• Expert Commentary

    The generals can’t save us from Trump

    28 July 2017.  John Kelly, as the new White House chief of staff, is unlikely to improve the substantive quality of Trump’s incompetent foreign and security policy. For all their experience and insight, the generals in the Trump administration have failed because they’re military men, not statesmen, argues Jonathan Stevenson.

  • Strategic Comments

    The Ban Treaty arrives

    26 July 2017. 

    The text of the recently negotiated Treaty on the Prohibition of Nuclear Weapons released on 7 July, approved by a vote of 122-1, is likely to be approved by the UN General Assembly and ratified. While none of the nuclear-weapons states or their allies favours the treaty, it marks the rejection of their customary consensus-based approach. Accordingly, the status quo will continue, but now faces a more invigorated and unified opposition.

  • Survival

    Allegation, Counter-Allegation and the INF Treaty

    17 July 2017.  Russia’s alleged deployment of a treaty-breaching ground-launched cruise missile poses serious political–military questions for European states.

  • Survival

    Strategic Stability Under Obama and Trump

    17 July 2017.  The Trump administration must assess how strategic stability, an organising concept for the Obama administration’s strategic policy, might fit with its own guiding principles.

  • Survival

    Measuring Military Cyber Power

    17 July 2017.  Understanding how and why cyber capabilities are developed and deployed is becoming a critical element in determining the power dynamics between states.

  • Military Balance Blog

    Can Franco-German cooperation deliver a new European defence?

    14 July 2017.  While Europe could certainly do with more capabilities and cooperation, a more fundamental change of strategic mindset in Paris and Berlin is required if Europe is to build a more autonomous defence capability. Fabrice Pothier looks beyond recent statements and announcements to examine what their true policy positions are.

  • Events

    The future US forward presence in Europe

    14 July 2017. 

    Discussion Meeting
    Dr John Deni, Research Professor of National Security Studies, Strategic Studies Institute, US Army War College
    Chaired by James Hackett, Editor, The Military Balance, Senior Fellow for Defence and Military Analysis, IISS
    Arundel House, London
    Friday 14 July, 11am–12pm BST

  • Politics and Strategy

    Rollback? Trump’s Iran claims not just flawed but dangerous

    05 July 2017.  Steven Simon argues that Trump’s view on Iran is not only analytically flawed, but also dangerous.

  • Strategic Comments

    NATO’s continuing adaptation

    05 July 2017. 

    Despite US President Donald Trump's noted hectoring on European NATO defence spending, several European NATO countries have been modestly increasing their spending for some time owing to national threat perceptions. The real challenges are to 'spend better', in ways that genuinely enhance military capabilities and in particular increase reassurance and deterrence vis-a-vis Russia, and to improve internal cohesion.

  • Strategic Comments

    Balkan rumblings

    20 June 2017.  Although rumours of war in the Balkans are overblown, the region has acquired greater strategic resonance recently, due mainly to Russia's intensifying interest and secondarily to jihadist activity. But the countries' central challenges are the erosion of democracy and poor governance, which may be tolerated to secure the order and stability needed for admission into the European Union.

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