• News

    2014: A year of living dangerously

    29 September 2014.  The UNHCR and other organisations say refugee numbers leapt in 2013. In the past three years, annual conflict-related fatalities have also doubled, according to ACD figures.

  • IISS Voices

    Hanna Ucko Neill: 2014: A year of living dangerously

    29 September 2014.  The UNHCR and other organisations say refugee numbers leapt in 2013. In the past three years, annual conflict-related fatalities have also doubled, according to ACD figures.

  • Expert Commentary

    CNN: Complexities of Tackling ISIS in Syria

    25 September 2014.  CNN Connect the World interview with Emile Hokayem, Senior Fellow for Regional Security, IISS-Middle East BECKY ANDERSON, HOST: three-and-a-half years and almost 200,000 deaths since the Syrian civil war began. The international community now responding in Syria with force, but not against Bashar al-Assad. The spread of ISIS in the north of the country has prompted the US and its allies into action, but they enter a situation a lot more complex...

  • IISS Voices

    Emile Hokayem: US intervention in Syria is far more complex than in Iraq

    23 September 2014.  By Emile Hokayem, Senior Fellow for Middle East Security The US and its allies in the anti-ISIS coalition have begun striking ISIS and Khorasan (a Syria-based al-Qaeda franchise) in eastern and northern Syria. This air power campaign follows a wider one in Iraq last month and is aimed at disrupting the Islamic State’s considerable presence across these areas. After resisting intervention in Syria for years, the US has now been compelled...

  • GSR

    The Transformation of the Geopolitical and Geo-economic Order in the Middle East

    20 September 2014. 

    Global Strategic Review 2014 First Plenary Session 
    Dr Barham Salih, Former Prime Minister, Kurdistan Regional Government, Iraq 
    Professor Toby Dodge, Consulting Senior Fellow for the Middle East, IISS 
    Roula Khalaf Razzouk, Foreign Editor, Financial Times 

  • IISS Voices

    Strategic Survey: Al-Qaeda still poses greater global security threat than ISIS

    19 September 2014.  While ISIS poses a serious threat to regional security, Senior Fellow for Middle East Security Emile Hokayem says that al-Qaeda and its affiliates are likely ‘more potent in terms of global ambitions’. Acknowledging that early assessments of ISIS grossly underestimated its capability, he suggests that the group could yet be contained by political and military means.  

  • IISS Voices

    Strategic Survey: Forging a successful coalition against ISIS

    19 September 2014.  Can the US forge a successful coalition to defeat ISIS in Iraq and Syria? At the Strategic Survey 2014 Launch, Toby Dodge, IISS Consulting Senior Fellow for the Middle East, identified three key issues: It is difficult to underestimate Gulf States’ distrust of the Obama Administration due to its perceived failure to enforce its ‘redline’ against the use of chemical  weapons after attack at Ghouta in 2014 A comprehensive solution...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Dana H. Allin: Is Obama a too-reluctant warrior?

    15 September 2014.  My colleague Ben Barry has posted an excellent analysis of the military virtues and disadvantages of the strategy against ISIS that President Obama laid out in his speech last week. As I read Ben’s assessment, the strategy that has emerged since June is working reasonably well to halt the ISIS advance, and has a reasonable chance of further success. The political problems and contradictions in assembling an effective coalition are...

  • IISS Voices

    Ben Barry: Degrading ISIS – a military assessment of President Obama’s strategy

    11 September 2014.  By Ben Barry, Senior Fellow for Land Warfare Since President Obama’s 19 June statement that ‘we will be prepared to take targeted and precise military action, if and when we determine that the situation on the ground requires it’, the advance of ISIS columns in Iraq has been halted. Deployment of the best part of a thousand US personnel, including many special operations forces, and the focussing of US intelligence and...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Chlorine use in Syria underscores that somebody is lying

    11 September 2014.  The 10 September report by the Organisation for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) confirming that chlorine weapons were used systematically in three northern Syrian villages in April was enraging. I also read it with a sense of déjà vu, in that it underscored several of the points that came up in discussions at the EU Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Conference on 4–5 September. Those points included that, to date, nobody has...

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