• Survival

    Forum: NATO and Russia

    25 March 2015. 

    In the last issue of Survival, Matthew Kroenig proposed a new NATO strategy towards Russia. We invited American, European and Russian experts to react.

  • Survival

    Fantasy Counterfactual: A Nuclear-Armed Ukraine

    25 March 2015. 

    The suggestion that Ukraine should have kept its Soviet-era nuclear weapons is a counterfactual fantasy that groans under the weight of its technical, political and strategic assumptions.

  • Survival

    Consequences of a New Cold War

    25 March 2015. 

    To end Russian intervention in its neighbourhood, the West might have to recognise its special role there, and forswear further enlargement of NATO and the EU.

  • Expert Commentary

    Financial Times: The purpose of Putin’s diplomatic acrobatics

    24 March 2015.  In an op-ed for the Financial Times, Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia Samuel Charap examines why Russian President Vladimir Putin has persisted in denying his country's involvement in the Ukraine crisis. Although this decision has destroyed Putin's credibility among his diplomatic counterparts, Charap argues that it may be an attempt to preserve the very international order that Russia's actions have so clearly violated. Charap suggests that by refusing to acknowledge this...

  • IISS Voices

    Strategic Snapshots: As the ceasefire in Ukraine holds, what next?

    12 March 2015.  Dr Samuel Charap, Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia, discusses the scope and sequencing of the ‘Minsk 2.0’ agreement between Russia and Ukraine. ‘Success’ of the ceasefire holding in Donbas would pose challenges in itself; in particular on the question of Kiev’s resolve to endorse a constitutional decentralisation of powers, stipulated in the agreement. Will a stretch of relative calm produce a move towards lasting peace or the hardening of a...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Erik Jones: The Threat to Exclude Russia from SWIFT

    10 March 2015.  The second Minsk accords have succeeded in fostering a ceasefire, and yet the Russian government continues to support the armed separatist movement in eastern Ukraine, small acts of violence continue to take place and the peace is fragile. The challenge for Western policymakers is to come up with some greater incentive for Russia to embrace a lasting peace settlement. The threat of large-scale Western military assistance for the Ukrainian government...

  • Expert Commentary

    New York Times: Why sanctions on Russia will backfire

    06 March 2015.  By Samuel Charap, Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia, and Bernard Sucher The American government tends to see sanctions against Russia as a low-cost policy that will eventually force Vladimir Putin to change course in Ukraine. But this conventional wisdom obscures significant costs. Just as using drones to target suspected terrorists in Pakistan may have created more converts to Islamic militancy than it has eliminated, sanctions advocates haven’t reckoned with the unintended...

  • Events

    An Update on the Ukraine Crisis: The New Minsk Agreements and Beyond

    03 March 2015. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Dr Samuel Charap, Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia at the International Institute for Strategic Studies
    Arundel House, London
    Tuesday 3 March 2015, 6:30-8pm

  • Military Balance Blog

    Ben Barry: Analysing the conflict in eastern Ukraine

    25 February 2015.  By Ben Barry, Senior Fellow for Land Warfare As the crisis in Ukraine has unfolded it has become increasingly apparent that there is a military disparity between the Ukrainian forces and the Russian forces assisting the pro-Russia separatists. According to Ben Barry, this incongruence is due to a combination of factors including corruption, modernisation, and defence expenditure. Ukraine’s defence expenditure, compared to Russia’s, has been at a consistently low level. This...

  • Events

    International Responses to Hybrid Conflict in Fragile States

    24 February 2015. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Dr Jamie Shea
    Deputy Assistant Secretary General for Emerging Security Challenges, NATO
    Arundel House, London
    Tuesday 24 February 2015, 12:30-1:30pm

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