• Expert Commentary

    Straits Times: Asia would pay a price if Russia-EU gas trade collapsed

    01 September 2014.  By Pierre Noel, Hassanal Bolkiah Senior Fellow in Economic and Energy Security The crisis in Ukraine is relevant to Asia, both politically and in terms of energy security. Politically, it illustrates the fact that economic interdependence may not prevent states taking decisive action if they feel that core national security interests are at stake in a dispute. In terms of energy security, a collapse of the trade in natural gas between Russia...

  • Military Balance Blog

    Joseph Dempsey: Pro-Russian separatist tank variant supports Russian source

    28 August 2014.  By Joseph Dempsey, Research Analyst, Defence and Military Analysis Programme Several recent reports have identified Russia as the source of Main Battle Tanks (MBTs) and other heavy equipment operated by pro-Russian separatists in Ukraine, a suggestion persistently denied by Moscow. The apparent sudden and steady flow of MBTs into separatist hands since June 2014 coupled with a recently observed diversity of MBTs suggests some reliance on an external source. The Soviet-era MBTs operated...

  • IISS Voices

    Strategic snapshots: The Ukraine Crisis and the International System

    20 August 2014.  Russia’s President Vladimir Putin and his Ukrainian counterpart, Petro Poroshenko, will sit down on August 26 to discuss ways of containing unrest in Ukraine. In this GSR preview, Dr Samuel Charap addresses the motives and constraints of the players involved, whether an endgame or workable modus vivendi is in sight, and how the Ukrainian crisis will affect the long-term coherence of the international system and the rules by which it...

  • IISS Voices

    Strategic Snapshots: US Power Projection: Measured or Enfeebled?

    05 August 2014.  Is a US abdication of global leadership and military power, perceived or otherwise, exacerbating conflicts such as those in Syria and Ukraine? Dana Allin expands on his recent Survival article to argue that restraint in US foreign policy has good precedent, despite fears that Washington has ‘overlearned’ the costs of military adventurism.

  • Expert Commentary

    National Interest: Why Obama's Coercion Strategy in Ukraine Will Fail

    04 August 2014.  By Samuel Charap, Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia The downing of Malaysian Airlines Flight 17 has dramatically escalated tensions surrounding the Ukraine crisis. On Tuesday, the EU and the United States enacted unprecedented economic sanctions against Russia, the world’s sixth largest economy. The talk in Western capitals is about the degree of punishment to exact against Russia for its actions and the extent of support to provide to the Ukrainian government, be...

  • Survival

    Crimea and the International Legal Order

    25 July 2014. 

    Putin’s exploitation of the tension between the principles of non-intervention and self-determination is in the tradition of great-power interaction with international law. But Russia’s interpretation sets dangerous precedents.

  • Military Balance Blog

    Joseph Dempsey: Pro-Russian separatist access to medium-range surface-to-air missiles

    18 July 2014.  By Joseph Dempsey, Research Analyst, Military Balance Online On 18 July 2014, in a White House statement on the crash in eastern Ukraine of Malaysian airlines flight MH17, US President Barack Obama stated what many already suspected. He said that the evidence indicated the aircraft was shot down by a surface-to-air missile launched from territory controlled by Russian-backed separatists inside Ukraine. Obama did not comment on the question of intent, rightly...

  • IISS Voices

    Nicholas Redman: Cutting off the gas supply to Ukraine

    17 June 2014.  By Nicholas Redman, Senior Fellow for Geopolitical Risk and Economic Security If there is a surprise in Gazprom halting gas supplies to Ukraine, it is that it has taken so long to actually happen. Relations between the two governments are fraught in the wake of the annexation of Crimea and the continuing ‘anti-terrorist’ operation that Kiev is conducting in Donetsk and Luhansk. In a situation where there is no goodwill between the...

  • Events

    The Changing International Order and NATO

    16 June 2014. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Dr Andrew Murrison MP
    Minister for International Security Strategy
    Arundel House, London
    Monday 16 June 2014, 6-7pm

  • Expert Commentary

    Bloomberg: Ukraine Abused Russian Gas Transit Monopoly: Noël

    04 June 2014.  Pierre Noël, senior fellow for economic and energy security at the International Institute for Strategic Studies, discusses the Ukraine crisis with Angie Lau on Bloomberg Television's 'First Up.' Watch at Bloomberg TV 

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