• Adelphi Books

    Chapter Three: Strategic stability and arms control

    13 September 2017. 

    In addition to maintaining deterrence, the size and structure of the nuclear force must promote strategic stability between the US and the other principal nuclear powers. This chapter examines the concept of strategic stability under the full triad and the three alternatives.

  • Military Balance Blog

    Belarus and Zapad 2017: between a rock and a hard place

    13 September 2017.  With its exercise Zapad (West) 2017, Russia may be sending a signal to Europe and the United States, although there is debate as to what this signal may be. The exercise is also a lesson in ‘not-so-soft power’ for Moscow's near abroad.

  • Military Balance Blog

    Aurora 2017: shedding light on Swedish defence thinking

    11 September 2017.  On 19 September 2017, Sweden will begin its largest military exercise for two decades, Aurora 2017.  Over its three-week course, 19,000 personnel drawn from all of Sweden’s armed services, including the Home Guard, will be involved. Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Latvia, Lithuania, Norway and the United States will also contribute around 1,000 troops between them. The exercise’s focus is the southeast of the country, and Gotland island, the closest Swedish...

  • Strategic Survey

    Chapter 1: Prospectives

    06 September 2017. 

    The goal of shaping the international strategic environment seems out of reach even for the larger powers, unless resources are made available to meet the complex and hybrid threats that have emerged.  

  • Military Balance Blog

    What future for the MiG-35?

    04 September 2017.  In the years ahead Russia is expected to focus on comparatively large, long-endurance multi-role aircraft.

  • Strategic Comments

    The unwinding of South Africa’s foreign policy

    23 August 2017. 

    South African President Jacob Zuma's corrupt personalisation of foreign policy, systematic government mismanagement and rising xenophobia are marginalising South Africa in continental and international affairs. Restoring South Africa to its leadership standing will be a major priority for his successor and the next government.

  • Strategic Comments

    The Trump administration and the Russia probes

    17 August 2017. 

    Special Counsel Robert Mueller heads the most aggressive of five investigations of possible collusion between US President Donald Trump's campaign and Russia to influence the 2016 US presidential election. Trump has continued to pursue a conspicuously friendly relationship with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Trump will probably continue to attack the special counsel's legitimacy and avoid unequivocally acknowledging Russian interference for as long as possible.

  • IISS Voices

    The secret to North Korea’s ICBM success

    14 August 2017.  How has North Korea managed to make such astounding progress with its long-range missile programme over the last two years? Here, Michael Elleman shares the first solid evidence that North Korea has acquired a high-performance liquid-propellant engine from illicit networks in Russia and Ukraine.

  • Strategic Comments

    The Ban Treaty arrives

    26 July 2017. 

    The text of the recently negotiated Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons released on 7 July, approved by a vote of 122-1, is likely to be approved by the UN General Assembly and ratified. While none of the nuclear-weapons states or their allies favours the treaty, it marks the rejection of their customary consensus-based approach. Accordingly, the status quo will continue, but now faces a more invigorated and unified opposition.

  • Survival

    Allegation, Counter-Allegation and the INF Treaty

    17 July 2017.  Russia’s alleged deployment of a treaty-breaching ground-launched cruise missile poses serious political–military questions for European states.

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