• Strategic Comments

    The UK Brexit vote and its potential strategic impact

    20 April 2016. 

    The United Kingdom's 'Leave' camp is mounting a strident and emotive campaign for the UK's departure from the European Union, and has gained significant popular traction. 'Brexit' would pose serious economic and political risks to the UK and significantly diminish the EU’s size and clout. The 'Remain' camp will need to work hard to mobilise voters and put across the EU’s benefits more effectively to prevent Brexit.

  • Events

    IISS Survival Seminar: Donald Trump's America

    18 April 2016. 

    Survival Seminar
    Dr Dana Allin, Senior Fellow and Editor of Survival, IISS
    Arundel House, London
    Monday 18 April 2016, 12.30–1.30PM BST

  • Politics and Strategy

    Matthew Harries: Party politics and bad luck are dragging Britain towards Brexit

    12 April 2016.  David Cameron is a weak prime minister leading a divided government. The peculiar thing about this assertion is that it is true now, and not a year ago, when Cameron was in charge of a two-party coalition government, a rarity in British politics. In May 2015 Cameron won an extraordinary general-election victory, becoming the first full-term incumbent prime minister since 1832 to increase both his party’s share of the vote...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Bastian Giegerich: EU catches Dutch disease

    07 April 2016.  Christopher Hill, a Cambridge professor of International Relations, once suggested that public opinion in relation to foreign policy was a bit like the Loch Ness monster – a mythical creature, often talked about but rarely seen. Yesterday it reared its ugly head. Dutch voters rejected the European Union–Ukraine association agreement in a referendum, delivering a severe blow to European solidarity and further damaging the efforts of 28 governments to form...

  • Strategic Comments

    Turkey’s diminishing policy options in Syria

    05 April 2016. 

    The increase in the Islamic State's power vis-a-vis the moderate Syrian opposition has reduced Turkey’s ability to shape the course of the Syrian conflict in line with its long-term goals of uprooting the Assad regime and expanding its influence in the Middle East. ISIS's rise has also degraded Turkey's domestic security. Ankara currently appears caught between its inability to realise its regional objectives with respect to Syria and its refusal to moderate them, but may soon find political compromise unavoidable.

  • Events

    IISS Survival Seminar: The Coming Illiberal Order

    29 March 2016. 

    Survival Seminar
    Dr Michael Boyle, Associate Professor, La Salle University
    Dr Dana Allin, Senior Fellow for US Foreign Policy and Transatlantic Affairs, IISS
    IISS–Americas, Washington DC
    Tuesday 29 March, 10–11am EDT

  • Politics and Strategy

    Russell Crandall: Mr Obama goes to Havana

    22 March 2016.  Americans perhaps needed to rub their eyes after watching US President Barack Obama and Cuban President Raúl Castro warmly shaking hands and listening to a Cuban military band play ‘The Star-Spangled Banner’ yesterday. This was during a welcoming ceremony to the official talks on the American president’s second day of a three-day visit. Obama went over to the bandleader to thank him for the excellent rendition of a song that...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Dana H. Allin: Trump's loud silent majority

    18 March 2016.  ‘The silent majority STANDS WITH TRUMP.’ For someone who can remember the 1968 United States presidential election, these placards, waved by Donald Trump supporters at his Tampa, Florida campaign rally on Monday, are striking. Trump, too, is more than old enough to remember 1968, and the historical echo is clearly intended. The silent majority was Richard Nixon’s phrase, and he used it with great effect to channel the resentment of middle...

  • IISS Voices

    Herve Lemahieu: Myanmar's new proxy president

    16 March 2016.  Htin Kyaw, a trusted aide of Aung San Suu Kyi, has been confirmed as Myanmar's next president – the first civilian leader after more than 50 years of military rule. Herve Lemahieu assesses the prospects for his presidency.

  • IISS Voices

    Antonio Sampaio: Rousseff and Lula da Silva are drawn into Brazil's corruption probe

    08 March 2016.  Explosive allegations implicating President Dilma Rousseff in the Petrobras corruption scheme have rocked Brazil. Rousseff, the head of Petrobras’s administrative council for seven years, denies knowing about the scheme.

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