• IISS Voices

    Strategic snapshots: The Ukraine Crisis and the International System

    20 August 2014.  Russia’s President Vladimir Putin and his Ukrainian counterpart, Petro Poroshenko, will sit down on August 26 to discuss ways of containing unrest in Ukraine. In this GSR preview, Dr Samuel Charap addresses the motives and constraints of the players involved, whether an endgame or workable modus vivendi is in sight, and how the Ukrainian crisis will affect the long-term coherence of the international system and the rules by which it...

  • Experts Commentary

    National Interest: Why Obama's Coercion Strategy in Ukraine Will Fail

    04 August 2014.  By Samuel Charap, Senior Fellow for Russia and Eurasia The downing of Malaysian Airlines Flight 17 has dramatically escalated tensions surrounding the Ukraine crisis. On Tuesday, the EU and the United States enacted unprecedented economic sanctions against Russia, the world’s sixth largest economy. The talk in Western capitals is about the degree of punishment to exact against Russia for its actions and the extent of support to provide to the Ukrainian government, be...

  • Survival

    NATO, Russia and Missile Defence

    25 July 2014. 

    Talks on NATO–Russia missile-defence cooperation were suspended in April during the crisis over Crimea. In retrospect, the window for a real breakthrough had closed some 18 months earlier.

  • Survival

    Crimea and the International Legal Order

    25 July 2014. 

    Putin’s exploitation of the tension between the principles of non-intervention and self-determination is in the tradition of great-power interaction with international law. But Russia’s interpretation sets dangerous precedents.

  • IISS Voices

    Braz Baracuhy: The BRICS New Development Bank: A Geo-economic Game-Changer

    24 July 2014.  By Braz Baracuhy, Consulting Senior Fellow for Geo-Economics and Strategy The sixth BRICS summit, held in Fortaleza, Brazil, on 15 July 2014, is a milestone for the bloc of emerging powers. After two years of technical consultations among finance officials, this meeting led to the establishment of the BRICS New Development Bank and a Contingent Reserve Arrangement (CRA). These innovations represent a geo-economic game-changer for the BRICS’ financial cooperation and its...

  • Military Balance Blog

    Douglas Barrie & Henry Boyd: Russian cruise missile goes off-range

    21 July 2014.  By Douglas Barrie, Senior for Fellow for Military Aerospace, and Henry Boyd, Research Associate for Defence and Military Analysis Recent imagery released as part of official coverage of Russian Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu’s visit to the 26th Missile Brigade at Luga (around 135km south of St Petersburg) shows an Iskander (SS-26 Stone). The transporter-erector-launcher is seen with a launch container for a cruise missile, most likely from the Novator Design Bureau...

  • Military Balance Blog

    Joseph Dempsey: Pro-Russian separatist access to medium-range surface-to-air missiles

    18 July 2014.  By Joseph Dempsey, Research Analyst, Military Balance Online On 18 July 2014, in a White House statement on the crash in eastern Ukraine of Malaysian airlines flight MH17, US President Barack Obama stated what many already suspected. He said that the evidence indicated the aircraft was shot down by a surface-to-air missile launched from territory controlled by Russian-backed separatists inside Ukraine. Obama did not comment on the question of intent, rightly...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Russia’s solidarity with the West in the Iran nuclear talks

    26 June 2014.  Amid ongoing tensions over Ukraine, it is worth noting that Russia continues to cooperate closely with the West over Iran. Far from using the Iran issue to retaliate against US and European sanctions, as Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov ill-advisedly warned it might in mid-March, Russia has helped bolster the US position on the most sensitive aspect of the Iran negotiations: demands for cutbacks in the centrifuge programme. The most interesting...

  • IISS Voices

    Nicholas Redman: Cutting off the gas supply to Ukraine

    17 June 2014.  By Nicholas Redman, Senior Fellow for Geopolitical Risk and Economic Security If there is a surprise in Gazprom halting gas supplies to Ukraine, it is that it has taken so long to actually happen. Relations between the two governments are fraught in the wake of the annexation of Crimea and the continuing ‘anti-terrorist’ operation that Kiev is conducting in Donetsk and Luhansk. In a situation where there is no goodwill between the...

  • Strategic Comments

    Ukraine: risks to economic stabilisation

    02 June 2014. 

    An agreement with the IMF offers sizeable external support and a path to transforming Ukraine's ailing economy and business climate. But it remains to be seen whether the country's new government will be willing and able to stick to the conditions of this far-reaching programme.

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