• Shangri-La Dialogue

    Containing the North Korean Threat

    04 June 2016. 

    Shangri-La Dialogue 2016 Special Session One
    Chair: General The Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, Senior Adviser for the Middle East and Asia-Pacific, IISS; former Chief of the Defence Staff, United Kingdom
    Shinsuke Sugiyama, Deputy Minister for Foreign Affairs, Japan 
    Yoon Soon Gu, Director-General, International Policy Bureau, Ministry of National Defense, Republic of Korea   
    Colonel Lu Yin, Associate Researcher, National Defense University, People’s Liberation Army, China
    Aidan Foster-Carter, Honorary Senior Research Fellow in Sociology and Modern Korea, Leeds University

  • Adelphi Books


    02 February 2016. 

    The essays of this volume demonstrate that the three Northeast Asian democracies are likely to remain latent nuclear powers for the foreseeable future. Yet, the reasons for their latency vary, owing partially to their individual nuclear histories.

  • Adelphi Books


    02 February 2016. 

    While Japan, South Korea and Taiwan are in good standing with their non-proliferation obligations, each of the three makes for an interesting case study on potential proliferation. Given the well-developed status of their civilian nuclear industries, all three democracies in Northeast Asia can be called latent nuclear powers.

  • Adelphi Books

    Asia's Latent Nuclear Powers: Japan, South Korea and Taiwan

    02 February 2016. 

    Under what conditions would the democracies in Northeast Asia seek to join the nuclear weapons club? In this Adelphi, Mark Fitzpatrick analyses the past nuclear pursuits and current proliferation drivers of Japan, South Korea and Taiwan.

  • IISS Voices

    Matthew Cottee: New sanctions unlikely to deter North Korean nuclear posturing

    18 January 2016.  Having apparently been able to advance both its nuclear and missile programmes under existing bans, the DPRK seems happy to remain internationally isolated

  • IISS Voices

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Iran nuclear deal Implementation Day is nigh

    08 January 2016.  With Implementation Day just around the corner, the cooperation between Iran and the US is extraordinary. Although non-nuclear problems persist in the region, Mark Fitzpatrick is optimistic

  • IISS Voices

    Mark Fitzpatrick: North Korea - Nuclear bombs and bombast

    06 January 2016.  The nuclear test carried out by North Korea on 6 January is unlikely to have been of the powerful hydrogen bomb it claims. Nevertheless, the blast increases North Korea’s confidence that it has a useable device

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: The PMD Report - Implications for the Nuclear Deal with Iran

    11 December 2015.  The much anticipated 2 December report by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) on Iran’s nuclear activities of a possible military dimension (PMD) did not say too much new. More than anything it confirmed the 2007 National Intelligence Estimate on Iran’s nuclear capabilities and intentions. This is not surprising given that both assessments drew from the same body of intelligence, although the IAEA report had the benefit of new information...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Reflections on a Decade of Proliferation Prognostication

    25 November 2015.  When I arrived at the IISS ten years ago, all was not quiet on the non-proliferation front. In Tehran, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad had recently taken office and, in one of his first actions, had rejected the package proposal put forward by the E3 to try to halt Iran’s move toward enrichment. Israel was speaking of a ‘point of no return’ if Iran learned how to spin centrifuges. In northeast Asia, the Six...

  • EU Non Proliferation and Disarmament Conference

    Introduction and Keynote Address

    11 November 2015. 

    EU Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Conference 2015
    Keynote Speech and Introductory Remarks
    Federica Mogherini, High Representative of the EU for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy (via video)
    Mark Fitzpatrick, Director, Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Programme, IISS; Executive Director, IISS-US (Designate); Vice Chair, EU Non-Proliferation Consortium
    Helga Schmid, Deputy Secretary General, EEAS

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