• IISS Voices

    Spies, lies and the US president-elect

    16 January 2017.  A blizzard of angry Tweets has laid bare the rift between Donald Trump and the United States intelligence community. But the saga does not suggest a Russian mastery of information warfare, argues Nigel Inkster. When the going gets tough, Trump will still look to his intelligence community for answers – even if his instincts are to disparage it.

  • Expert Commentary

    Staying friends with all powers works best for small nations

    13 January 2017.  Singapore's relationship with China is in the spotlight after a series of spats. William Choong, Shangri-La Dialogue Senior Fellow for Asia-Pacific Security, argues smaller states should ensure a balance of power between stronger nations.

  • Adelphi Books

    Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia

    12 January 2017. 

    With talk in world capitals of a new cold war, this Adelphi examines the roots of the Ukraine crisis, analysing Western and Russian policies in post-Soviet Eurasia since 1991, and providing an assessment of both Russia and the West’s actions post-2014.

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter Two: Contestation entrenched

    14 December 2016. 

    The Cold Peace began to unravel after the ‘colour revolutions’ of 2003–05. In 2004 came the ‘big bang’ enlargement of Euro-Atlantic institutions, and a few years later the five-day war between Russia and Georgia, after which the EU began to play a more active role in post-Soviet Eurasia.

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter Three: Breaking point

    14 December 2016. 

    This chapter covers the Ukraine crisis itself: the election of Viktor Yanukovych; the developments that led to the Maidan Revolution; the fall of Yanukovych’s government; the occupation and annexation of the Crimean peninsula; the intensification of conflict in eastern Ukraine; and international attempts to resolve the situation.

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter Four: The negative-sum game and how to move past it

    14 December 2016. 

    The Ukraine crisis has yielded a ruinous outcome in which all parties are worse off, and international security has declined. In this final chapter, the authors consider ways in which the major players might move past this negative-sum game.

  • Adelphi Books

    Introduction

    14 December 2016.  The crisis in Ukraine began in November 2013 when a crackdown on students protesting against the government’s decision not to sign an agreement linking the country more closely with the EU led to huge street protests, ending with the overthrow of the president. Russia then occupied and annexed the Crimean peninsula, and supported unrest in the Donbas area of eastern Ukraine. This chapter introduces the concept of the negative-sum game as a metaphor for the conflict, and explores some alternative explanations.

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter One: Cold Peace

    14 December 2016. 

    This chapter examines the foundational years of the post-Cold War order (from the late 1980s to the mid-1990s), telling the tale of the ‘Cold Peace’. The period was typified by the rise of competition in and over the states between Russia and the West (the ‘In-Betweens’), and Central Asia.

  • Strategic Comments

    Trump’s fraught national-security transition

    14 December 2016. 

    President-elect Donald Trump's enthusiasm for consequential policy decisions during the transition suggests that he has a greater taste for the hands-on formulation and execution of foreign policy than is commonly appreciated. Given his dubious choices of Mike Flynn as national security adviser and Rex W. Tillerson as secretary of state, and the military skew of his selections overall, this disposition intensifies worries about the path of US foreign and security policy.

  • Events

    The IISS Manama Dialogue 2016

    09 December 2016. 

    12th Regional Security Summit
    Ritz-Carlton, Bahrain Hotel & Spa, Manama
    9–11 December 2016

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