• Military Balance Blog

    Douglas Barrie: Beijing and Moscow's Fighter Export Ambitions

    21 November 2014.  By Douglas Barrie, Senior Fellow for Military Aerospace There were two fighter aircraft débutantes at this year's air show in China, held in Zhuhai from 10–16 November. One was Chinese, and one was Russian; both raise interesting questions with regard to the countries’ respective aircraft export ambitions. China's self-styled fourth-generation fighter, for the moment called the Shenyang FC-31 (J-31) made its public debut at the show. The aircraft has obvious low-observable airframe...

  • IISS Voices

    Matthew Cottee: The 2016 Nuclear Security Summit – a bridge too far for Obama?

    12 November 2014.  By Matthew Cottee, Research Analyst, Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Programme In a serious setback to Barack Obama’s presidential legacy, last week Russia announced that it will boycott the final Nuclear Security Summit (NSS), an international gathering of world leaders convened to discuss how to prevent the threat of nuclear terrorism. The fourth iteration of the event, to be held in the United States in 2016, was apparently requested by Obama personally, despite...

  • Strategic Comments

    Ukraine conflict: risk of escalation remains

    07 November 2014. 

    The Ukraine conflict has been pushed into a new phase by elections in separatist-controlled Donetsk and Luhansk. In spite of attempts to achieve a ceasefire, a renewal of hostilities is possible at any point in the coming months.

  • Expert Commentary

    Samuel Charap: Is a Stable Agreement Possible Between Russia and Ukraine?

    01 November 2014.  Lecture by Samuel Charap, Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia, IISS, at the Danyliw Research Seminar on Contemporary Ukraine, Saturday 1 November 2014 Politics, principles, and conscience demand that Ukraine make no agreements with Russia. After the Kremlin’s annexation of Crimea and incitement followed by direct intervention in the east, it would be unseemly at best and treasonous at worst for Kyiv to engage in any sort of deal-making with Moscow today –...

  • Military Balance Blog

    Douglas Barrie: Book Review - Brothers Armed: Military Aspects of the Crisis in Ukraine

    30 October 2014.  East View Press, October 2014; by Vasiliy Kashin, Sergey Denisentsev, et al; foreword by David M. Glantz; edited by Colby Howard and Ruslan Pukhov

  • Politics and Strategy

    Christian Le Miere: The hunt for historical relevance in Sweden’s waters

    27 October 2014.  On 24 October, a week-long submarine hunt in Swedish waters ended, seemingly unsuccessfully. The operation was dubbed ‘The Hunt for Reds in October’ by international media. This light-hearted moniker may be inaccurate (are we even allowed to call Russians ‘Reds’ anymore?) and presumptuous (given that the national origin of the submarine is still unconfirmed), but is nonetheless useful as a signifier of earlier incidents in the Nordic countries. The most famous...

  • IISS Voices

    John Drennan: The new landscape of European security

    16 October 2014.  By John Drennan, Research Assistant, Russia and Eurasia Programme NATO is entering its fifth phase as it assesses its role post-Afghanistan, according to Derek Chollet, US Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs. This new phase focuses on issues much closer to home, as the Alliance works together to fight against the threat of the Islamic State of Iraq and al-Sham (ISIS) and faces the crisis in Ukraine.  Speaking at...

  • Strategic Comments

    Ukraine’s election: springboard for change?

    13 October 2014. 

    Elections to Ukraine's parliament should result in a new government that reflects the political changes that have occurred in the country since late 2013. But if it is not able to implement long-overdue institutional reforms, there is a substantial risk of another political crisis in the next few years.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Chi Kong Chyong and Pierre Noël: Ukraine’s energy brinkmanship

    10 October 2014.  In the fog of its foreign-policy confrontation with Russia over Ukraine, the European Union seems unable to see its energy-security interests clearly or to act accordingly. Kiev has used the international crisis triggered by Russia’s actions in Crimea and eastern Ukraine to restructure the contracts with Moscow it signed in 2009. It wants a much lower price for its gas imports and the ability to swap gas with Gazprom’s clients in...

  • IISS Voices

    Douglas Barrie: US arms control policy in the face of a resurgent Russia

    08 October 2014.  By Douglas Barrie, Senior Fellow for Military Aerospace Russia's behaviour over Ukraine has called into question the assumptions underpinning the US's approach to strategic deterrence that have been in place since the end of the Cold War, according to Elbridge Colby, the Robert M. Gates Fellow at the Center for a New American Security. Speaking at the IISS on 6 October, on the subject of ‘US Arms Control Policy and...

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