• Strategic Survey

    Chapter 3, Part II: Electoral Disruption and the Liberal Order

    18 September 2017. 

    The combination of a basic ideological device with types of far-right and nativist political movements should be considered a long-term threat to the Western political order – for it is exclusionary, anti-pluralist and, partly as a result, hostile to the European project.

  • Survival

    The Evolution of Autocracy: Why Authoritarianism Is Becoming More Formidable

    18 September 2017.  The twenty-first-century autocrat is not the same as his Cold War predecessor.

  • Survival

    Hillbilly Insurgency

    18 September 2017.  A growing number of people worldwide share the fear that an anxiety-free night’s rest, let alone dreams of any kind, is becoming a luxury afforded only to the rich, connected and worldly.

  • Strategic Survey

    Chapter 6: Sub-Saharan Africa

    06 September 2017. 

    The intervention in Gambia fits a broader trend: West Africa is becoming increasingly democratic – or at least less tolerant of dictators.

  • Strategic Survey

    Chapter 9: Europe

    06 September 2017. 

    A combination of factors relating to growing disaffection with democracy, instability on Europe’s periphery and the legacy of the economic and financial crisis has created divisions among EU member states that run between West and East, North and South.


  • Strategic Comments

    The Trump administration and the Russia probes

    17 August 2017. 

    Special Counsel Robert Mueller heads the most aggressive of five investigations of possible collusion between US President Donald Trump's campaign and Russia to influence the 2016 US presidential election. Trump has continued to pursue a conspicuously friendly relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Trump will probably continue to attack the special counsel's legitimacy and avoid unequivocally acknowledging Russian interference for as long as possible.

  • Military Balance Blog

    Divide and rule: Maduro’s relationship with Venezuela’s armed forces

    08 August 2017.  The July election in Venezuela was marked by violent clashes and casualties. Amid the current climate of political turmoil, support from the armed forces is crucial to President Maduro’s political survival, says Amanda Lapo.

  • Strategic Comments

    Venezuela’s deepening crisis

    19 July 2017. 

    Venezuela's currency has collapsed, and shortages of food and medicine have produced widespread poverty and malnutrition. President Nicolás Maduro is increasingly autocratic, while his approval rating is about 18%. Popular protests are occurring and government officials – including some military officers – appear to be losing confidence in him. The country appears to be moving towards dictatorship and, possibly, a political tipping point in favour of the opposition.

  • Military Balance Blog

    Arms trade and democracy: Sweden’s new criteria for export controls

    18 July 2017.  A new draft bill in Sweden to introduce a ‘democracy criterion’ for granting arms-export licences would make the export of any materiel to the Gulf states more difficult and limit market access for Sweden’s defence industry.

  • Survival

    Book Reviews

    17 July 2017.  Russia and Eurasia Angela Stent
    Asia-Pacific Lanxin Xiang
    Politics and International Relations Gilles Andréani

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