• Strategic Comments

    The Trump administration’s Afghanistan policy

    28 September 2017. 

    In addition to reducing terrorist threats, US President Donald Trump's new Afghanistan policy seeks to roll back the Taliban on the battlefield and pressure the group into an acceptable political settlement with far fewer US troops than Barack Obama deployed. Trump has also proposed involving India more closely in Afghanistan's economic development, which stands to antagonise Pakistan, the Taliban's key backer. In this light, it appears unlikely that the new policy will succeed.

  • Survival

    NATO’s Limits: A New Security Architecture for Eastern Europe

    18 September 2017.  Whatever its merits and motivations, the process of NATO enlargement has run its course.

  • Survival

    Ideology and Strategy in the Middle East: The Case of Iran

    18 September 2017.  The greatest challenge for the West in dealing with Iran stems not so much from its behaviour in the Middle East, or even its nuclear programme, as from uncertainty about its ultimate strategic goals.

  • Survival

    We Can’t Go On Living Like This

    18 September 2017.  Mikhail Gorbachev’s Tolstoyan undertaking ended in Shakespearean tragedy.

  • Survival

    Nuclear Legacies of the First Gulf War

    18 September 2017.  Lessons learned in the First Gulf War have shaped the trajectory of US post-Cold War nuclear and non-proliferation policy.

  • Survival

    Rethinking NATO’s Tactical Nuclear Weapons

    18 September 2017.  NATO should move to a safer, more secure and more credible nuclear deterrent – including withdrawing, and not replacing, US tactical nuclear weapons in Europe.

  • Survival

    Autonomous Weapon Systems and Strategic Stability

    18 September 2017.  Autonomous weapon systems are prone to proliferation, and are likely to lead to increased crisis instability and escalation risks.

  • Military Balance Blog

    Austrian and Swiss fighters: could they go their own way together?

    18 September 2017.  Bern and Vienna have begun to look at replacing their respective combat-aircraft fleets with a single type of multi-role fighter: but could they consider whether there is any advantage in a joint buy?

  • Adelphi Books

    Appendix

    13 September 2017.  Figure 6: US strategic nuclear weapons, 1960–90 Figure 7: US strategic nuclear forces, 1991–2016

  • Adelphi Books

    Conclusion

    13 September 2017. 

    All the modernisation options would meet the requirements of deterrence against nuclear-armed states, but current US plans fare less well in terms of strategic stability and arms control; nuclear security and non-proliferation; and trade-offs with conventional operations.

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