• Military Balance Blog

    Divide and rule: Maduro’s relationship with Venezuela’s armed forces

    08 August 2017.  The July election in Venezuela was marked by violent clashes and casualties. Amid the current climate of political turmoil, support from the armed forces is crucial to President Maduro’s political survival, says Amanda Lapo.

  • Strategic Comments

    High noon for Libya’s Potemkin government

    02 August 2017.  Strongman Khalifa Haftar is challenging Libya's internationally recognised but weak Government of National Accord for effective control of the country. While France has brokered a ceasefire and a new peace initiative, Haftar has substantial outside support from Egypt and the UAE, and the eventual political dispensation will probably turn on further military developments.

  • Expert Commentary

    Qatar and the interconnection of regional crises

    29 July 2017.  The Qatar crisis is not simply a regional tiff, it is a fundamental disagreement about the direction the wider region should take. The West needs to see that actions in one country immediately affect others, says Sir John Jenkins.

  • IISS Voices

    Boko Haram’s cross-border attacks: tactical manoeuvring to mitigate weakness

    19 July 2017.  The Nigerian insurgent group Boko Haram has stepped up its cross-border operations, a survival tactic which may – as it has for other transnational groups – work to prevent organisational weaknesses and territorial losses from bringing about the group's downfall.

  • ACD Insight

    Boko Haram’s cross-border attacks: tactical manoeuvring to mitigate weakness

    19 July 2017.  The Nigerian insurgent group Boko Haram has stepped up its cross-border operations, a survival tactic which may – as it has for other transnational groups – work to prevent organisational weaknesses and territorial losses from bringing about the group's downfall.

  • Survival

    The Black Bonaparte

    17 July 2017.  Philippe Girard’s exhaustively researched book, Toussaint Louverture: A Revolutionary Life, is a reminder that even the greatest among us reflect the constraints of our own times.

  • IISS Voices

    An end to more than 50 years of civil war(s) in Colombia

    10 July 2017.  Following the successful disarmament of the FARC, the UN Security Council unanimously voted, on 10th July, to establish a second mission in Colombia to monitor the political, economic and social reintegration of former combatants. In a country where the majority of the population has never experienced peace, there are concerns that FARC fighters may go on to join the forces of criminal gangs.

  • IISS Voices

    Deciphering the jihadist threat on Libya’s shifting sands

    05 July 2017.  With a possible collaboration between the Libyan branch of the Islamic State and al-Qaeda-affiliated groups on the ground, the jihadist threat in Libya becomes even more amorphous.

  • ACD Insight

    Deciphering the jihadist threat on Libya’s shifting sands

    04 July 2017.  With a possible collaboration between the Libyan branch of the Islamic State and al-Qaeda-affiliated groups on the ground, the jihadist threat in Libya becomes even more amorphous.

  • Strategic Comments

    The Kurds’ precarious balancing act in Syria

    19 May 2017. 

    The Syrian Kurdish Democratic Union Party’s (PYD) utility to the US-led coalition against the Islamic State, also known as ISIS or ISIL, has bolstered its military capability and territorial position in Syria – despite Turkey's opposition. But if the eventual defeat of ISIS results in a scaling back of US involvement in Syria, the PYD will be weakened and will probably seek a more durable alliance with President Bashar al-Assad's regime and its ally, Russia.

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