• Strategic Comments

    China–North Korea relations and the 19th Party Congress

    28 April 2017. 

    China has come under increasing American pressure to lean on North Korea to curtail its nuclear weapon and ballistic missile programmes. But Chinese President Xi Jinping's priority is to maintain the domestic and international status quo to ensure the Communist Party's smooth transition behind him at the 19th Party Congress next autumn. Until that process has been completed, major change in Beijing's behaviour towards Pyongyang is unlikely.

  • Politics and Strategy

    When it comes to starting a nuclear war, size doesn't matter

    21 April 2017.  If threatened, nations with a smaller arsenal may be the most apt to use nuclear weapons.

  • IISS Voices

    Not all Chinese see THAAD missile system as immediate threat

    19 April 2017.  Chinese commentators have savaged the US deployment of the THAAD missile system to South Korea, arguing it could monitor Beijing's missile tests or even strike at the country. But dissenting voices say the risks have been overstated. Yumu Chen examines the claims underpinning their analysis.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Send Jared Kushner to Pyongyang

    06 April 2017.  Sending Jared Kushner to meet with North Korea’s recalcitrant leader Kim Jong-un could be a rare diplomatic game changer, argues Mark Fitzpatrick. As daunting as the prospects may be, diplomacy could be a crucial element in Donald Trump’s pressure policy.

  • IISS Voices

    Transformational leaders set to meet at US–China summit

    05 April 2017.  North Korea and bilateral trade ties are among the subjects likely to dominate discussions between Xi Jinping and Donald Trump when they meet for the first time this week. Here, Alex Neill examines what the summit could mean for the world’s most important bilateral relationship.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Why China is outdoing the US in Asia’s coercion contest

    03 April 2017.  When it comes to the art of exerting influence without using armed violence, China has the advantage.

  • Military Balance Blog

    Testing times ahead with North Korea

    03 April 2017.  While predicting the behaviour of Pyongyang may be a fool’s errand, North Korea is presently on track to at least match 2016’s 24 ballistic-missile tests as it develops new systems and carries out assurance firings of already fielded types.

  • Politics and Strategy

    A lexicon for the North Korea nuclear issue

    30 March 2017.  Disarmament, arms control and non-proliferation have distinct meanings, as well as policy implications.

  • Expert Commentary

    Direct Talk: Preventing nuclear proliferation

    28 March 2017.  Mark Fitzpatrick, Executive Director of IISS-Americas, discusses nuclear dangers in East Asia.

  • Politics and Strategy

    Freezing North Korea’s nuclear quest

    17 March 2017.  Every effort should be made to stop the surge in North Korea's missile capabilities, according to Mark Fitzpatrick.

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