• Adelphi Books

    Introduction

    05 December 2014.  China’s nuclear arsenal has long been an enigma for Western policymakers and issue experts. 

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter One: Chinese views of nuclear weapons

    05 December 2014. 

    This chapter documents changes in how Chinese leaders have viewed nuclear weapons. It attempts to show the evolution of Chinese views about nuclear weapons as reflected in actual policy.

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter Two: Nuclear-weapons design and testing

    05 December 2014. 

    China’s emphasis on the development of a small number of large-yield thermonuclear weapons reflects the strategic rationale outlined by the head of China’s nuclear-weapons programme, Nie Rongzhen, in 1961.

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter Four: China’s Missile Forces

    05 December 2014. 

    Since 1964, China has relied on a nuclear deterrent of land-based ballistic missiles deployed with the Second Artillery Corps, a rough equivalent to Russia’s Strategic Rocket Forces.

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter Five: Strategic stability and regional security

    05 December 2014.  The US has sought a dialogue on strategic stability with China since resuming military-to-military contacts in the mid-1990s.

  • Adelphi Books

    Conclusion

    05 December 2014. 

    With a new leadership in China it’s worthwhile to ask how China’s changing technological, political and security situation will shape its strategic forces.











  • Adelphi Books

    Paper Tigers: China’s Nuclear Posture

    05 December 2014.  This Adelphi book documents and explains the evolution of China’s nuclear forces in terms of historical, bureaucratic and ideological factors. There is a strategic logic at work, but that logic is mediated through politics, bureaucracy and ideology.

  • Survival

    Can a Sino-Japanese War Be Controlled?

    01 December 2014.  In a crisis, a limited exchange of fire could escalate into a wider conflict. We have no precedent to suggest how dangerous it might become.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: I expect no Iran nuclear deal. I hope I’m wrong

    20 November 2014.  I do not expect that the talks in Vienna on the Iranian nuclear issue will produce a comprehensive agreement, at least not by the 24 November deadline. But I hope I am wrong about this. A deal that verifiably blocks all of Iran’s potential paths to a nuclear weapon – which is the only deal that the Western nations will accept ­– and that allows Iran to resume unfettered international...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Testing nuclear-test-ban treaty preparations

    17 November 2014.  Standing on a rocky hill on the banks of the Dead Sea, I heard a small thud, meant to simulate the tiny aftershocks of a nuclear test explosion. I was there on 15 November to observe one day of the largest-ever field exercise carried out by the Preparatory Commission for the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO). When the CTBT will come into effect is anybody’s guess. In the 18 years since...

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