• Events

    Interpreting China's North Korea Policy

    04 May 2016. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Dr Andrew Scobell, Senior Political Scientist, RAND
    Arundel House, London
    Wednesday 4 May 2016, 12.30–1.30pm BST

  • Politics and Strategy

    Mark Fitzpatrick: Getting serious about North Korea

    15 April 2016.  In a talk at the Harvard Belfer Center on 6 April, I argued that it is time to get serious about North Korea, by giving concerted, high-level attention to both sanctions and diplomacy. Pyongyang’s failed test launch of the medium-range mobile ballistic missile dubbed the Musudan underscores the danger and the need. Over the past three years, world leaders focused intently on the Iranian nuclear challenge, and through a careful combination...

  • Expert Commentary

    The Diplomat: Asia's Nuclear Arena - Hedging and Deterring

    09 March 2016.  Conversation with Mark Fitzpatrick, Executive Director IISS–US Identify key forces and players impacting Northeast Asia’s nuclear arena. Northeast Asia has seen the emergence of three nuclear-armed states. The USSR first tested an A-bomb in 1949, China in 1964 and North Korea in 2006. Each case was a surprise, and each posed a serious threat to Japan, in particular. Under political science theory, Tokyo thus had a repeated motivation to seek a nuclear...

  • IISS Voices

    Matthew Cottee: Between a ROK and a THAAD place

    04 March 2016.  Debates about the utility of THAAD for South Korean defence have rumbled on for some time, but the recent passing of UN Resolution 2270 provided the issue with increased exposure and a sense of inevitability

  • Expert Commentary

    The Korea Herald: Why South Korea should not 'go nuclear'

    19 February 2016.  By Mark Fitzpatrick, Executive Director, IISS–US North Korea’s long-range rocket launch and the nuclear test that preceded it have sparked renewed calls from several security experts in Seoul for South Korea to acquire its own nuclear weapons. Their main argument is based on the logic of leverage: that matching the North’s arsenal would impel it to negotiate an end to these threats. Beijing would also be persuaded finally to use its...

  • Military Balance Blog

    Military Balance Recap: North Korea’s military capability development

    18 February 2016.  At the launch of The Military Balance 2016 on 9 February, Nick Childs, IISS Senior Fellow for Naval Forces and Maritime Security, talks about the significance of North Korea’s nuclear tests and recent rocket launch. ‘A large part of the elements of this are to do with political messaging,’ he says. These actions can be seen as a further assertion of the current leadership’s abilities, and ability to retain power. However...

  • IISS Voices

    Michael Elleman: North Korea’s satellite launch does not further its long-range missile programme

    10 February 2016.  Although Pyongyang must be punished for violating its UN obligations, it should be borne in mind that the Unha satellite launcher used on 7 February will not play a significant role in advancing North Korea’s long-range ballistic-missile programme, writes Michael Elleman.

  • Adelphi Books

    Chapter 1: Republic of Korea

    02 February 2016. 

    While South Korea may be the most likely candidate to emerge as a new nuclear-armed state, it would be foolhardy for both economic and security reasons, in equal measures counterproductive and unnecessary.

  • Events

    Double Take: The Iran Nuclear Deal and North Korea’s Nuclear Test

    19 January 2016. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Dr Gary Samore, Executive Director for Research, The Belfer Center at the Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University
    Arundel House, London
    Tuesday 19 January 2016, 12.30-1.30pm

  • IISS Voices

    Matthew Cottee: New sanctions unlikely to deter North Korean nuclear posturing

    18 January 2016.  Having apparently been able to advance both its nuclear and missile programmes under existing bans, the DPRK seems happy to remain internationally isolated

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