• Strategic Comments

    The WannaCry ransomware attack

    23 May 2017. 

    The worldwide 'WannaCry' ransomware attack of uncertain origin earlier this month did little lasting damage. Nevertheless, it indicated widespread vulnerability to threats from outlier states and non-state actors, which pose the greatest risks to cyber security. While governments and industry should adopt a more systematic and anticipatory approach to minimising such threats, they are unlikely to treat the attack as a major wake-up call.

  • Expert Commentary

    The damage Mike Flynn has done to American foreign policy

    19 May 2017.  The Trump administration’s defenders may point out that whether or not Michael T. Flynn’s policy recommendations while he was national security adviser were made to please Turkey, they did not, in fact, materially affect policy. But they could have done so, argue Jonathan Stevenson and Steven Simon.

  • Survival

    Deterrence from the Ground Up: Understanding NATO’s Enhanced Forward Presence

    16 May 2017.  NATO’s deterrence strategy must take into account the fundamentally political nature of the Russian threat.

  • Survival

    Now for the Hard Part: NATO’s Strategic Adaptation to Russia

    16 May 2017.  The Alliance’s success in adapting its deterrence posture has brought into focus a range of more complex challenges.

  • Survival

    An Area-Access Strategy for NATO

    16 May 2017.  Without a credible plan for reinforcement, the Alliance’s much-celebrated eastern tripwires could rapidly become sitting ducks.

  • Armed Conflict Survey

    Chapter 7: Europe and Eurasia

    09 May 2017. 

    Armenia–Azerbaijan (Nagorno-Karabakh)
    Russia (North Caucasus)
    Ukraine

  • IISS Voices

    IISS Cyber Report: 20 to 26 April

    27 April 2017.  Our weekly digest of the world's cyber security news.

  • Strategic Comments

    The Trump–Russia connection

    20 April 2017. 

    The ongoing congressional and FBI investigations of possible coordination between President Donald Trump's campaign team and Russia to influence the outcome of the 2016 US presidential election threaten, at a minimum, to undermine Trump's policy priorities. If even some of the accusations prove true, they will produce the biggest White House scandal since the Iran-Contra affair in 1985–87 in an inexperienced administration already beset by infighting.

  • IISS Voices

    IISS Cyber Report: 6 to 12 April

    13 April 2017.  Our weekly digest of the world's cyber security news.

  • Strategic Comments

    TLAMs in Syria

    12 April 2017. 

    The United States' Tomahawk cruise-missile strikes on the Syrian regime's Shayrat Air Base in retaliation for the regime's sarin attack are unlikely to advance peace in Syria. The regime and its main supporters, Russia and Iran, remain defiant, and the Trump administration appears inclined to frame the strikes as a relatively narrow deterrent against chemical weapons attacks and keep counter-terrorism its main priority in Syria for now.

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