09 June 2015.
By Alexander Neill, Shangri-La Dialogue Senior Fellow for Asia-Pacific Security
Recently, an essay published in the Wall Street Journal written by David Shambaugh, professor of George Washington University, has created reverberations within the China-watching community.
Citing five indicators of current political and socio-economic decline in China, Shambaugh has concluded that the rule of the Communist Party of China (CPC) is nearing conclusion and China's political future is at crossroads.
His conclusions have...
29 May 2015.
IISS-Chunqiu Institute Discussion
The Pavilion, Shangri-La Hotel, Singapore
Friday 29 May, 10am-12:30pm SGT
25 May 2015.
Afghanistan and Pakistan have emerged as major concerns for China’s national security, as violence in Pakistan grew and the situation in Afghanistan barely improved.
18 May 2015.
By Sanjaya Baru, Director for Geo-economics and Strategy
If China has its One Belt-One Road (Obor), India could have its One Road-One Rail (Oror). Last month India took an important step aimed at building the ‘One Rail’ link from the Iranian port of Chabahar going inland towards Afghanistan and Central Asia. Earlier this week on Monday, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India and Nepal (BBIN) signed a motor vehicles pact that could, in the...
29 April 2015.
The AIIB is expected to be operational by the end of 2015, with initial capital of $50–100bn, mostly provided by China. It will allow Beijing to define new norms for the global economic governance regime and have a greater say in it.
10 April 2015.
European External Action Service, Beijing Delegation
Arundel House, London
Friday 10 April 2015, 12:30-1:30pm
Politics and Strategy
24 March 2015.
Most people will be familiar, by sight if not by name, with the Mandelbrot set, a mathematical construct discovered by Benoît Mandelbrot in 1980. It is the epitome of fractal geometry and the face of chaos theory. Arising from a simple mathematical function and some rules for presentation, its visual representations are phantasmagorical and psychedelic, recursive and infinitely complex, with new details, including tiny shapes similar to the original, constantly...
16 March 2015.
Dr Mitsuaki Furukawa, Chief Representative, South Sudan Office, Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA)
Akok Madut, PhD candidate, School of Oriental and Africa Studies (SOAS), University of London
Jeremy Taylor, PhD candidate and Commonwealth Scholar, School of Oriental and Africa Studies (SOAS), University of London
Arundel House, London
Monday 16 March 2015
10 March 2015.
As economic powers from the developing world, particularly China, have emerged in the past few decades, their weight has altered the balance in the global trading system. In this volume, leading commentators – including two former heads of the WTO – examine the possible consequences of this shifting trade landscape.
08 March 2015.
While the post-war open trading regime, with its preferential treatment of developing countries, was in fact designed and implemented by the United States, the US itself is under geo-economic pressure from a rising new ‘mega-trader’.