• Politics and Strategy

    Jeffrey Mazo: After the Fall

    26 January 2015.  ‘War’, the saying goes, ‘is not healthy for children and other living things’. This slogan covers both the obvious direct dangers to people from violent conflict and the indirect impacts through damage to the environment and ecosystems they live in. The latter is the focus of the Toxic Remnants of War Project (whose latest report I review in the in upcoming February-March issue of Survival), and forms one side of...

  • IISS Voices

    Shiloh Fetzek: Climate change, violence and young people

    22 January 2015.  By Shiloh Fetzek, Consulting Research Associate for Climate Change and Security A new report from IISS, co-authored with International Alert and commissioned by UNICEF-UK, examines how the combined challenges of growing youth populations and climate impacts could multiply security risks in regions already vulnerable to poor governance and social and political instability. Both climate change and youthful population age structures can affect factors that shape the security environment and influence the risk of violence. Climate and...

  • Strategic Comments

    Lima climate accord: positive steps on the road to Paris

    18 December 2014. 

    Pledges made at the United Nations climate-change negotiations in Lima suggested a higher degree of commitment to agreeing crucial emissions reductions than has been previously on display. There is a chance that a substantive deal may yet be reached in Paris.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Jeffrey Mazo: Noise and Signal in Climate Science

    18 December 2014.  The last week or so has been a busy one for watchers of climate change and climate politics. On Monday I weighed in on the UN summit in Lima. But three other stories also drew my attention: new data on Arctic ice loss; 2014’s record temperatures and the end of the ‘pause’, and Denmark’s ‘claim’ to the North Pole. For all three, there is less than meets the eye, but...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Jeffrey Mazo: UN Climate Summit in Lima - The Road to Paris

    15 December 2014.  In the early-morning hours on Sunday, two days past the scheduled deadline, negotiators at the UN Climate Change Conference in Lima, Peru, agreed a ‘Lima Call for Climate Action’. The decision ran to 22 paragraphs over four pages, outlining the ‘ground rules’ for national emissions-reduction pledges in the run-up to adopting a comprehensive global agreement at the December 2015 climate summit in Paris. Appended to the document were 39-pages of...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Jeffrey Mazo: What does the US–China deal mean for climate change?

    21 November 2014.  The 12 November announcement by presidents Xi Jinping and Barack Obama of their countries’ post-2020 targets for reducing greenhouse-gas emissions has been hailed as historic. It is important for a number of reasons. It is the first time China has made a formal, quantified commitment to emissions reduction (rather than merely slowing emissions growth). It reflects Obama’s decision to use executive action to cope with important issues, so as to...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Dana H. Allin: US Politics and the Climate Deal

    18 November 2014.  It is now two weeks to the day since President Obama’s party suffered another ‘shellacking’ – though he didn’t use the word this time – in midterm elections. There was much immediate chatter about the president’s supposedly diminished power at home and abroad. In a couple of news interviews and a blog post, I tried to put this in context. In terms of structural power relations in US domestic politics...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Jeffrey Mazo: Britain as an Arctic Nation

    03 November 2014.  Over the last four days I’ve been at the Arctic Circle Assembly in Reykjavik, Iceland. This international conference, now in its second year and set to be an annual fixture, brings together policymakers, parliamentarians, scientists, scholars, analysts, activists, businesses and others with an interest or stake in the Arctic. I had the opportunity to talk in the plenary session on Britain in the Arctic, organised by MP James Gray, who...

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