• Events

    Energy Security and the Ukraine Crisis

    24 September 2014.  IISS-US Discussion Meeting
    Dr Pierre Noel
    Sultan Hassanal Bolkiah Senior Fellow for
    Economic and Energy Security, IISS
    IISS-US, Washington DC
    Wednesday, 24 September 2014

  • Politics and Strategy

    Pierre Noël: Europe must not block the South Stream pipeline

    16 September 2014.  In responding to the Ukraine security crisis, the European Union should have done whatever it could to insulate the Russia–Europe gas relationship from foreign-policy tension. By opposing South Stream, the pipeline system that would bypass Ukraine as a gas-transit country, it has done the exact opposite. Understandably enough, EU leaders state that they are unwilling to cooperate with Moscow at Kiev’s expense. They appear to have suddenly realised that a bypassed...

  • Expert Commentary

    Bloomberg: EU-Russia Gas Trade is Biggest Stake: Noel

    09 September 2014.  Hassanal Bolkiah Senior Fellow for Economic & Energy Security, IISS Pierre Noel discusses Europe’s reliance on Russian gas, the significance of Russia’s trade pact with China and the possibility of a gas crisis between Europe and Russia with Bloomberg’s Rishaad Salamat on 'On The Move.' Watch at Bloomberg  Former US National Security Advisor Zbigniew Brzezinski, will discuss 'The International System and the Ukraine Crisis' in the first plenary session of the 2014 IISS Global...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Deterrence intrudes on EU conference

    09 September 2014.  Security demands of the present have a way of infringing on disarmament aims of the future. On 4–5 September, as the IISS was running the EU Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Conference, some of the European government officials who wanted to attend instead had to devote their attention to the overlapping NATO summit in Wales. The NATO discussions also intruded directly. The leitmotif of a dinner speech by UN High Representative for...

  • Expert Commentary

    Carnegie Perspectives: Maximalist Rhetoric and the Realities of the Region

    02 September 2014.  By Samuel Charap, Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia U.S. perceptions of Russian objectives in post-Soviet Eurasia are distorted due to a pervasive failure to differentiate between maximalist rhetoric and the realities of the region almost 25 years after the Soviet collapse. Washington tends to seize on hyperbolic statements by Russian officials (e.g., President Vladimir Putin’s line about the Soviet collapse being the 'greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the twentieth century') that...

  • Expert Commentary

    Straits Times: Asia would pay a price if Russia-EU gas trade collapsed

    01 September 2014.  By Pierre Noel, Hassanal Bolkiah Senior Fellow in Economic and Energy Security The crisis in Ukraine is relevant to Asia, both politically and in terms of energy security. Politically, it illustrates the fact that economic interdependence may not prevent states taking decisive action if they feel that core national security interests are at stake in a dispute. In terms of energy security, a collapse of the trade in natural gas between Russia...

  • Military Balance Blog

    Joseph Dempsey: Pro-Russian separatist tank variant supports Russian source

    28 August 2014.  By Joseph Dempsey, Research Analyst, Defence and Military Analysis Programme Several recent reports have identified Russia as the source of Main Battle Tanks (MBTs) and other heavy equipment operated by pro-Russian separatists in Ukraine, a suggestion persistently denied by Moscow. The apparent sudden and steady flow of MBTs into separatist hands since June 2014 coupled with a recently observed diversity of MBTs suggests some reliance on an external source. The Soviet-era MBTs operated...

  • IISS Voices

    Strategic snapshots: The Ukraine Crisis and the International System

    20 August 2014.  Russia’s President Vladimir Putin and his Ukrainian counterpart, Petro Poroshenko, will sit down on August 26 to discuss ways of containing unrest in Ukraine. In this GSR preview, Dr Samuel Charap addresses the motives and constraints of the players involved, whether an endgame or workable modus vivendi is in sight, and how the Ukrainian crisis will affect the long-term coherence of the international system and the rules by which it...

  • IISS Voices

    Strategic Snapshots: US Power Projection: Measured or Enfeebled?

    05 August 2014.  Is a US abdication of global leadership and military power, perceived or otherwise, exacerbating conflicts such as those in Syria and Ukraine? Dana Allin expands on his recent Survival article to argue that restraint in US foreign policy has good precedent, despite fears that Washington has ‘overlearned’ the costs of military adventurism.

  • Expert Commentary

    National Interest: Why Obama's Coercion Strategy in Ukraine Will Fail

    04 August 2014.  By Samuel Charap, Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia The downing of Malaysian Airlines Flight 17 has dramatically escalated tensions surrounding the Ukraine crisis. On Tuesday, the EU and the United States enacted unprecedented economic sanctions against Russia, the world’s sixth largest economy. The talk in Western capitals is about the degree of punishment to exact against Russia for its actions and the extent of support to provide to the Ukrainian government, be...

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