• Strategic Comments

    Turkey: the attempted coup and its troubling aftermath

    21 July 2016. 

    The military coup attempted in Turkey on 15 July 2016 fizzled out quickly. But President Tayyip Erdogan has accused a political rival, exiled Islamic preacher Fethullah Gulen, and his followers of engineering the coup without substantiation, and is using it as a pretext to purge the government, judiciary and military. This reaction could lead to sustained domestic instability that would strain Turkey's international relations, exacerbate its democratic deficit and damage its social fabric.

  • Events

    Turbulent US–Thai Relations: A Conversation with Admiral Dennis Blair

    15 July 2016. 

    Private Roundtable
    Admiral (Retd) Dennis Blair, Former Director of National Intelligence; Chairman and CEO, Sasakawa Peace Foundation USA
    IISS–Americas, Washington DC
    Friday 15 July 2016, 8.30–9.30AM EDT

  • Survival

    The Meaning of Britain’s Departure

    11 July 2016. 

    The British vote to leave the EU is an unprecedented first step towards the West’s formal disintegration.

  • Expert Commentary

    Berlin Policy Journal: Braving Brexit

    08 July 2016.  By Sarah Raine, Consulting Senior Fellow for Geopolitics and Strategy Foreign policy received little play in the run-up to the Brexit vote. The final televised pre-referendum debate between three leading representatives from the Remain and Leave campaigns was supposed to discuss “Britain’s place in the world” as one of three main topics. Yet this was barely touched upon. There was no substantive discussion on the EU as a potential force for influence...

  • Strategic Comments

    Mozambique and Zimbabwe: potentially converging paths

    06 July 2016. 

    Mozambique, long favoured by Western donors, to their disapproval has recently shown signs of corruption, instability and poor governance and looked to China for help that may not be forthcoming. Zimbabwe, long disfavoured by Western donors, is cooling to China's commercial and political involvement in its national affairs. Both southern African countries may eventually need to reinvigorate appeals for assistance from Western donors, which would come with relatively stringent governance and economic conditions.

  • Expert Commentary

    Financial Times: Brexit spells disaster for France

    24 June 2016.  By Francois Heisbourg, Chair of the IISS Council 'Frexit' remains unlikely, says IISS Chair Francois Heisbourg. ‘For the French, the European project remains more like a marriage than the cohabitation it always was in the eyes on many in Britain.’  He went on to explain that Brexit will severely limit the room for manoeuvre in Europe of a largely discredited incumbent president and government. Read the full article at the Financial Times...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Brexit becomes reality

    24 June 2016.  In preparing the most recent issue of Survival, we asked our authors to reflect on the possibility of the United Kingdom leaving the European Union – or ‘Brexit’. At that point, it was by nearly all accounts the less likely outcome. Yesterday, the UK voted to make it a reality. There is now huge uncertainty about what the UK’s relationship with the EU will look like, and about the future...

  • Events

    Post-Election Myanmar: Context, Opportunities and Challenges for Business

    22 June 2016. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Vicky Bowman, Director, Myanmar Centre for Responsible Business; Former Ambassador of the United Kingdom to Myanmar
    Arundel House, London
    Wednesday 22 June 2016, 12.30–1.30PM BST

  • Politics and Strategy

    Matthew Harries: Brexit would be a badly timed blow to Western solidarity

    22 June 2016.  The sky will not fall, in foreign-policy terms, if the United Kingdom votes to leave the European Union. NATO is not going anywhere, nor is the UK’s seat on the UN Security Council. But if Brexit does happen, Britain will start to find itself a little lonelier, and the West a little weaker. The idea of alliance has been having a rough time in recent months. Its loudest critic is US...

  • Events

    Our Separate Ways: The Struggle for the Future of the US-Israel Alliance

    21 June 2016. 

    IISS–Americas Book Launch
    Dana H. Allin, Senior Fellow for US Foreign Policy and Transatlantic Affairs, IISS
    Steven N. Simon, Former Senior Director for Middle Eastern and North African Affairs, National Security Council
    IISS–Americas, Washington DC
    Tuesday 21 June 2016, 10–11AM EDT

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