• Survival

    Can Deterrence Ever Be Stable?

    11 May 2015.  Stability has been the holy grail of deterrence strategists since the outset of the US–Soviet nuclear-arms competition. This prize has been elusive because nuclear weapons are not stabilising.

  • Military Balance Blog

    Tom Waldwyn: Renewing Trident

    05 May 2015.  Facts concerning the future of the UK’s submarine-based nuclear capability

  • Expert Commentary

    The House: Why Trident renewal will be on the negotiating table

    09 April 2015.  By Matthew Harries, Managing Editor of Survival and Research Fellow Since 2007, when the House of Commons voted 409-161 in favour of replacing the UK’s four Vanguard-class nuclear-armed submarines (SSBNs) – at least one of which is constantly on patrol armed with Trident II ballistic missiles, providing ‘continuous at-sea deterrence’ (CASD) – two things have changed. Financial pressures have increased dramatically, and the policy preferences of minor parties have become much more relevant. This has...

  • Expert Commentary

    RIAC: The future of the British nuclear deterrent - more of the same?

    26 March 2015.  By Matthew Cottee, Research Analyst, Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Programme In 2016 the British government will have to decide on the future of its nuclear deterrent. Before then however, there is a national election (to be held on May, 7, 2015) to determine the composition of those decision-makers tasked with the job. While it appears likely that the deterrent will undergo modernisation, the issue is gaining more political attention and experiencing heightened...

  • Survival

    Fantasy Counterfactual: A Nuclear-Armed Ukraine

    25 March 2015. 

    The suggestion that Ukraine should have kept its Soviet-era nuclear weapons is a counterfactual fantasy that groans under the weight of its technical, political and strategic assumptions.

  • Strategic Comments

    France’s nuclear conservatism

    25 February 2015. 

    Those who were hoping that French President François Hollande would use a recent speech to break with France's nuclear traditions will have been disappointed. With a majority of the population supporting its retention, Hollande outlined a realistic and sober vision for France's nuclear deterrent.

  • Survival

    Facing Reality: Getting NATO Ready for a New Cold War

    30 January 2015.  If Russia were to rerun its playbook from Ukraine against a NATO member, how would the West respond?

  • IISS Voices

    Annabel Corser: Eliminating chemical weapons

    27 January 2015.  By Annabel Corser, Editorial Assistant The OPCW-UN Joint Mission in Syria drew to a close on 30 September 2014 and, as of October, 98.7% of Syrian chemical material has been destroyed. For Peter Sawczak (who heads the Government Relations and Political Affairs Branch of the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons) these successes are the latest indicators of the OPCW’s effectiveness and the value of the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC)...

  • Adelphi Books

    Introduction

    05 December 2014.  China’s nuclear arsenal has long been an enigma for Western policymakers and issue experts. 

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter One: Chinese views of nuclear weapons

    05 December 2014. 

    This chapter documents changes in how Chinese leaders have viewed nuclear weapons. It attempts to show the evolution of Chinese views about nuclear weapons as reflected in actual policy.

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