• Shangri-La Dialogue

    Containing the North Korean Threat

    04 June 2016. 

    Shangri-La Dialogue 2016 Special Session One
    Chair: General The Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, Senior Adviser for the Middle East and Asia-Pacific, IISS; former Chief of the Defence Staff, United Kingdom
    Shinsuke Sugiyama, Deputy Minister for Foreign Affairs, Japan 
    Yoon Soon Gu, Director-General, International Policy Bureau, Ministry of National Defense, Republic of Korea   
    Colonel Lu Yin, Associate Researcher, National Defense University, People’s Liberation Army, China
    Aidan Foster-Carter, Honorary Senior Research Fellow in Sociology and Modern Korea, Leeds University

  • Strategic Dossiers

    Chapter Seven: North Korea’s threat to regional security

    03 June 2016. 

    Pyongyang’s multiple threats; Two Kims, four nuclear tests; Cyber and electronic warfare; The prioritisation problem; Cold War revived; Human rights; South Korea: sunshine, sunset; Kaesong; Potential flashpoints; Back to diplomacy?; Conclusion

  • Shangri-La Voices

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Squeezing North Korea’s foreign earnings

    03 June 2016.  The 1 June decision by the United States Treasury to name North Korea as a ‘primary money laundering concern’ is the latest in a series of efforts by concerned nations to peacefully change Pyongyang’s calculus, writes Mark Fitzpatrick.

  • Survival

    Disrupting North Korea’s Military Markets

    20 May 2016. 

    North Korea’s defence-export industry remains both active and profitable. Dissuading capitals from doing business with Pyongyang will require special attention to the clients’ specific circumstances.

  • Survival

    Preparing for a North Korean Nuclear Missile

    20 May 2016. 

    Pyongyang will likely achieve a credible nuclear-ICBM capability in the next few years. This development, though frightening and unwelcome, will not be a game-changer.

  • Events

    The Inaugural IISS Robert F. Ellsworth Lecture

    09 May 2016. 

    Robert F. Ellsworth Lecture
    William J. Fallon, Admiral, US Navy (Retired)
    Dacor Bacon House, Washington DC
    Monday 9 May 2016, 5.30pm

  • Events

    Interpreting China's North Korea Policy

    04 May 2016. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Dr Andrew Scobell, Senior Political Scientist, RAND
    Arundel House, London
    Wednesday 4 May 2016, 12.30–1.30pm BST

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Getting serious about North Korea

    15 April 2016.  In a talk at the Harvard Belfer Center on 6 April, I argued that it is time to get serious about North Korea, by giving concerted, high-level attention to both sanctions and diplomacy. Pyongyang’s failed test launch of the medium-range mobile ballistic missile dubbed the Musudan underscores the danger and the need. Over the past three years, world leaders focused intently on the Iranian nuclear challenge, and through a careful combination...

  • Expert Commentary

    The Diplomat: Asia's Nuclear Arena - Hedging and Deterring

    09 March 2016.  Conversation with Mark Fitzpatrick, Executive Director IISS–US Identify key forces and players impacting Northeast Asia’s nuclear arena. Northeast Asia has seen the emergence of three nuclear-armed states. The USSR first tested an A-bomb in 1949, China in 1964 and North Korea in 2006. Each case was a surprise, and each posed a serious threat to Japan, in particular. Under political science theory, Tokyo thus had a repeated motivation to seek a nuclear...

  • IISS Voices

    Matthew Cottee: Between a ROK and a THAAD place

    04 March 2016.  Debates about the utility of THAAD for South Korean defence have rumbled on for some time, but the recent passing of UN Resolution 2270 provided the issue with increased exposure and a sense of inevitability

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