• Politics and Strategy

    Matthew Harries: Nigel Farage hits the Trump trail

    25 August 2016.  Last night in Jackson, Mississippi, the leader of the United Kingdom Independence Party told supporters of the Republican nominee for president that they could do in the United States what the campaign for Brexit had done in Britain. Nigel Farage meant this in the sense of victory for an anti-establishment underdog. British viewers might have been forgiven for thinking instead of the day when Farage posed in front of his newest...

  • Strategic Comments

    Turbulence in the Taiwan Strait

    24 August 2016. 

    The election of Tsai Ing-wen as president of Taiwan by an electorate increasingly inclined towards independence has made Beijing less tolerant of strategic ambiguity and more apt to attempt to impose reunification. Washington may need to undertake more proactive diplomacy to stave off a military confrontation.

  • Expert Commentary

    War on the Rocks: "Assad or we burn the country"

    24 August 2016.  By Emile Hokayem, Senior Fellow for Middle East Security Prior to the uprising that ignited in Syria in 2011, whenever I discussed politics with my urbanite Syrian interlocutors, they would often tell me: "You, the Lebanese, you are violent, corrupt, sectarian, with no sense of a nation or a state." (I also noted that Iraqis would endure similar lecturing). Frankly, they were largely right, but their real point lay somewhere else. The...

  • Military Balance Blog

    Nick Childs: US carriers – more support from amphibious fleet

    23 August 2016.  The debate over the continuing utility and cost-effectiveness of the US Navy's nuclear-powered aircraft carriers (CVNs) is in full flood. Nick Childs suggests that the US should further develop the role of its amphibious assault ships as support aircraft carriers, which would both enhance capabilities and take the pressure off the overworked CVN force.

  • Expert Commentary

    ISNA: Mark Fitzpatrick – Next US president won't be able to waive the JCPOA

    22 August 2016.  An interview with Mark Fitzpatrick, Director, Non-Proliferation and Nuclear Policy Programme; Executive Director, IISS–Americas TEHRAN (ISNA) – Former Deputy to US Secretary of State Mark Fitzpatrick said that because JCPOA is an eight-party deal, next US president will not waive it. Q: In your opinion, does JCPOA made any changes in Iran's role and power in the region? If so, is it tactical or strategic? A: Being limited to the nuclear matters, the...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Dana H. Allin: Taking Trump Seriously

    02 August 2016.  Is it ‘a category error’ to critique Donald Trump’s policy ideas because, as Matthew Yglesias suggests, they are so ‘ridiculous and inconsistent’? The answer, at the most obvious level, is yes. That is why it makes more sense to focus on his personality, which is outlandish but also fundamentally authoritarian. The genuine admiration that he repeatedly expresses for Russian President Vladimir Putin is less a matter of strategic appeasement than...

  • Expert Commentary

    Strategist: Giving China a ladder to climb down

    01 August 2016.  By William Choong, Shangri-La Dialogue Senior Fellow for Asia-Pacific Security The 12 July judgment by the Hague-based Arbitral Tribunal on the South China Sea constituted a near-total defeat for China. While it was widely expected that the Philippines would win, it wasn't expected that China would lose by such a wide margin. Understandably, China has taken a hawkish and resolute stance against the Tribunal. Eager to show China’s resolve in defending its...

  • Expert Commentary

    Tehran Times: Fitzpatrick – JCPOA has been a success so far

    31 July 2016.  An interview with Mark Fitzpatrick, Director, Non-Proliferation and Nuclear Policy Programme; Executive Director, IISS–Americas Mark Fitzpatrick, director of the non-proliferation program at the International Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), says the nuclear deal between Iran and great powers, officially called the JCPOA, has been a "success" so far as the sides have respected their obligations. However Fitzpatrick defends the report by the UN secretary general about the Resolution 2231 which endorsed the...

  • Expert Commentary

    Democracy and Security: How the CT Community Failed to Anticipate the Islamic State

    29 July 2016.  By Nelly Lahoud, Senior Fellow for Political Islamism, IISS–Middle East This article is a critique of the dominant approach within the counter-terrorism (CT) community that failed to analyze IS’s trajectory as a distinct group since at least 2006. We argue that two factors account for this failure. The first concerns the Authorization for the Use of Military Force (AUMF), the law that was enacted in the wake of the 9/11 attacks...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Matthew Harries: Five reasons to think Trump could win

    28 July 2016.  1. The polls are tight In the words of polling savant Nate Silver: ‘It's a close election right now.’ We are yet to see if Hillary Clinton will get a convention bump (the uptick in the polls that often follows a candidate’s extended airing on primetime television). But both national and battleground-state polls show that Donald Trump is now a competitive candidate – and this after he enjoyed only a moderate...

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