• Politics and Strategy

    Pitiful North Korean diplomacy

    25 October 2017.  Military conflict over North Korea’s nuclear and missile programmes is a serious possibility, writes Mark Fitzpatrick.

  • Adelphi Books

    Renewing America’s Nuclear Arsenal: Options for the 21st Century

    23 October 2017. 

    This Adelphi book argues that the US need not replicate its Cold War triad to achieve credible and reliable deterrence.

  • Military Balance Blog

    NATO and Russia: watching the skies

    10 October 2017.  While the focus of Russia’s Zapad (West) 2017 was a fictional conflict in Belarus, several parallel exercises arguably offered as valuable an insight into Moscow’s military thinking as events around Minsk, and served to outline capability areas that NATO needs to consider further.

  • Adelphi Books

    Appendix

    13 September 2017.  Figure 6: US strategic nuclear weapons, 1960–90 Figure 7: US strategic nuclear forces, 1991–2016

  • Adelphi Books

    Conclusion

    13 September 2017. 

    All the modernisation options would meet the requirements of deterrence against nuclear-armed states, but current US plans fare less well in terms of strategic stability and arms control; nuclear security and non-proliferation; and trade-offs with conventional operations.

  • Adelphi Books

    Introduction

    13 September 2017. 

    The US plans to spend an estimated US$1 trillion over 30 years to modernise the full triad of air-, land- and sea-based nuclear weapons. This book proposes three alternatives to the current plan for nuclear-force modernisation and compares them with the existing plan.

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter Four: Nuclear security and non-proliferation

    13 September 2017. 

    The alternative plans for a modernised US nuclear force offer distinct advantages over the current plan in terms of boosting nuclear security and supporting the global non-proliferation regime.

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter Three: Strategic stability and arms control

    13 September 2017. 

    In addition to maintaining deterrence, the size and structure of the nuclear force must promote strategic stability between the US and the other principal nuclear powers. This chapter examines the concept of strategic stability under the full triad and the three alternatives.

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter Two: Deterrence and flexibility

    13 September 2017. 

    Three alternatives to the current plan for nuclear-force modernisation would fulfil the principal function of the force: to deter a range of plausible threats from nuclear-armed rivals against the US and its allies.

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter One: The plan for a trillion-dollar triad

    13 September 2017. 

    This chapter examines the US' current plans to fully renew its fleet of nuclear bombers, ballistic-missile submarines, and land-based ICBMs and their nuclear warheads, and to upgrade its nuclear infrastructure.

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