• Military Balance Blog

    Christian Le Miere: Egyptian naval skirmish highlights maritime insecurity

    14 November 2014.  By Christian Le Mière, Senior Fellow for Naval Forces and Maritime Security A rare incident in the Eastern Mediterranean this week has highlighted the sustained high levels of maritime insecurity along Europe’s southern coast. On 12 November, an as-yet unidentified Egyptian patrol craft was involved in a skirmish with four civilian vessels about 40 nautical miles off the coast of Ras el-Bar, Egypt. According to Egyptian military spokesman Brig.-Gen. Mohamed Samir, the patrol...

  • Strategic Comments

    Libya’s civil war no closer to resolution

    03 October 2014. 

    Libya Dawn’s gambit of breaking with parliament and seizing Tripoli has yet to deliver a solid return. It continues to hope that parliament will make a power-and-oil-sharing concession in return for peace. If no such compromise is agreed, war is likely to continue.

  • Strategic Survey

    Chapter 9: North Africa

    09 September 2014. 

    Egypt’s Revolution Stalls
    Maghreb: Legacy of the Arab Spring

  • Politics and Strategy

    Benjamin Fishman: Can Rome help save Libya?

    05 March 2014.  How do you help a country that requires technical assistance in a wide range of areas but doesn’t have a functional government that can absorb aid programs? That will be the challenge for participants in the International Conference on Libya scheduled to take place on 6 March in Rome. Assuming the crisis in Ukraine does not intervene, foreign ministers from the key states who supported Libya’s liberation along with international organisations...

  • Events

    The Tunisia Model - Lessons from the Constitution and Challenges Ahead

    24 February 2014. 

    Roundtable Discussion
    With Special Guest: Rached Ghannouchi
    Co-Founder and Secretary-General, Ennahda Movement in Tunisia
    And Analysis By: 
    Anouar Boukhars
    Nonresident Scholar, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
    Radwan Masmoudi
    President, Center for the Study of Islam and Democracy
    David Pollock
    Kaufman Fellow, The Washington Institute for Near East Policy
    IISS-US, Washington DC
    Monday 24 Febraury 2014

  • The Military Balance

    Chapter 7: Middle East and North Africa

    05 February 2014. 

    Syria: Implications for regional armed forces; Regime regroups; Rebel forces
    Egypt: the military resumes power
    Iran: Missile developments
    GCC: Cooperative defence and Iran
    Regional defence economics; Major arms-trade developments in 2012 and 2013; Military commercial activities
    Algeria: Recent initiatives; Regional and border defence; Counter-terrorism and international cooperation; Defence economics

  • Events

    Libya: The Failed Fairy Tale

    04 February 2014. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Dr Florence Gaub
    Senior Analyst, EU Institute for Security Studies
    Arundel House, London
    Tuesday 04 February

  • Events

    Discussion Meeting: Toppling Qaddafi: Libya and the Limits of Liberal Intervention

    10 January 2014. 

    IISS-US Discussion meeting
    Dr Christopher Chivvis, Senior Political Scientist, RAND Corporation
    Discussant: Julianne Smith, Former Deputy National Security Advisor to the Vice President
    Moderator: Ben Fishman, Consulting Senior Fellow for the Middle East and North Africa, IISS
    Friday 10 January 2014
    IISS-US, Washington DC

  • Politics and Strategy

    Ben Fishman: Hope for the Arab Spring?

    17 December 2013.  Today marks the third anniversary of Mohamed Bouazizi’s iconic self-immolation, the fruit-vendor’s protest that sparked a revolution in Tunisia and inspired mass upheaval across the Middle East. The optimism of those early days of once-unthinkable revolution across the Arab world receded months ago. Tragedy in Syria, turmoil in Libya, and the return of military rule in Egypt after a tumultuous experiment with Muslim Brotherhood-led government represent three nails in the coffin...

  • Manama Voices

    Elly Jupp: The economic costs of the Arab Spring

    04 December 2013.  By Elly Jupp, Research Associate, IISS–Middle East Much has been written about the economic causes of the Arab Spring revolts – but rather less has been written about the economic costs. In a recent report, HSBC sought to put a figure on the losses of seven of the worst-affected states – Egypt, Tunisia, Libya, Syria, Jordan, Lebanon and Bahrain – and estimated US$800 billion in lost output. HSBC forecast that GDP...

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