• Expert Commentary

    Guardian: Gold seizure highlights dilemma of diplomacy with North Korea

    19 March 2015.  By Matthew Cottee, Research Analyst, Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Programme Last week a North Korean diplomat was caught smuggling gold estimated to be worth £1m from Singapore to Bangladesh. The route of travel and amount of gold seized suggests that North Korea was probably in the process of paying for something, but for what remains unclear. Whilst some might question the outdated payment method, a recent UN security council report suggests that this a...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Netanyahu’s False Analogy

    06 March 2015.  Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s strongest argument against the impending nuclear deal concerns the prospect that Iran could get away with cheating, especially after the limits on the enrichment programme expire in about 15 years. If and when an agreement is reached, the Western nations involved in the talks will have to provide a substantive response. Since the debate is already raging, here are my two cents. Verification of non-proliferation rules...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: North Korea won’t have 100 nukes by 2020, but that’s no comfort

    02 March 2015.  When analysts offer a range of possibilities about future nuclear and missile threats, the typical journalistic response is to hype the worst of the cases presented. Thus, the lead in most stories about a new report on growth in North Korea’s strategic arsenal focused on the dire prediction that by 2020 Pyongyang could have up to 100 nuclear warheads. Such a ten-fold increase over the IISS strategic dossier estimate in...

  • Events

    IISS Workshop - Furthering the Non-proliferation and Disarmament Agenda: Challenges and Expectations Relating to the UN Sanctions on North Korea

    25 February 2015. 

    IISS Workshop
    Kuala Lumpur
    25 February 2015

  • The Military Balance

    Chapter 6: Asia

    17 February 2015.  Asia: Defence economics
    China: People’s Liberation Army Navy; People’s Liberation Army Air Force; Defence economics
    India: Strategic policy developments; Armed forces; Defence economics
    Japan: Defence-policy drivers; Breaking security constraints; Capability procurements; Defence economics
    North Korea

  • Military Balance Blog

    Joseph Dempsey: North Korean indigenous coastal-submarine footage surfaces

    10 February 2015.  By Joseph Dempsey, Research Analyst, Military Balance Online Footage from North Korea’s state broadcaster, Korean Central Television, provides a rare glimpse of one of the regime’s indigenous submarine types. Whilst imagery of the North Korean Navy’s obsolete Russian Romeo-class submarines, including the Chinese Type-033 derivative, is increasingly available, there are fewer images of Pyongyang’s growing number of smaller indigenous types. Imagery in the public domain has been limited to satellite photos...

  • Survival

    Cyber Attacks in La-La Land

    30 January 2015.  Hollywood has not been slow to exploit the cinematic potential of cyber attacks. Now it has become the victim of one.

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter Five: Strategic stability and regional security

    05 December 2014.  The US has sought a dialogue on strategic stability with China since resuming military-to-military contacts in the mid-1990s.

  • Strategic Comments

    North Korea: growing threat despite charm offensive

    25 November 2014. 

    North Korea poses an array of security threats to its neighbours and the wider world, and these threats continue to grow. But for a short period this autumn, North Korea appeared to be making efforts on nearly every front to improve its image.

  • Events

    The Great Rapprochement? Strategic Relations in Asia

    06 November 2014. 

    IISS-US Lecture Series
    Christian Le Mière
    Senior Fellow for Naval Forces and Maritime Security, IISS
    IISS-US, Washington DC
    Thursday 06 November 2014

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