Politics and Strategy
25 November 2016.
After presidential elections, a habitual Washington parlour game calls for assessing the incoming administration’s policies before they have been announced and before the key players have even been appointed. Mark Fitzpatrick shares his views about President-elect Donald Trump’s options in dealing with North Korea.
02 November 2016.
North Korean nuclear bomb and ballistic missile tests may require the United States and its regional allies to take a harder look at military options against North Korea. Pre-emptive or preventive attack is fraught with downsides. But uncertainties surrounding deterrence and worries about potential North Korean brinkmanship could keep that option salient.
05 October 2016.
North Korea conducted its fifth and most powerful nuclear test on 9 September, and is moving towards mounting a nuclear bomb on ballistic missiles of increasing range. The Obama administration's policy of strategic patience may now be insufficient. Pyongyang is unlikely to restrain its nuclear bomb and ballistic missile development in the absence of greater US and Chinese assertiveness and more creative strategies.
26 September 2016.
Are Pyongyang and Tehran collaborating on ballistic-missile development? Michael Elleman, IISS Consulting Senior Fellow for Missile Defence, looks at the science behind recent speculation, offering a detailed analysis of the missile designs employed by each country to ascertain whether such collaboration is indeed taking place.
09 September 2016.
Even though North Korea’s latest nuclear test was widely forecast to happen, there is no clear indication of what the international response will, or could, comprise. As Matthew Cottee explains, the US has promised ‘serious consequences’ and South Korean President Park Geun-hye has referred to Kim Jong-un’s ‘maniacal recklessness’ as a step towards self-destruction, but there are few indications of how these condemnations will translate into substantive policy.
Politics and Strategy
19 August 2016.
At a London think tank two years ago, I had an argument with a North Korean diplomat. Fed up with his ambassador's peace-loving protestations and the polite questions put to him by the largely British audience, I broke protocol and asked what possible purpose was served by his nation calling the leader of the free world a ‘wicked black monkey’. Afterwards, the embassy's number two official took me aside to explain that the North Korean...
20 July 2016.
Seok-soo Lee, Director-General, Research Institute for National Security Affairs, Korea National Defense University
Kongdan (Katy) Oh, Senior Asia Specialist, Institute for Defense Analyses
IISS–Americas, Washington DC
Wednesday 20 July 2016, 10–11.00AM EDT
14 July 2016.
Mark Fitzpatrick, Executive Director, IISS–Americas
Thursday 14 July 2016, 10–11AM BST
27 June 2016.
North Korea's first successful test of its Musudan intermediate-range ballistic missile has aroused fears that it could be used to strike targets throughout the region, including the US island territory of Guam. However, as Michael Elleman explains, the missile is not yet capable of reaching Guam with a warhead weighing more than 500kg. He cautions that regardless of the success of the test, the confirmation that North Korea does indeed...
04 June 2016.
Shangri-La Dialogue 2016 Special Session One
Chair: General The Lord Richards of Herstmonceux, Senior Adviser for the Middle East and Asia-Pacific, IISS; former Chief of the Defence Staff, United Kingdom
Shinsuke Sugiyama, Deputy Minister for Foreign Affairs, Japan
Yoon Soon Gu, Director-General, International Policy Bureau, Ministry of National Defense, Republic of Korea
Colonel Lu Yin, Associate Researcher, National Defense University, People’s Liberation Army, China
Aidan Foster-Carter, Honorary Senior Research Fellow in Sociology and Modern Korea, Leeds University