23 March 2015.
Workforces throughout Eastern Europe are entering long-term structural declines of such a magnitude that they are highly unlikely to be reversed by changes in fertility patterns – could immigration improve matters?
22 January 2015.
By Shiloh Fetzek, Consulting Research Associate for Climate Change and Security
A new report from IISS, co-authored with International Alert and commissioned by UNICEF-UK,
examines how the combined challenges of growing youth populations and climate impacts could multiply security risks in regions already vulnerable to poor governance and social and political instability.
Both climate change and youthful population age structures can affect factors that shape the security environment and influence the risk of violence. Climate and...
07 December 2014.
The tenth Manama Dialogue has been an excellent opportunity to reflect on the changing fortunes of the region over the past ten years. What was most interesting to Nicholas Redman, Senior Fellow for Geopolitical Risk and Economic Security, was how some regional powers have experienced both a rise and a fall in that time.
In 2004, the first year of the Dialogue, Egypt was a strong, self-confident, militarily well-prepared...
04 December 2014.
By Dr. Sanjaya Baru, Director for Geo-economics and Strategy
Summing up the deliberations at the first Gulf Dialogue, as the Manama Dialogue was called when it was launched in 2004, an IISS report said, ‘Balance of power, good governance, wise internal security arrangements, political and economic reform, improving rights for minorities, intense diplomatic exchanges, well-managed links with external powers: are all vital sinews in the regional security body politic, and even...
Politics and Strategy
05 November 2014.
The Democrats’ defeat in Tuesday’s US mid-term elections was somewhat worse than expected – but it was expected nonetheless. Even though the Republicans won the Senate by a decisive margin, not much in the structure of American political power will change. American governance was structurally gridlocked on Monday, and it remains so today, if marginally more so.
This is because there is simply no significant legislation the president can get through...
16 October 2014.
By Sarah Johnstone, Assistant Editor, Online
It would be, former Senegalese prime minister Aminata Touré promised, a ‘not very diplomatic’ speech. However, her 2014 Oppenheimer Lecture on ‘Human Security and Conflict Resolution in West Africa’ was in the end more forthright and passionate than it was revolutionary.
During her London visit, the politician from one of West Africa’s most stable nations was invited into TV and radio studios to discuss the...
17 September 2014.
In reminding us that unbounded wealth is dangerous both to liberty and to capitalism itself, Thomas Piketty’s Capital does us a great favour. But the timidity of his remedy makes a credible solution elusive.
25 July 2014.
Youth movements in the Gulf have been effective but ephemeral, sometimes manipulated by established groups or succumbing to social divisions.
08 July 2014.
By Ben Barry, Senior Fellow for Land Warfare and Jack Baker, Land Warfare Research Assistant
In recent years, the notion that the future is increasingly uncertain has become a popular refrain amongst commentators across the spectrum of foreign, defence and security affairs. Despite the current vogue for assertions of unprecedented global instability, governments and armed services around the globe have long sought to predict the course of international affairs in order...
21 May 2014.
Lecturer in International Security,
School of Social Sciences, University of New South Wales
Wednesday 21 May 2014