• Adelphi Books

    Power Shifts and New Blocs in the Global Trading System

    10 March 2015.  As economic powers from the developing world, particularly China, have emerged in the past few decades, their weight has altered the balance in the global trading system. In this volume, leading commentators – including two former heads of the WTO – examine the possible consequences of this shifting trade landscape.

  • Expert Commentary

    Economic Times: Why China can't be the super power dominating 21st century

    19 February 2015.  By Sanjaya Baru, Director for Geo-economics and Strategy A historically ill-informed debate has gone on about which country will dominate the 21st century. Entering this meaningless debate, Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz has added his weight to the view that this would be ‘China’s Century’, forgetting that when it comes to global power relations, the past is no guide to the future. Merely because Imperial Britain dominated the 19th century and the...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Jeffrey Mazo: The three percent solution

    19 February 2015.  Last April, when the RAF deployed four Typhoon aircraft to Lithuania in response to events in Ukraine, a popular British satirical TV show commented: ‘Four? The entire air force? Are they mad?’ Defence cuts haven’t got that bad, but are still a cause for concern. As The Military Balance 2015 – launched last week – points out, ‘the target of an 8% real reduction in defence spending triggered by the...

  • IISS Voices

    Alexander Neill: Catching Flies in China

    16 February 2015.  By Alexander Neill, Shangri-La Dialogue Senior Fellow for Asia-Pacific Security As families across China gather for lunar New Year celebrations this week, the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection (CCDI), China’s increasingly powerful counter-corruption agency, issued a stark warning on 15 February. In addition to the high-profile cases of ‘tigers’, or top leaders, falling prey to the CCDI, the agency will now be attempting to ensnare more ‘flies’, or corrupt local officials, in...

  • IISS Voices

    Alexander Neill: The CCP, the world’s most powerful reform organisation - Eric Li

    12 February 2015.  By Alexander Neill, Shangri-La Dialogue Senior Fellow for Asia-Pacific Security Eric Li opened his Fullerton Lecture on 11 February with the hypothesis that the twenty-first century will be defined by demand and competition for reform. He asserted that those who succeed in reform will be the winners, those who fail, the losers. He concluded that the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) stands the best chance of winning this race. Consequently, Li argued, the twenty-first...

  • Expert Commentary

    The Hindu: After the nuclear step, the big leap

    28 January 2015.  By Sanjaya Baru, Director for Geo-economics and Strategy For the new Modi-Obama vision to succeed, India would need a more agile management of its international engagement on the economic and political sides considering the fact that the two leaders have agreed to elevate their strategic dialogue to include strategy and commerce It is a measure of how important the India-United States civil nuclear agreement was to the bilateral relationship that even Prime...

  • IISS Voices

    Shiloh Fetzek: Climate change, violence and young people

    22 January 2015.  By Shiloh Fetzek, Consulting Research Associate for Climate Change and Security A new report from IISS, co-authored with International Alert and commissioned by UNICEF-UK, examines how the combined challenges of growing youth populations and climate impacts could multiply security risks in regions already vulnerable to poor governance and social and political instability. Both climate change and youthful population age structures can affect factors that shape the security environment and influence the risk of violence. Climate and...

  • Expert Commentary

    National Interest: For Ukraine, Weakness Could Be Its Greatest Strength

    21 January 2015.  By Samuel Charap, Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia, and Tymofiy Mylovanov The United States and the EU have demonstrated significant commitment to Ukraine’s success since the Maidan revolution. However, no Western leader has ever suggested that Ukraine has a blank check—that the Western commitment is without limits. Instead, as evidenced by the measured extent of financial and military assistance to Ukraine, this commitment is both limited and conditional. In particular, if...

  • Expert Commentary

    Economic Times: PM Narendra Modi outlines own version of inclusive growth strategy to his government

    19 January 2015.  By Sanjaya Baru, Director for Geo-economics and Strategy A flurry of activity on the economic policy front in the New Year culminated last week in Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s important address to The Economic Times Global Business Summit (GBS). Just when many were beginning to get worried about the government’s slow pace of action, the lack of ‘movement on the ground’, as many businessmen would put it, about the BJP’s political...

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