06 March 2014.
By Reed Blakemore, Intern, IISS–US
A solution to the nearly four-year-old Syrian civil war seems distant after the recent collapse of negotiations between the Assad regime and the opposition. Militant groups operating in Syria and elsewhere, and the growing number of refugees, have serious implications throughout the Middle East. In particular, Syria’s neighbours – Iraq, Turkey, Lebanon and Jordan – will have to work hard to prevent the conflict from engulfing...
Politics and Strategy
28 February 2014.
Having waxed optimistically last year about the Syrian chemical weapons (CW) destruction deal, it is time I recognise publically that things have not been going so well of late.
From the day in early September, when Russia proposed that Syria put its CW under international control for destruction, through to December, the process went amazingly well. Syria signed the Chemical Weapons Convention, declared its stockpiles and gave the Organisation for the...
27 February 2014.
By Alexa van Sickle, Assistant editor
The events in Turkey in 2013 caught both the citizens and government off-guard, according to Ziya Meral, a Turkish researcher and writer.
Before the summer of 2013, he said, there had been a clear forecast of where things were heading in Turkey for 2014 and 2015. The elections cycle was in gear, and although the government had shown a lapse in reform and the democratic...
24 February 2014.
A fresh cycle of sectarian violence in Iraq has resulted in militants gaining control of the city of Fallujah in Anbar province. Whether or not the current violence will escalate into outright civil war will depend on the outcome of April's national elections, and on the government that will take power in their aftermath.
20 February 2014.
IISS-US Discussion meeting
Professor Henri Barkey, Bernard L. and Bertha F. Cohen Professor, Lehigh University
Ben Fishman, Consulting Senior Fellow for the Middle East and North Africa, IISS
Kim Ghattas, State Department Correspondent, British Broadcasting Corporation
Ambassador James Jeffrey, Philip Solondz Distinguished Visiting Fellow, Washington Institute for Near East Policy
Chair: Steven Simon, Executive Director, IISS-US and Corresponding Director, IISS-ME
Thursday 20 February 2014
IISS-US, Washington DC
The Military Balance
05 February 2014.
Syria: Implications for regional armed forces; Regime regroups; Rebel forces
Egypt: the military resumes power
Iran: Missile developments
GCC: Cooperative defence and Iran
Regional defence economics; Major arms-trade developments in 2012 and 2013; Military commercial activities
Algeria: Recent initiatives; Regional and border defence; Counter-terrorism and international cooperation; Defence economics
09 January 2014.
By Jeremy Shapiro, Visiting Fellow, Brookings Institution, and Samuel Charap, Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia
Later this month, the Geneva II peace conference on Syria will take place, with the US, Russia, many regional states and others taking part.
Jeremy Shapiro and Samuel Charap argue in Foreign Affairs that in Washington, both the sceptics who dismiss the conference as a hopeless endeavour, and the optimists who see it as a genuine...
19 December 2013.
Emile Hokayem's Adelphi book, Syria's Uprising and the Fracturing of the Levant, has been praised by the renowned Middle East scholar Dr Reinoud Leenders for offering 'coherence, clarity and fresh insights'.
Writing in the latest edition of International Affairs, Dr Leenders praises the book for providing a 'meticulous and highly effective anatomy of the Syrian crisis' and judges that it is 'impressive for both its width and nuance'.
08 December 2013.
By Christian Le Miere, Senior Fellow for Naval Forces and Maritime Security
One of the key themes of the Manama Dialogue thus far in 2013 has been interventionism, specifically extra-regional intervention in the Middle East and regional intervention in Syria.
Speakers such as William Hague and Chuck Hagel have had a difficult balancing act to undertake: explain to regional states how the UK and US remain devoted and committed to the region, while...
05 December 2013.
By Eneken Tikk-Ringas, Senior Fellow for Cyber Security
Cyber attacks – the ‘new normal’ in business, governance and conflict – are also becoming the norm in regional and international competition.
Tensions over Iranian nuclear aspirations, Assad’s regime struggle and clashes between Shia protesters and government forces in Bahrain all carry an online footprint. Cyber-capability development and deployment also reflect alliances, such as the ties between the Iranian regime and the Syrian Electronic...