• Politics and Strategy

    Cyber attacks on Ukraine's power grid: to what end?

    03 February 2017.  Two cyber attacks in Ukraine show what capable hackers attacking critical infrastructure might be able to achieve.

  • Strategic Comments

    Trump and the US intelligence community

    25 January 2017. 

    President Trump has publicly denigrated the value of the United States' intelligence community (IC), imperilling the morale and retention of intelligence officers. Unless he establishes a better working relationship with the IC, the White House not only risks hollowing out the IC but could also wind up politicising the intelligence process and misusing intelligence products.

  • IISS Voices

    Spies, lies and the US president-elect

    16 January 2017.  A blizzard of angry Tweets has laid bare the rift between Donald Trump and the United States intelligence community. But the saga does not suggest a Russian mastery of information warfare, argues Nigel Inkster. When the going gets tough, Trump will still look to his intelligence community for answers – even if his instincts are to disparage it.

  • Events

    The Cyber Security Dilemma

    22 November 2016. 

    Survival Seminar
    Ben Buchanan, Postdoctoral fellow, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs
    Arundel House, London
    Tuesday 22 November 2016, 12.30–1.30PM GMT

  • Survival

    Little Grey Men: China and the Ukraine Crisis

    21 November 2016. 

    China is moving towards a ‘Russian’ view of hybrid and proxy warfare – particularly in cyberspace.

  • Politics and Strategy

    From the latest Survival: Information Warfare and the US Presidential Election

    01 November 2016.  In a US election season that continues to shock and bewilder, the revelation that Russia may have been behind the leaking of Democratic National Committee emails added a new and disturbing twist. With many signs pointing to Russian state culpability, Nigel Inkster investigates these claims and contends that, if indeed responsible for the attacks, Russia may have overplayed its hand. ‘If we do assume that, on a balance of probabilities, the...

  • Strategic Survey

    Chapter 3, Part IV: Technology and Future Conflict

    27 September 2016. 

    The proliferation of advanced military capabilities, including among non-state actors, is likely to close the technology gap between the West and the rest.

  • Events

    The proliferation of terrorist watch lists in the US

    22 September 2016. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Dr Jeffrey Kahn, Professor of Law, Dedman School of Law, Southern Methodist University
    Arundel House, London
    Thursday 22 September 2016, 12.30–1.30PM BST

  • Strategic Comments

    Cyber conflict and deterrence

    14 September 2016. 

    As with the strategic adaptation to nuclear weapons, effectively developing the policies, doctrines and plans required to stabilise the deterrence of cyber conflict constitutes a long-term challenge. Although major powers have exercised mutual restraint for fear of precipitating uncontrollable consequences, the self-deterrence arising from strategic ambiguity is too uncertain to be sufficient. Deterrence-by-denial mechanisms remain the most promising active measures, and arms control should be pursued.

  • Survival

    Cryptography and Sovereignty

    12 September 2016. 

    Encryption’s new normal is changing the way in which states assert their sovereignty at home and abroad.

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