• Events

    Assessing the (Presumptive) Iran Nuclear Deal

    10 July 2015. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Mark Fitzpatrick
    Director, Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Programme, IISS
    Arundel House, London
    Friday 10 July 2015, 1-2pm

  • IISS Voices

    Adil Sultan: In defence of Pakistan's nuclear management

    26 June 2015.  Rumours have been swirling in the wake of the Iran nuclear talks that Saudi Arabia may be planning to buy nuclear weapons from Pakistan. But such suspicions do not tally with Islamabad's current strict nuclear-control measures.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Verifying an Iran nuclear deal

    25 June 2015.  Discussions in Vienna this week confirmed for me two things concerning verification of Iran’s nuclear programme by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Firstly, no deal can be acceptable that would preclude the agency’s future access to military sites or nuclear scientists. Demands by the Iranian parliament, the Supreme Leader and Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps commanders to prohibit such access must be rejected. Secondly, Iranian failure to account fully for...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Limiting Iran’s nuclear R&D

    19 June 2015.  Among the several reasons I was pleasantly surprised by the 2 April Lausanne accord was that Iran agreed not to use anything other than first-generation centrifuges to enrich uranium for ten years. The IR-1 is the Model T of the centrifuge industry – clunky, slow and prone to break-down. Given its limited efficiency, keeping Iran’s programme restricted for now to the IR-1 is a significant confidence-building measure. Not long ago...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Inspecting Iran anywhere, but not anytime

    16 June 2015.  One of the most vexing issues remaining to be negotiated between Iran and the six major powers regards future inspector access to military sites. From a Western perspective, it is a no-brainer that Iran should not be able to hide nuclear-weapons work at military bases. Iran, on the other hand, has a legitimate need to protect military secrets that are unrelated to illicit nuclear activity. No sovereign country, especially one...

  • IISS Voices

    Paulina Izewicz: Eastern Europe’s post-Crimea disarmament nerves

    11 June 2015.  In light of Russia’s annexation of Crimea and the Kremlin’s recent nuclear rhetoric, Poland and other states in region are increasingly cautious about the further withdrawal of US tactical nuclear weapons from European soil

  • Strategic Comments

    NPT review: failure underlines challenges ahead

    04 June 2015. 

    The recent deterioration in relations between Russia and the West was among a series of factors that had dampened hopes that the NPT RevCon could deliver meaningful progress on arms control. Nonetheless, nuclear-weapons states may now be convinced of the need to show greater awareness of the widespread impatience fuelling efforts to ban nuclear weapons.

  • Expert Commentary

    World Economic Forum: How can we push for tighter security for nuclear weapons?

    02 June 2015.  By Mark Fitzpatrick, Director, Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Programme, IISS and Elena Sokova, Executive Director, Vienna Center for Disarmament and Non-Proliferation The alleged security failings in the UK Trident submarine program exposed by a Royal Navy whistleblower William McNeilly on 17 May bring into focus the issue of security gaps and vulnerabilities of military nuclear programs. When we learn about nuclear security lapses regarding these programs, it is usually due to untoward incidents or...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Who needs an Iran nuclear deal more?

    22 May 2015.  When negotiators in Lausanne on 2 April reached a framework for a comprehensive deal on the Iran nuclear issue, they allowed themselves 89 days to finish up the details before the 30 June deadline. More than half of that time has now passed. But rather than making steady progress in bridging the remaining gaps, the parties seem to be drifting further apart. I may be wrong about this, because the...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and the Nuclear Rumour Mill

    20 May 2015.  One of the arguments most often raised against the emerging Iran nuclear deal is that it will prompt a proliferation cascade in the region. For years I have worried that if Iran got too close to being able to produce nuclear weapons it would stimulate a similar effort by Saudi Arabia, which in turn might encourage Egypt and others to follow suit. Seven years ago I put out a strategic...

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