• Strategic Comments

    Humanitarian Campaign’s challenge to nuclear-weapon states

    21 October 2014. 

    As the next NPT review conference approaches, a new movement to ban and eliminate nuclear weapons is gathering strength. The next few months will provide a crucial test for the world's diplomats and the robustness of the basic bargain at the heart of the NPT.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Who is first in North Korea, and what’s this about ‘no first use’?

    13 October 2014.  The wait for Kim Jong-un is on day 40. It’s been that long now since his last public appearance on 3 September, watching a concert with his wife and senior officials. As in the biblical sense, 40 days and 40 nights is a long time. The official line of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK), as reported by state television in late September, is that the 31-year-old leader is...

  • IISS Voices

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Mystery explosion at Iran's Parchin military complex

    10 October 2014.  Reports of an explosion or fire at the Parchin military complex in Iran have again raised questions about the country's nuclear facilities. Parchin is where Iran is suspected of conducting nuclear weapons-related experiments. Mark Fitzpatrick, Director of the Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Programme at IISS, has told BBC News that after so much international attention on the complex in recent years, 'it's unlikely that Iran would still be using it for nuclear...

  • IISS Voices

    Douglas Barrie: US arms control policy in the face of a resurgent Russia

    08 October 2014.  By Douglas Barrie, Senior Fellow for Military Aerospace Russia's behaviour over Ukraine has called into question the assumptions underpinning the US's approach to strategic deterrence that have been in place since the end of the Cold War, according to Elbridge Colby, the Robert M. Gates Fellow at the Center for a New American Security. Speaking at the IISS on 6 October, on the subject of ‘US Arms Control Policy and...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Nuclear latency with an attitude

    07 October 2014.  ‘Who coined the term “Japan model”?’, plaintively asked a participant at a workshop on nuclear latency at the Woodrow Wilson Center in Washington on 2 October. Panellists speaking about Iran’s and Brazil’s nuclear programmes respectively had both used the term to describe the aspirations of those countries for acquiring advanced civilian nuclear technologies. Like Japan, both want to expand uranium enrichment unhindered. Brazil’s case raises its own set of questions, such...

  • Events

    US Arms Control Policy and Strategic Posture in the Face of a Resurgent Russia

    06 October 2014. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Elbridge Colby
    Robert M. Gates Fellow, Center for a New American Security
    Arundel House, London
    Monday 06 October 2014

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: The Iran nuclear talks – a view from London

    03 October 2014.  I am happy to be back in the United States, but I do like living in London. For those who prefer moderation, the weather is rarely ever too hot or too cold. The political weather is moderate, too. When the northern bits of the island threatened to break the 307-year union, Westminster’s response was to show its love by flying Scottish flags. British political parties quibble on many matters, but...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Gary Samore: The Future of the Iran Nuclear Negotiations

    29 September 2014.  Earlier this month I gave a talk at the IISS Global Strategic Review in Oslo, focusing on the status of the P5+1 negotiations with Iran and in particular the prospects for completing a comprehensive agreement by the deadline of November 24. Since then I've spent some days in New York for events around the UN General Assembly opening. My conversations there confirmed my fairly pessimistic prognosis for a November deal, so what...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Forecasting an ‘interim deal-plus’ for the Iran nuclear talks

    12 September 2014.  There is no doubting that both sides want the Iran nuclear talks to produce a deal. Iran wants one that lifts the onerous sanctions that are squeezing its economy and its negotiating partners seek a deal that provides assurances, via both physical cutbacks and tight verification, that Iran will not be able to quickly produce nuclear weapons. Whether each side is willing to accept the compromises that would be necessary...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Chlorine use in Syria underscores that somebody is lying

    11 September 2014.  The 10 September report by the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) confirming that chlorine weapons were used systematically in three northern Syrian villages in April was enraging. I also read it with a sense of déjà vu, in that it underscored several of the points that came up in discussions at the EU Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Conference on 4–5 September. Those points included that, to date, nobody has...

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