• Strategic Comments

    Iran nuclear talks approach conclusive deadline

    26 February 2015. 

    Iran and its interlocutors have until 24 March to reach an agreement on the country's nuclear programme. Failure to do so would not mean an end to diplomacy, but would add to pressure in Washington for new sanctions to be imposed, while also increasing Tehran's desire to pursue technological advances.

  • Expert Commentary

    World Economic Forum: Why the world needs better nuclear security

    10 February 2015.  By Mark Fitzpatrick, Director, Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Programme, Elena Sokova, Executive Director of the Vienna Center for Disarmament and Non-Proliferation, and Sir Malcolm Rifkind, Former UK Foreign Secretary and Minister of Defence. Over the past five years, world leaders have given concerted attention to ensuring that terrorists or other malevolent non-state actors cannot get their hands on material that could be fashioned into a nuclear weapon. The Nuclear Security Summits that President Obama initiated in...

  • Survival

    Normalising the Non-proliferation Regime

    30 January 2015.  The nuclear ‘haves’ should adopt a non-discriminatory, criteria-based approach to Pakistan and other NPT outliers.

  • Survival

    A Reply by the Author

    30 January 2015.  In their otherwise thorough response to my book, Arundhati Ghose and Manpreet Sethi mistake a premise of my recommendation that Pakistan should be offered a nuclear cooperation deal akin to the one provided to India. ‘Akin to’ does not mean ‘the same as’. In my book I argued that Pakistan should be required to meet a higher standard because of its dismal record of nuclear stewardship. I suggested, for example...

  • Survival

    Can Pakistan’s Nuclear Dangers be ‘Normalised’?

    30 January 2015.  A nuclear deal such as Pakistan’s military and diplomatic elites have demanded for years would make them more, not less, risk-prone.

  • IISS Voices

    Annabel Corser: Eliminating chemical weapons

    27 January 2015.  By Annabel Corser, Editorial Assistant The OPCW-UN Joint Mission in Syria drew to a close on 30 September 2014 and, as of October, 98.7% of Syrian chemical material has been destroyed. For Peter Sawczak (who heads the Government Relations and Political Affairs Branch of the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons) these successes are the latest indicators of the OPCW’s effectiveness and the value of the Chemical Weapons Convention (CWC)...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Rouhani is keen to strike a nuclear deal

    06 January 2015.  Given the strength of hardliners in Iran and the red lines that have been laid down by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, I have been pessimistic about the prospects for a negotiated settlement to the nuclear crisis. In a good start to the new year, however, President Hassan Rouhani has threatened to go over their heads by putting the matter directly to the Iranian people. In an astonishing speech at...

  • Expert Commentary

    IISS in the Press

    05 January 2015.  After rapid advances, Isis may have staying power The Guardian, 26 December If 2014 can be described as the year of the Islamic State, it is a fair bet that the jihadi group Barack Obama has pledged to ‘degrade and ultimately destroy’ will continue to dominate headlines from the Middle East in 2015. Past investments and current oil interests mean the US has been prioritising Iraq over Syria. The dysfunctional Iraqi army, humiliated...

  • Strategic Comments

    Major exercise tests CTBT verification regime

    17 December 2014. 

    Held in Jordan in November, Integrated Field Exercise 2014 was a chance to test the efficacy of the verification regime that will support the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty when it comes into force.

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter Two: Nuclear-weapons design and testing

    05 December 2014. 

    China’s emphasis on the development of a small number of large-yield thermonuclear weapons reflects the strategic rationale outlined by the head of China’s nuclear-weapons programme, Nie Rongzhen, in 1961.

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