Department. A flag-raising ceremony took place at NATO headquarters today to mark this historic event.

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