• Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: North Korea won’t have 100 nukes by 2020, but that’s no comfort

    02 March 2015.  When analysts offer a range of possibilities about future nuclear and missile threats, the typical journalistic response is to hype the worst of the cases presented. Thus, the lead in most stories about a new report on growth in North Korea’s strategic arsenal focused on the dire prediction that by 2020 Pyongyang could have up to 100 nuclear warheads. Such a ten-fold increase over the IISS strategic dossier estimate in...

  • The Military Balance

    Chapter 6: Asia

    17 February 2015.  Asia: Defence economics
    China: People’s Liberation Army Navy; People’s Liberation Army Air Force; Defence economics
    India: Strategic policy developments; Armed forces; Defence economics
    Japan: Defence-policy drivers; Breaking security constraints; Capability procurements; Defence economics
    North Korea

  • Military Balance Blog

    Joseph Dempsey: North Korean indigenous coastal-submarine footage surfaces

    10 February 2015.  By Joseph Dempsey, Research Analyst, Military Balance Online Footage from North Korea’s state broadcaster, Korean Central Television, provides a rare glimpse of one of the regime’s indigenous submarine types. Whilst imagery of the North Korean Navy’s obsolete Russian Romeo-class submarines, including the Chinese Type-033 derivative, is increasingly available, there are fewer images of Pyongyang’s growing number of smaller indigenous types. Imagery in the public domain has been limited to satellite photos...

  • Survival

    Cyber Attacks in La-La Land

    30 January 2015.  Hollywood has not been slow to exploit the cinematic potential of cyber attacks. Now it has become the victim of one.

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter Five: Strategic stability and regional security

    05 December 2014.  The US has sought a dialogue on strategic stability with China since resuming military-to-military contacts in the mid-1990s.

  • Strategic Comments

    North Korea: growing threat despite charm offensive

    25 November 2014. 

    North Korea poses an array of security threats to its neighbours and the wider world, and these threats continue to grow. But for a short period this autumn, North Korea appeared to be making efforts on nearly every front to improve its image.

  • Events

    The Great Rapprochement? Strategic Relations in Asia

    06 November 2014. 

    IISS-US Lecture Series
    Christian Le Mière
    Senior Fellow for Naval Forces and Maritime Security, IISS
    IISS-US, Washington DC
    Thursday 06 November 2014

  • Expert Commentary

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Potential Flashpoints and Military CBMs in the Asia-Pacific

    30 October 2014.  Presentation by Mark Fitzpatrick, Director, Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Programme, IISS, at the Seoul Defense Dialogue, Seoul, October 2014. Compared to the intensity of conflict over the long sweep of history, we live in a peaceful age. Notwithstanding the organised violence in Syria, Iraq and Yemen, the ill-disguised hostilities in Ukraine and the civil strife elsewhere in the world that comes to our attention daily, courtesy of intrepid journalists and our global connectivity, both...

  • Events

    IISS Workshop - Regional Reactions to Chinese Nuclear Posture

    27 October 2014. 

    IISS Workshop
    Seoul, South Korea
    27 October 2014

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Viewing North Korea vicariously

    22 October 2014.  Despite having followed North Korea off and on for my entire career, I am often reminded of how much I do not know. My conference travel schedule to exotic places took me last week to Preston, in northern England, to attend a scholarly workshop on Korean security. It was the coming-out party, so to speak, for the new International Institute of Korean Studies at the University of Central Lancashire, and...

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