• Strategic Comments

    Trump’s fraught national-security transition

    14 December 2016. 

    President-elect Donald Trump's enthusiasm for consequential policy decisions during the transition suggests that he has a greater taste for the hands-on formulation and execution of foreign policy than is commonly appreciated. Given his dubious choices of Mike Flynn as national security adviser and Rex W. Tillerson as secretary of state, and the military skew of his selections overall, this disposition intensifies worries about the path of US foreign and security policy.

  • Events

    Egypt six years after the revolution

    05 December 2016. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Dr H.A. Hellyer, Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle East, Atlantic Council
    Arundel House, London
    Monday 5 December 2016, 12.30–1.30PM BST

  • Strategic Comments

    US–Mexico relations under Trump

    30 November 2016. 

    If US President-elect Trump were to fulfil his strident campaign promises on immigration and trade with respect to Mexico, prospects for left-wing, populist candidates in the 2018 Mexican presidential election would likely improve. Victory for such a candidate could make Mexico significantly more antagonistic to the United States.

  • Expert Commentary

    A multitude of rivals

    24 November 2016.  In this article for the New Statesman, IISS-Middle East Executive Director John Jenkins argues that unless Donald Trump is able to master geopolitical complexity, the situation in the Middle East will get far worse.

  • Strategic Comments

    Bolivia: Morales’s growing unpopularity

    16 November 2016. 

    There appears to be growing eagerness both in Bolivia and abroad for Bolivian President Evo Morales to step down. But after losing a February 2016 referendum that would have allowed him to run for a fourth term, he has vowed to reverse this result so he can continue to serve as head of state. Turbulence in Bolivia seems likely in the medium term.

  • Events

    US elections 2016: the day after

    09 November 2016. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Dr Dana H. Allin, Editor of Survival; Senior Fellow for US Foreign Policy and Transatlantic Affairs, IISS
    Dr Matthew Harries, Managing Editor of Survival; Research Fellow for Transatlantic Affairs, IISS
    Arundel House, London
    Wednesday 9 November 2016, 6.30–7.30PM GMT

  • Strategic Comments

    The Philippines: Duterte’s wilful start

    19 October 2016. 

    A hundred days into his single six-year term, President Rodrigo Duterte has already asserted his powerful political position by undertaking a brutal campaign on drugs, weakening the Philippines' longstanding alliance with the United States and warming to China. These pronounced shifts in policy, however, have drawn considerable criticism from influential figures and groups inside as well as outside the Philippines. Duterte may find it difficult to maintain such controversial policies throughout his presidency.

  • Events

    Trump, Clinton and the Vatican

    18 October 2016. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Massimo Franco, Political Columnist, Corriere della Sera
    Arundel House, London
    Tuesday 18 October 2016, 12.30–1.30PM BST

  • Events

    Our Separate Ways: The Struggle for the Future of the US-Israel Alliance

    10 October 2016. 

    Book Launch
    Dana H. Allin, Senior Fellow for US Foreign Policy and Transatlantic Affairs, IISS
    Steven N. Simon, Former Senior Director for Middle Eastern and North African Affairs, National Security Council
    Bloomsbury House, London
    Monday 10 October 2016, 6–7PM BST

  • Politics and Strategy

    Donald Trump, a higher level of shock jock

    10 October 2016.  In the early 1980s, in those months when the Maryland State Legislature was in session, I drove daily from my Silver Spring apartment to Annapolis, covering it for a local newspaper. It was on these drives that I first listened to the raunchy, sometimes rancid – and yes, often funny – radio programme of Howard Stern. I’m pretty sure it was in relation to Stern that I first heard the...

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