• Politics and Strategy

    Rollback? Trump’s Iran claims not just flawed but dangerous

    05 July 2017.  Steven Simon argues that Trump’s view on Iran is not only analytically flawed, but also dangerous.

  • Strategic Comments

    NATO’s continuing adaptation

    05 July 2017. 

    Despite US President Donald Trump's noted hectoring on European NATO defence spending, several European NATO countries have been modestly increasing their spending for some time owing to national threat perceptions. The real challenges are to 'spend better', in ways that genuinely enhance military capabilities and in particular increase reassurance and deterrence vis-a-vis Russia, and to improve internal cohesion.

  • Strategic Comments

    Balkan rumblings

    20 June 2017.  Although rumours of war in the Balkans are overblown, the region has acquired greater strategic resonance recently, due mainly to Russia's intensifying interest and secondarily to jihadist activity. But the countries' central challenges are the erosion of democracy and poor governance, which may be tolerated to secure the order and stability needed for admission into the European Union.

  • Strategic Comments

    South Korea’s presidential transition and strategic challenges

    14 June 2017. 

    Moon Jae-in, South Korea's new president, faces stiff domestic challenges and is less inclined towards confrontation with North Korea than either his predecessor or the Trump administration. Nevertheless, South Korea’s alliance with the United States is likely to endure with some modifications and perhaps, given North Korea’s provocations, some upgrades.

  • Military Balance Blog

    Montenegro: NATO enlarges once more

    07 June 2017.  On 5 June 2017, Montenegro formally joined the NATO Alliance, as its instrument of accession to the North Atlantic Treaty was formally deposited with the US State Department. A flag-raising ceremony took place at NATO headquarters today to mark this historic event.

  • Strategic Comments

    Macron and the world

    26 May 2017. 

    Newly elected French President Emmanuel Macron, while inexperienced in international affairs, is inclined to return France to a de Gaulle/Mitterand tradition of national assertiveness. At the same time, his native prudence, as well as the geostrategic realities of the early twenty-first century, suggest more continuity than change.

  • Survival

    Deterrence from the Ground Up: Understanding NATO’s Enhanced Forward Presence

    16 May 2017.  NATO’s deterrence strategy must take into account the fundamentally political nature of the Russian threat.

  • Survival

    Now for the Hard Part: NATO’s Strategic Adaptation to Russia

    16 May 2017.  The Alliance’s success in adapting its deterrence posture has brought into focus a range of more complex challenges.

  • Survival

    An Area-Access Strategy for NATO

    16 May 2017.  Without a credible plan for reinforcement, the Alliance’s much-celebrated eastern tripwires could rapidly become sitting ducks.

  • IISS Voices

    IISS Cyber Report: 20 to 26 April

    27 April 2017.  Our weekly digest of the world's cyber security news.

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