• Survival

    The Pope’s Divisions

    22 July 2015.  Laudato Si’, Pope Francis’s June 2015 encyclical letter on the environment, is likely to have a major impact on public discourse, and perhaps on policy.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Jeffrey Mazo: The Pope’s Divisions

    19 June 2015.  It has been less than a decade since climate change began to emerge at the top of the international agenda. In March 2007, in his first major address after taking office, UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon said there was an urgent need to reframe the debate from an environmental to a development and security issue, and that it would be one of his top priorities as secretary-general. Six weeks later, on...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Jeffrey Mazo: Shooting for the Moon

    05 June 2015.  On Tuesday 2 June, at the Royal Society in London, a group of eminent UK academics led by former UK Government Chief Scientific Adviser Sir David King issued a call for a ‘Global Apollo Programme to Combat Climate Change’. We’ve heard this sort of thing before – in 2008, for example, former US Vice President Al Gore called for an Apollo programme to achieve 100% of US electricity production from...

  • Shangri-La Dialogue

    Emerging Challenges to Small State Security in the Asia-Pacific

    30 May 2015. 

    Chair: Virginia Comolli, Research Fellow for Security and Development, IISS 
    Dr Cirilo José Cristóvão, Minister of Defence, Timor-Leste 
    Dr Fabian Pok, Minister for Defence, Papua New Guinea 
    Air Vice-Marshal Mike Yardley, Chief of Air Force, New Zealand
    Senior Colonel Zhao Xiaozhuo, Deputy Director-General, China-US Defense Relations Research Center, Academy of Military Science, People’s Liberation Army, China

  • Strategic Dossiers

    Chapter Three: South Pacific Island States and Regional Security

    26 May 2015. 

    Key regional states; Papua New Guinea; Solomon Islands; Fiji; New Caledonia; Tonga; The roles of external powers; Australia; New Zealand; China; United States; France; India; Japan; Russia; Implications of external-power involvement for the region; Regional and sub-regional institutions; Transnational security challenges; Climate change; Fisheries resources 

  • Survival

    Geoengineering: Don’t Just Do Something, Stand There

    11 May 2015.  The US National Academy of Sciences confirms that geoengineering – through carbon-dioxide removal or solar-radiation management – covers a multitude of sins, with a few potential virtues.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Jeffrey Mazo: Pollyanna or Cassandra?

    10 April 2015.  Those who advocate strong action to mitigate global warming are sometimes accused of alarmism and hyperbole, or of writing ‘climate porn’ in describing the potentially dire consequences of climate change. In a Survival Closing Argument back in 2008, ‘Thinking the Unthinkable’, I argued that such apocalyptic rhetoric is not excessive – the risks really are as bad as they are made out to be. Or maybe not. In that essay...

  • Survival

    Coercing Climate Action

    25 March 2015. 

    If states cannot cooperate to take action on climate change, they might begin to coerce one another to do so.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Jeffrey Mazo: Infinite diversity in infinite combination

    24 March 2015.  Most people will be familiar, by sight if not by name, with the Mandelbrot set, a mathematical construct discovered by Benoît Mandelbrot in 1980. It is the epitome of fractal geometry and the face of chaos theory. Arising from a simple mathematical function and some rules for presentation, its visual representations are phantasmagorical and psychedelic, recursive and infinitely complex, with new details, including tiny shapes similar to the original, constantly...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Jeffrey Mazo: After the Fall

    26 January 2015.  ‘War’, the saying goes, ‘is not healthy for children and other living things’. This slogan covers both the obvious direct dangers to people from violent conflict and the indirect impacts through damage to the environment and ecosystems they live in. The latter is the focus of the Toxic Remnants of War Project (whose latest report I review in the in upcoming February-March issue of Survival), and forms one side of...

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