• Strategic Dossiers

    Chapter Eleven: Myanmar’s Nationwide Ceasefire

    26 May 2015. 

    Historical context; The military’s role in politics; The structure and chronology of negotiations; Recent developments; Negotiating teams; International involvement; Negotiating positions; Towards the 2015 elections: the peace process at risk; Ceasefire violations; Further obstacles to peacebuilding

  • Politics and Strategy

    Erik Jones: Greek Default and the Politics of ‘Reasonableness’

    19 May 2015.  Last week, my SAIS colleague Filippo Taddei gave an interview to a Bloomberg journalist about the Greek crisis in which he argued that there is no necessary link between a Greek government default and the exit of Greece from the euro area. The reason, Taddei explained, is that a government default is only relevant to Greece’s euro membership insofar as such a default would wipe out many of the assets...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Alexander Nicoll: Britain’s Election Shocks

    08 May 2015.  Three extraordinary facts on the day after the most surprising British election for many years: David Cameron’s Conservative Party has won an outright majority of parliamentary seats that was predicted by nobody; three party leaders, including Labour’s Ed Miliband, have already resigned; and in Scotland, the vehemently anti-Conservative Scottish National Party (SNP) has swept almost all the seats, ending decades of Labour dominance. And some immediate observations: The opinion polls, which...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Britain’s Confusing Election

    06 May 2015.  As the United Kingdom prepares to head to the polls on 7 May, here is a roundup of recent Survival coverage of the peculiar state of British politics. Alexander Nicoll: ‘Britain’s Confusing Election’, Survival, April–May 2015 The political currents that have contributed to the Liberal Democrats’ fall from grace and the rise of UKIP and the SNP (as well as the Green Party, which has a projected share of 7%) are...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Alexander Nicoll: Scotland’s election charge

    21 April 2015.  The star of the British general election campaign so far is Nicola Sturgeon, leader of the Scottish National Party (SNP) and the head of the Scottish government. She herself is not seeking a seat at Westminster. Her party is contesting just 59 out of 650 constituencies – that is, only those in Scotland. But the polls suggest it will win almost all of them, compared with just six seats it...

  • IISS Voices

    Hebatalla Taha: The power struggle in Yemen and its paradoxical alliances

    14 April 2015.  A full-blown civil war erupted in Yemen when the Houthis marched to Aden on 22 March, sparking confrontations with southern militias. The war is essentially a power struggle between the Houthis, allied with former president Ali Abdullah Saleh and President Abd Rabbo Mansour Hadi, supported by various Yemeni militias, but several paradoxical alliances reflect the complex and multi-factional nature of this conflict.

  • IISS Voices

    Virginia Comolli: Nigeria’s Unlikely Election - The Road Ahead

    07 April 2015.  By Virginia Comolli, Research Fellow for Security and Development Although the Nigerian presidential campaigns were only formally launched in November 2014, we have been awaiting the recent presidential elections for much longer. It all began roughly two years ago when speculation over whether President Goodluck Jonathan would seek re-election sparked controversy. Now, almost anti-climatically, the wait is over: with a lead of 2.5 million votes, All Progressives Congress (APC) candidate and retired general Muhammadu...

  • Survival

    Defence and Japan’s Constitutional Debate

    25 March 2015. 

    Although Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s move to reinterpret Article 9 is indeed historic and groundbreaking, concerns about a resurgence of Japanese militarism are unwarranted.

  • Events

    China’s Political System and its Evolution

    12 February 2015. 

    IISS-Fullerton Lecture
    Eric Li
    Managing Director, Chengwei Capital, Shanghai
    Fullerton Hotel, Singapore
    Thursday 12 February 2015

  • IISS Voices

    William Choong: Dr Ng Eng Hen - strengthening cooperation to enhance security

    26 January 2015.  By William Choong, Shangri-La Dialogue Senior Fellow for Asia-Pacific Security The threat of Islamic extremism in Asia arising from the emergence of the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS) should be a focus of discussion at this year’s Shangri-La Dialogue (SLD), said Singapore’s Defence Minister Dr Ng Eng Hen in his keynote address at the 3rd Fullerton Forum. Speaking to 66 delegates from 22 countries for the third edition of...

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