• Shangri-La Dialogue

    The Future of North Korea: Implications For Regional Security

    31 May 2014. 

    Shangri-La Dialogue 2014 Special Session Five
    Chair: Mark Fitzpatrick, Director, Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Programme, IISS
    Brigadier General (Retd) Lee Sang-chul, Director General, Arms Verification Agency, Ministry of National Defense, Republic of Korea 
    Thomas Countryman, Assistant Secretary of State for International Security and Nonproliferation, US 
    Christian Lechervy, Adviser for Strategic Affairs, Asia-Pacific, Office of the President, France
    Dr Alexander Dynkin, Director, Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences, Russia

  • Strategic Dossiers

    Regional Security Assessment 2014

    30 May 2014. 

    Key developments and trends in Asia-Pacific security

  • Politics and Strategy

    Brendan Taylor: Is China losing North Korea?

    30 May 2014.  Is China distancing itself from long-standing ally North Korea? Late last year, relations between Pyongyang and Beijing were said to have been further strained by the execution of Jang Song-thaek, an uncle of North Korean leader Kim Jong-un and the regime’s point man on China policy. Since then, there has been a slowdown in North Korea’s trade with China, its leading supplier of food and fuel by a long margin...

  • Shangri-La Voices

    Douglas Barrie and Joseph Dempsey: North Korea air power - a rare insight

    29 May 2014.  By Douglas Barrie, Senior Fellow for Military Aerospace and Joseph Dempsey, Research Analyst, Military Balance Online As live-fire exercises go, dropping a few bombs and a fusillade of rockets from mainly obsolescent aircraft is hardly of note, unless the air force in question is the Korean People’s Army Air Force (KPAF). Early May saw Kim Jong-un attend what was billed as a ‘combat flight contest’, with the KPAF showing its ‘prowess’...

  • Shangri-La Voices

    Mark Fitzpatrick: North Korea nuclear test on hold?

    27 May 2014.  By Mark Fitzpatrick, Director, Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Programme For the past several weeks, I have started nearly every day by checking the news to see if North Korea has undertaken a fourth nuclear test. If so, I would need to wear a decent tie for the interviews that would ensue. My go-to news source is Twitter, where Dan Pinkston and other Seoul-based North Korea watchers will be among the first to...

  • Strategic Comments

    North Korean lessons for an Iranian nuclear accord

    21 May 2014. 

    The history of diplomacy with North Korea has demonstrated the utility of freezing the momentum of a nuclear programme, even if only temporarily, and suggests that an imperfect deal with Iran could be preferable to one that insists on the dismantlement of most of its nuclear infrastructure but to which Tehran would never consent.

  • Strategic Dossiers

    Chapter Six: The Korean Peninsula: North–South relations in 2013

    13 May 2014. 

    Trustpolitik: reconciling conservative and liberal approaches towards North Korea; Assessing the strategic challenge of North Korea; Missiles, nuclear tests and rhetorical brinkmanship; North Korea’s Motives; Regime legitimisation, extortion, dividing allies, militarisation and forced negotiations; Leadership change in the DPRK; Purging rivals; Park’s response: a provisional assessment; Leaving the door open for dialogue, while strengthening deterrence; Winning hearts and minds at home and abroad; Courting China; Limits to Trustpolitik?; Distancing Japan; Conclusion

  • Strategic Dossiers

    Chapter Ten: Cyber threats and responses in the Asia-Pacific

    10 May 2014. 

    The outlook for information and communications technology (ICT) in the Asia-Pacific; China; Japan; The Republic of Korea (South Korea); Singapore; Malaysia; Indonesia; Australia; Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (North Korea); India; Asia-Pacific states’ contribution to regional and international cooperation on cyber security; Conclusion

  • Strategic Dossiers

    Chapter Twelve: Maritime security in the Asia-Pacific

    08 May 2014. 

    What is maritime security?; Maritime disputes: Japan and its neighbours; Maritime disputes: the Korean Peninsula; Maritime disputes: norms, principles and regulation; Piracy and maritime crime; Piracy; Human trafficking and smuggling; Arms and narcotics trafficking; The link with fishing; Maritime constabulary agencies; Maritime-security collaboration; Conclusion

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