• Strategic Survey

    Chapter 3, Part II: Geo-physical Change and Systemic Instability

    27 September 2016. 

    Across systems, the assumption that the physical environment is essentially static, at a time when it evidently is not, creates a range of new vulnerabilities.

  • Strategic Survey

    Chapter 3, Part I: The COP-21 Agreement and the Future of Climate-Change Policy

    14 September 2016. 

    The Paris climate agreement will achieve little by itself; its effectiveness will be defined by the evolution of energy economics and technology.

  • Strategic Comments

    The international politics of climate change after Brexit

    31 August 2016. 

    The Paris Agreement provides a framework for achieving cuts in greenhouse-gas emissions that could mitigate the worst of global warming, and there has been a trend of increased participation and stronger national institutional support, cooperation and ambition towards that end. Among EU states, the United Kingdom has led that trend for three decades. The uncertainty introduced by the Brexit vote may weaken it.

  • Strategic Comments

    Pakistan: a more positive trajectory

    27 July 2016. 

    The past 18 months have been an atypically salutary period for Pakistan. Democracy has deepened, civilian–military relations have been stable, the economy has grown and foreign relations have been conducted with relative maturity and civility. While Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif does face some political turbulence and the country's long-term challenges remain substantial, Pakistan's overall outlook is improving.

  • Survival

    Climate Change and State Death

    11 July 2016. 

    As climate change raises sea levels, it is unclear how the international community will handle the physical disappearance of several island states.

  • Events

    The Global Goals – A Roadmap to a Sustainable, Fair and More Peaceful Future

    13 April 2016. 

    IISS Fullerton Lecture
    Prime Minister Erna Solberg, Prime Minister of Norway
    Fullerton Hotel, Singapore
    Wednesday 13 April 2016, 5–6pm SGT

  • Strategic Comments

    China’s energy policy: new technology and civil nuclear expansion

    08 March 2016. 

    Having generated most of its electricity from coal-fired plants, China is aggressively seeking to reduce air pollution and carbon dioxide emissions and move towards energy self-sufficiency. It may in fact be on a trajectory to become a major player in a global nuclear-power market traditionally dominated by the West.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Bruce Gilley and David Kinsella: Paris COP21 and the road to climate-change coercion

    02 December 2015.  Negotiations at the 21st Conference of the Parties (COP21) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, held in Paris from 30 November–11 December, have begun. The talks have all the trappings of a self-help seminar for addicts. Sometimes such seminars work, but no amount of positive thinking can change the basic facts. On the one hand, the world is emitting far too much greenhouse gas, and this shows...

  • Strategic Comments

    Climate change: divisions persist ahead of Paris summit

    04 November 2015. 

    Negotiations at the forthcoming Paris climate-change summit are likely to be difficult and intense, regardless of the level of momentum and political will for achieving a binding agreement. Critical questions continue to highlight the divisions over how countries should share the burden of addressing climate change.

  • Strategic Survey

    Chapter 3, part I: A New Era in the Oil Market

    15 September 2015. 

    Strategic Policy Issues

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