25 July 2014.
On some issues, particularly Iran, the fallout has been negligible, yet there is still reason for concern. The gravest dangers are the devaluing of security assurances and cracks in the credibility of extended deterrence.
09 July 2014.
Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
9 July 2014
31 May 2014.
Shangri-La Dialogue 2014 Special Session Five
Chair: Mark Fitzpatrick, Director, Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Programme, IISS
Brigadier General (Retd) Lee Sang-chul, Director General, Arms Verification Agency, Ministry of National Defense, Republic of Korea
Thomas Countryman, Assistant Secretary of State for International Security and Nonproliferation, US
Christian Lechervy, Adviser for Strategic Affairs, Asia-Pacific, Office of the President, France
Dr Alexander Dynkin, Director, Institute of World Economy and International Relations, Russian Academy of Sciences, Russia
30 May 2014.
Key developments and trends in Asia-Pacific security
Politics and Strategy
30 May 2014.
Is China distancing itself from long-standing ally North Korea? Late last year, relations between Pyongyang and Beijing were said to have been further strained by the execution of Jang Song-thaek, an uncle of North Korean leader Kim Jong-un and the regime’s point man on China policy. Since then, there has been a slowdown in North Korea’s trade with China, its leading supplier of food and fuel by a long margin...
29 May 2014.
By Douglas Barrie, Senior Fellow for Military Aerospace and Joseph Dempsey, Research Analyst, Military Balance Online
As live-fire exercises go, dropping a few bombs and a fusillade of rockets from mainly obsolescent aircraft is hardly of note, unless the air force in question is the Korean People’s Army Air Force (KPAF). Early May saw Kim Jong-un attend what was billed as a ‘combat flight contest’, with the KPAF showing its ‘prowess’...
27 May 2014.
By Mark Fitzpatrick, Director, Non-Proliferation and Disarmament Programme
For the past several weeks, I have started nearly every day by checking the news to see if North Korea has undertaken a fourth nuclear test. If so, I would need to wear a decent tie for the interviews that would ensue. My go-to news source is Twitter, where Dan Pinkston and other Seoul-based North Korea watchers will be among the first to...
21 May 2014.
The history of diplomacy with North Korea has demonstrated the utility of freezing the momentum of a nuclear programme, even if only temporarily, and suggests that an imperfect deal with Iran could be preferable to one that insists on the dismantlement of most of its nuclear infrastructure but to which Tehran would never consent.
13 May 2014.
Trustpolitik: reconciling conservative and liberal approaches towards North Korea; Assessing the strategic challenge of North Korea; Missiles, nuclear tests and rhetorical brinkmanship; North Korea’s Motives; Regime legitimisation, extortion, dividing allies, militarisation and forced negotiations; Leadership change in the DPRK; Purging rivals; Park’s response: a provisional assessment; Leaving the door open for dialogue, while strengthening deterrence; Winning hearts and minds at home and abroad; Courting China; Limits to Trustpolitik?; Distancing Japan; Conclusion
10 May 2014.
The outlook for information and communications technology (ICT) in the Asia-Pacific; China; Japan; The Republic of Korea (South Korea); Singapore; Malaysia; Indonesia; Australia; Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (North Korea); India; Asia-Pacific states’ contribution to regional and international cooperation on cyber security; Conclusion