• Expert Commentary

    National Interest: For Ukraine, Weakness Could Be Its Greatest Strength

    21 January 2015.  By Samuel Charap, Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia, and Tymofiy Mylovanov The United States and the EU have demonstrated significant commitment to Ukraine’s success since the Maidan revolution. However, no Western leader has ever suggested that Ukraine has a blank check—that the Western commitment is without limits. Instead, as evidenced by the measured extent of financial and military assistance to Ukraine, this commitment is both limited and conditional. In particular, if...

  • Expert Commentary

    European Leadership Network: Summitry cannot resolve the Russia-West crisis

    15 January 2015.  By Samuel Charap, Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia From the moment in late December when Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko announced – as it turns out, prematurely – that there would be a heads-of-state meeting in the so-called Normandy format on January 15 in Astana, observers have been keenly awaiting signs of a breakthrough in the Ukraine crisis talks. Instead, the summit has been called off, tensions have spiked on the...

  • IISS Voices

    John Drennan: The tenuous ceasefire in Ukraine

    15 January 2015.  Although negotiations in Minsk resulted in a tentative ceasefire in eastern Ukraine, a comprehensive settlement of the key issues has not yet been reached between Kyiv and the separatists, and fighting has re-escalated in 2015.

  • News

    The Tenuous Ceasefire in Ukraine

    15 January 2015.  Although negotiations in Minsk resulted in a tentative ceasefire in eastern Ukraine, a comprehensive settlement of the key issues has not yet been reached between Kyiv and the separatists, and fighting has re-escalated in 2015. 

  • IISS Voices

    John Drennan: Lukashenko - More than a Kremlin satrap

    12 January 2015.  By John Drennan, Research Assistant and Programme Officer, Russia and Eurasia Programme Following Russia’s annexation of Crimea in March 2014 and the subsequent crisis in Ukraine, Belarus’s President Aleksandr Lukashenko has sought to carefully balance his country’s deep dependence on Russia against potential new threats to Belarus’s sovereignty. During his tenure, Lukashenko has demonstrated that he is no Kremlin satrap, but rather a self-interested client willing to deviate from his patron...

  • Expert Commentary

    IISS in the Press

    05 January 2015.  After rapid advances, Isis may have staying power The Guardian, 26 December If 2014 can be described as the year of the Islamic State, it is a fair bet that the jihadi group Barack Obama has pledged to ‘degrade and ultimately destroy’ will continue to dominate headlines from the Middle East in 2015. Past investments and current oil interests mean the US has been prioritising Iraq over Syria. The dysfunctional Iraqi army, humiliated...

  • Events

    International Diplomacy and the Ukraine Crisis

    15 December 2014. 

    Discussion Meeting

    The Hon. Vladimir Lukin
    Former Russian Ambassador to the US;
    Special Envoy of the Russian President for the February 21st Negotiations on Ukraine

    The Hon. Richard Burt
    Managing Director, McLarty Associates;
    Former US Ambassador to Germany;
    Chief US Negotiator for the START Agreement

    Sir Michael Leigh
    Transatlantic Academy Fellow, German Marshall Fund;
    Former Director-General for Enlargement, European Commission

    IISS-US, Washington DC
    Monday, 15 December 2014, 9:30-10:30am EST/ 2:30-3:30pm GMT

  • Events

    The Ukrainian Crisis: A Test for Europe and the World

    09 December 2014. 

    IISS-Fullerton Lecture
    Petro Poroshenko
    President of Ukraine
    Fullerton Hotel, Singapore
    Tuesday 09 December 2014

  • Expert Commentary

    Samuel Charap & Jeremy Shapiro: The Ukraine Security Crisis and the Missing Post-Cold War Bargain

    08 December 2014.  By Samuel Charap, Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia, IISS, and Jeremy Shapiro, Fellow in Foreign Policy Studies, Brookings Institution The violence and tragedy in Ukraine dominate the headlines as Europe and its allies struggle for a response to Russia’s brazen behavior. Despite the shock of it all, Russia’s actions are less a paradigm shift than a dramatic sharpening of a 25-year-old strategic dilemma: how to build an inclusive European security...

  • Manama Voices

    Latest Survival Issue: The Global Shadow of Conflict in Ukraine and the Middle East

    05 December 2014.  By Matthew Harries, Managing Editor of Survival and Research Fellow at the IISS. The new issue of Survival: Global Politics and Strategy, for December 2014–January 2015, grapples with the geopolitical uncertainty and fluidity with which the 2014 Manama Dialogue will be coming to terms, in both regional and global senses. Three articles contemplate the woes spreading, one way or another, from Syria. Charles Lister catalogues the proponents and group dynamics of Syria’s jihad, including...

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