• IISS Voices

    Spies, lies and the US president-elect

    16 January 2017.  A blizzard of angry Tweets has laid bare the rift between Donald Trump and the United States intelligence community. But the saga does not suggest a Russian mastery of information warfare, argues Nigel Inkster. When the going gets tough, Trump will still look to his intelligence community for answers – even if his instincts are to disparage it.

  • Strategic Comments

    Social divisions and rising terrorist violence in Turkey

    12 January 2017. 

    In the past 18 months, Turkey has not appreciably reduced Kurdish militant groups' terrorist capabilities or addressed the root causes of their grievances. The country has grown less tolerant of Islamic State activity, and friction between Turkey and its NATO allies has impeded intelligence-sharing about terrorist threats. Accordingly, the level of terrorist violence in Turkey appears set to rise in the months ahead, potentially leading to sustained domestic instability and severe damage to the country’s social fabric.

  • Expert Commentary

    The Islamic State and Israel's Arab Citizens

    06 December 2016.  In this article for War on the Rocks, Elisabeth Marteu discusses the reasons why the Islamic State, also known as ISIS or ISIL, has failed to gain a foothold amongst Israeli Arabs.

  • Survival

    Able Archer 83: What Were the Soviets Thinking?

    21 November 2016. 

    The 1983 war scare was less frightening than many have claimed. Nevertheless, the Able Archer episode offers lessons on dealing with situations of great tension.

  • Politics and Strategy

    From the latest Survival: Information Warfare and the US Presidential Election

    01 November 2016.  In a US election season that continues to shock and bewilder, the revelation that Russia may have been behind the leaking of Democratic National Committee emails added a new and disturbing twist. With many signs pointing to Russian state culpability, Nigel Inkster investigates these claims and contends that, if indeed responsible for the attacks, Russia may have overplayed its hand. ‘If we do assume that, on a balance of probabilities, the...

  • Events

    The New Jihadist

    17 October 2016. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Peter Neumann, Professor of Security Studies, King's College London
    Arundel House, London
    Monday 17 October 2016, 12.30–1.30PM BST

  • Events

    The proliferation of terrorist watch lists in the US

    22 September 2016. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Dr Jeffrey Kahn, Professor of Law, Dedman School of Law, Southern Methodist University
    Arundel House, London
    Thursday 22 September 2016, 12.30–1.30PM BST

  • Strategic Comments

    Cyber conflict and deterrence

    14 September 2016. 

    As with the strategic adaptation to nuclear weapons, effectively developing the policies, doctrines and plans required to stabilise the deterrence of cyber conflict constitutes a long-term challenge. Although major powers have exercised mutual restraint for fear of precipitating uncontrollable consequences, the self-deterrence arising from strategic ambiguity is too uncertain to be sufficient. Deterrence-by-denial mechanisms remain the most promising active measures, and arms control should be pursued.

  • Survival

    Cryptography and Sovereignty

    12 September 2016. 

    Encryption’s new normal is changing the way in which states assert their sovereignty at home and abroad.

  • Events

    China's Cyber Power – New York Launch

    08 September 2016. 

    IISS–Americas Book Launch
    Nigel Inkster, Director of Future Conflict and Cyber Security, IISS
    The Cornell Club, New York
    Thursday 8 September 2016, 6.30–8PM EDT

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