• Survival

    Crimea and the International Legal Order

    25 July 2014.  Putin’s exploitation of the tension between the principles of non-intervention and self-determination is in the tradition of great-power interaction with international law. But Russia’s interpretation sets dangerous precedents.


  • Military Balance Blog

    Joseph Dempsey: Pro-Russian separatist access to medium-range surface-to-air missiles

    18 July 2014.  By Joseph Dempsey, Research Analyst, Military Balance Online On 18 July 2014, in a White House statement on the crash in eastern Ukraine of Malaysian airlines flight MH17, US President Barack Obama stated what many already suspected. He said that the evidence indicated the aircraft was shot down by a surface-to-air missile launched from territory controlled by Russian-backed separatists inside Ukraine. Obama did not comment on the question of intent, rightly...

  • IISS Voices

    Nicholas Redman: Cutting off the gas supply to Ukraine

    17 June 2014.  By Nicholas Redman, Senior Fellow for Geopolitical Risk and Economic Security If there is a surprise in Gazprom halting gas supplies to Ukraine, it is that it has taken so long to actually happen. Relations between the two governments are fraught in the wake of the annexation of Crimea and the continuing ‘anti-terrorist’ operation that Kiev is conducting in Donetsk and Luhansk. In a situation where there is no goodwill between the...

  • Events

    The Changing International Order and NATO

    16 June 2014. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Dr Andrew Murrison MP
    Minister for International Security Strategy
    Arundel House, London
    Monday 16 June 2014, 6-7pm

  • Press

    Bloomberg: Ukraine Abused Russian Gas Transit Monopoly: Noël

    04 June 2014.  IISS press coverage from June 2014.

  • Strategic Comments

    Ukraine: risks to economic stabilisation

    02 June 2014. 

    An agreement with the IMF offers sizeable external support and a path to transforming Ukraine's ailing economy and business climate. But it remains to be seen whether the country's new government will be willing and able to stick to the conditions of this far-reaching programme.

  • IISS Voices

    Samuel Charap: Ukraine's Festering Divisions

    02 June 2014.  In an op-ed for the New York Times, IISS Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia Samuel Charap discussed the potential impact of the recent Ukrainian elections on Western involvement in the country's politics:  As the polls closed during last month’s snap presidential elections in Ukraine, violence broke out in the east of the country. Insurgents took over Donetsk airport and the government responded with airstrikes. Eastern Ukraine has become a breeding ground...

  • Strategic Comments

    Russia’s motives in Ukraine

    23 May 2014. 

    An examination of the various explanations for Russia's campaign to undermine the new government in Kiev suggests that it was motivated, first and foremost, by a need to protect its national interests in Ukraine. By inserting special forces, paratroopers and other servicemen into Crimea, Putin was seeking to prevent a strategic setback in Kiev from becoming a strategic catastrophe for Moscow.

  • Survival

    The EU and Ukraine

    19 May 2014.  EU members did not take long-standing Russian positions seriously, assumed any neighbour would be eager to sign up for ‘more Europe’, and have failed to generate a viable reply to Moscow’s intervention.

  • Survival

    Ukraine and the Art of Crisis Management

    19 May 2014.  Crisis management is the most demanding form of diplomacy. So far neither Russia nor the US and its European allies have handled it particularly well.

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