• Politics and Strategy

    Alexander Nicoll: Scotland’s election charge

    21 April 2015.  The star of the British general election campaign so far is Nicola Sturgeon, leader of the Scottish National Party (SNP) and the head of the Scottish government. She herself is not seeking a seat at Westminster. Her party is contesting just 59 out of 650 constituencies – that is, only those in Scotland. But the polls suggest it will win almost all of them, compared with just six seats it...

  • Expert Commentary

    The House: Why Trident renewal will be on the negotiating table

    09 April 2015.  By Matthew Harries, Managing Editor of Survival and Research Fellow Since 2007, when the House of Commons voted 409-161 in favour of replacing the UK’s four Vanguard-class nuclear-armed submarines (SSBNs) – at least one of which is constantly on patrol armed with Trident II ballistic missiles, providing ‘continuous at-sea deterrence’ (CASD) – two things have changed. Financial pressures have increased dramatically, and the policy preferences of minor parties have become much more relevant. This has...

  • IISS Voices

    Virginia Comolli: Nigeria’s Unlikely Election - The Road Ahead

    07 April 2015.  By Virginia Comolli, Research Fellow for Security and Development Although the Nigerian presidential campaigns were only formally launched in November 2014, we have been awaiting the recent presidential elections for much longer. It all began roughly two years ago when speculation over whether President Goodluck Jonathan would seek re-election sparked controversy. Now, almost anti-climatically, the wait is over: with a lead of 2.5 million votes, All Progressives Congress (APC) candidate and retired general Muhammadu...

  • IISS Voices

    Strategic Snapshots: Britain’s confusing election

    30 March 2015.  Alexander Nicoll, IISS Senior Fellow for Geo-economics and Defence, explains how Britain’s next government hinges on the outcome of a ‘confused’ set of circumstances leading up to the May 7 general election. If, as opinion polls suggest, no single party wins an overall majority, negotiations led either by the Conservatives or Labour would almost certainly prove more complicated than in May 2010, and could even force fresh polls...

  • Survival

    Britain’s Confusing Election

    25 March 2015. 

    A lack of distinctive major-party visions means that, in Britain’s May general election, a great deal hinges on the outcome of a confused set of circumstances.

  • Survival

    Politics and Gender in Modern Australia

    30 January 2015.  Julia Gillard’s descriptions of her sense of isolation as a woman in politics will, for many professional women, elicit only a sense of tired familiarity.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Steven Simon: Israel’s Upcoming Elections

    20 January 2015.  [Editor’s note: an earlier version of this post appeared on The Middle East Institute website on 15 January 2015.] The electoral campaign in Israel is still unfolding, and with about three months to go anything might happen to upend predictions about the outcome. But there are straws in the wind. The Israel Democracy Institute has released poll results that cover a lot of ground, some of it relevant to the upcoming...

  • Expert Commentary

    Economic Times: China in South Asia - From Business to Politics

    13 January 2015.  By Sanjaya Baru, Director, Geo-economics and Strategy It is interesting that so much of the commentary on the surprising outcome of the elections in Sri Lanka last week has a reference to China. The last time one read so many references to the implications of a national election result for China-India relations was when Nepal and then the Maldives went to polls. Indeed, China figured even in the commentary on the...

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter One: The Crisis of the Iraqi State

    06 December 2014. 

    What, exactly, does a state need to do to survive? What has brought the Iraqi state to the brink of collapse and can it be rebuilt?

  • Survival

    South Africa: Broken Promises

    01 December 2014.  Travel writer Paul Theroux’s two post-apartheid trips, a decade apart, reveal a growing sense of pessimism about the nation’s politics and prospects.

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