• The Military Balance

    Chapter 7: Middle East and North Africa

    05 February 2014. 

    Syria: Implications for regional armed forces; Regime regroups; Rebel forces
    Egypt: the military resumes power
    Libya
    Iran: Missile developments
    GCC: Cooperative defence and Iran
    Regional defence economics; Major arms-trade developments in 2012 and 2013; Military commercial activities
    Algeria: Recent initiatives; Regional and border defence; Counter-terrorism and international cooperation; Defence economics

  • Events

    Libya: The Failed Fairy Tale

    04 February 2014. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Dr Florence Gaub
    Senior Analyst, EU Institute for Security Studies
    Arundel House, London
    Tuesday 04 February

  • Events

    Discussion Meeting: Toppling Qaddafi: Libya and the Limits of Liberal Intervention

    10 January 2014. 

    IISS-US Discussion meeting
    Dr Christopher Chivvis, Senior Political Scientist, RAND Corporation
    Discussant: Julianne Smith, Former Deputy National Security Advisor to the Vice President
    Moderator: Ben Fishman, Consulting Senior Fellow for the Middle East and North Africa, IISS
    Friday 10 January 2014
    IISS-US, Washington DC

  • Expert Commentary

    New York Times: Don’t Create a New Al Qaeda

    06 January 2014.  By Steven Simon, Executive Director IISS-US and Corresponding Director IISS-Middle East and Daniel Benjamin Egypt’s military leaders have launched an all-out war against the Muslim Brotherhood. American and European leaders have observed this crackdown with a sense of detachment, both because they have few tools to influence the military’s decision-making and because this conflict appears to be an internal matter. But the belief that this intensifying conflict will play out solely within Egypt’s...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Ben Fishman: Hope for the Arab Spring?

    17 December 2013.  Today marks the third anniversary of Mohamed Bouazizi’s iconic self-immolation, the fruit-vendor’s protest that sparked a revolution in Tunisia and inspired mass upheaval across the Middle East. The optimism of those early days of once-unthinkable revolution across the Arab world receded months ago. Tragedy in Syria, turmoil in Libya, and the return of military rule in Egypt after a tumultuous experiment with Muslim Brotherhood-led government represent three nails in the coffin...

  • Manama Voices

    Elly Jupp: The economic costs of the Arab Spring

    04 December 2013.  By Elly Jupp, Research Associate, IISS–Middle East Much has been written about the economic causes of the Arab Spring revolts – but rather less has been written about the economic costs. In a recent report, HSBC sought to put a figure on the losses of seven of the worst-affected states – Egypt, Tunisia, Libya, Syria, Jordan, Lebanon and Bahrain – and estimated US$800 billion in lost output. HSBC forecast that GDP...

  • Politics and Strategy

    Benjamin Fishman: Kerry’s other weekend diplomacy

    26 November 2013.  Iran was not the only issue on Secretary of State John Kerry’s busy weekend schedule. Following his around-the-clock negotiations on Iran’s nuclear programme, Kerry met on Sunday in London with Libyan Prime Minister Ali Zeidan. Libya has not been at the forefront of Kerry’s crowded Middle East agenda, so the fact that Kerry met Zeidan just hours after the breakthrough with Iran may signal a renewed commitment to supporting Libya...

  • Strategic Comments

    Libya: paralysed by militias

    22 November 2013. 

    Recent security incidents – including an oil blockade, the kidnapping of Prime Minister Ali Zeidan, and a lethal clash between a militia and civilians in Tripoli – have exposed the stranglehold that Libya's militias have over their country. Political paralysis is complicating efforts to tackle the problem.

  • Strategic Comments

    Egypt: shifting politics under army control

    23 October 2013. 

    Nearly four months after President Muhammad Morsi was deposed, Egyptian politics remain profoundly unsettled. A civilian president and government, appointed by the military, are attempting to preserve the illusion of civilian authority in a country dominated again by the military.

  • Events

    Egypt in Transition

    17 October 2013. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Ambassador Dr Mohamed Shaker
    Chairman, Egyptian Council for Foreign Affairs;
    former Ambassador of Egypt to the United Kingdom and Austria
    Mona Zulficar
    Lawyer and Chair, Executive Committee of Zulficar and Partners;
    Vice President, Constitutional Drafting Committee
    Mohamed Salmawy
    President, Egyptian Writers' Union and Secretary General, Arab Writers' Union;
    Member and Official Spokesman, Constitutional Drafting Committee
    Arundel House, London
    Thursday 17 October 2013

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