• Strategic Comments

    Bolivia: Morales’s growing unpopularity

    16 November 2016. 

    There appears to be growing eagerness both in Bolivia and abroad for Bolivian President Evo Morales to step down. But after losing a February 2016 referendum that would have allowed him to run for a fourth term, he has vowed to reverse this result so he can continue to serve as head of state. Turbulence in Bolivia seems likely in the medium term.

  • Events

    The Strategic Logic of Organised Crime

    14 October 2016. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Dr James Cockayne, Head of the UN University Office, UN
    Bianca Jinga, Governance Advisor, DFID
    Arundel House, London
    Friday 14 October 2016, 12.30–1.30PM BST

  • Survival

    Latin America’s Invisible War

    12 September 2016. 

    Ioan Grillo’s Gangster Warlords and Aldo Civico’s The Para-State draw deserved attention to the violence of Latin America’s drug war.

  • Events

    Transitioning from Colombia’s Long War

    27 July 2016. 

    Discussion Meeting
    HE Néstor Osorio Londoño, Colombia’s Ambassador to the United Kingdom
    Dr Samir Puri, Lecturer, King's College London; author of upcoming Adelphi book Fighting and Negotiating with Armed Groups
    Antônio Sampaio, Research Associate for Security and Development, IISS
    Gwen Burnyeat, Wolfson Scholar, PhD Student, University College London
    Arundel House, London
    Wednesday 27 July 2016, 12–1.30PM BST

  • Strategic Comments

    Colombia: the fraught end of a long war

    29 June 2016. 

    The ceasefire announced last week between the Colombian government and the FARC, ending 50 years of destructive war, will be followed soon by a final accord and a plebiscite, which is likely to ratify the accord. While these developments are welcome, the Colombian people remain resentful of the FARC's legitimisation and sceptical about the accord's sustainability. Implementation will be a stiff and ongoing challenge.

  • IISS Voices

    Antonio Sampaio: Armed actors and illegal economies threaten Colombia’s prospects of lasting peace

    12 February 2016.  As negotiations between the Colombian government and FARC near their final stages, significant obstacles to peace remain, not least the strength of criminal organisations in territories where illegal drug and mining trades are thriving.

  • ACD Insight

    Armed actors and illegal economies threaten Colombia’s prospects of lasting peace

    12 February 2016.  As negotiations between the Colombian government and FARC near their final stages, significant obstacles to peace remain, not least the strength of criminal organisations in territories where illegal drug and mining trades are thriving.

  • Survival

    Cryptopolitik and the Darknet

    19 January 2016.  Encryption policy is becoming a crucial test of the values of liberal democracy in the twenty-first century.

  • Events

    The Shadow Economy: How Illicit Trade Impacts Development and Governance

    10 November 2015. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Eric D. U. Gutierrez, Senior Adviser, Christian Aid
    Dr David Mansfield, Independent Consultant
    Dr Jacobo Grajales, Associate Professor, University of Lille
    Andy Morgan, Freelance Author and Journalist
    Arundel House, London
    Tuesday 10 November 2015

  • Expert Commentary

    Financial Times: Violent cities need whole-government solutions

    12 October 2015.  By Antonio Sampaio, Research Associate for Security and Development In a guest post for Financial Times blog beyondbrics, Research Associate for Security and Development Antonio Sampaio calls for a more holistic approach to tackling urban security issues in cities across the globe. Using Brazil's Rio de Janiero and Colombia's Medellin as case studies, he discusses the issue in the context of the Sustainable Development Goals recently adopted by the United Nations. Read the full...

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